取代苯类化合物的二维息定量结构-活性相关研究

为了预测非反应性麻醉型化合物对发光菌的发光半抑制浓度,评价该类化合物的毒性效应,采用独特的二维HQSAR分析方法,根据分子碎片的类型,将分子结构转变成具有特征的分子指纹,并用数字进行标记。这些标记出的数字作为QSAR的描述符,经过偏最小二乘法计算,建立起化合物结构与生物毒性之间的相关关系,由此所获得的HQSAR预测值与实测值之间也存在较好的相关性,即-1g_(pre)EC_(50)=0.311 0.929(-1g_(exp)EC_(50))(n=13,r=0.964)。这一模型的预测效果明显优于传统的二维QSAR模型,其结果可以为定量评估同类化合物的生物毒性提供可靠依据。     

Scale,context, and decision making in agricultural adaptation to climate variability and change

This work presents a framework for viewing agricultural adaptation, emphasizing the multiple spatial and temporal scales on which individuals and institutions process information on changes in their environment. The framework is offered as a means to gain perspective on the role of climate variability and change in agricultural adaptation, and developed for a case study of Australian agriculture. To study adaptation issues at the scale of individual farms we developed a simple modelling framework. The model highlights the decision making element of adaptation in light of uncertainty, and underscores the importance of decision information related to climate variability. Model results show that the assumption of perfect information for farmers systematically overpredicts adaptive performance. The results also suggest that farmers who make tactical planting decisions on the basis of historical climate information are outperformed by those who use even moderately successful seasonal forecast information. Analysis at continental scales highlights the prominent role of the decline in economic operating conditions on Australian agriculture. Examples from segments of the agricultural industry in Australia are given to illustrate the importance of appropriate scale attribution in adapting to environmental changes. In particular, adaptations oriented toward short time scale changes in the farming environment (droughts, market fluctuations) can be limited in their efficacy by constraints imposed by broad changes in the soil/water base and economic environment occuring over longer time scales. The case study also makes the point that adaptation must be defined in reference to some goal, which is ultimately a social and political exercise. Overall, this study highlights the importance of allowing more complexity (limited information, risk aversion, cross-scale interactions, mis-attribution of cause and effect, background context, identification of goals) in representing adaptation processes in climate change studies.     

论江西省农业可持续发展

本文在论述持续农业提出的背景及其内函和意义的前提下，分析了江西目前存在的主要农业生态环境问题，提出了江西农业持续发展的６条对策和措施，对江西持续农业的发展具有指导意义，同时对南方有关省市具参考价值。     

Stipulation of the criteria for the construction of eco agricultural county in China

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新疆农用地变化的环境效应

土地生态环境问题一直都是专家、学者研究的热点话题,土地利用的生态环境效应更是人们日益关注的问题,以新疆1996-2004年农用地详查数据为依据,在分析研究土地利用的变化特点的基础上,阐述了农用地变化产生的环境效应.尽管农用地数量在整体上是增加的,但是土地沙化、退化,水土流失、生物多样性减少等一系列生态环境恶化现象仍在继续.因此,新疆农用地要在水资源的承载范围内适度增加.目前,新疆农用地变化给整体环境带来负面的效应,仅使局部生态环境改善,整体环境变坏.因此,新疆在土地利用中,要以此为鉴,加强生态环境建设,注重各种功能用地的结合.     

保护农业生态环境促进可持续发展

农业生态环境是农业综合生产力的重要基础，后者的主要内容和结构对前者有具大的制约作用。在农业生态环境继续恶化的形势下，必须确立农业生态保护战略，切实加强农业生态环境的建设和管理，才能提高农业综合生产力水平，促进经济的可持续发展。     

Sea water intrusion in coastal areas of Yellow Seaand Bohai Sea

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层状菱铁矿的定量成因分类

层状菱铁矿的成因分类,根据其分类基础,可分为两大类型:一是以地质作用和产出特征为背景的定性成因分类;二是以菱铁矿的某些化学组分为标准的定量成因分类。本文推荐一种新的定量分类标准,即利用siO_2—Al_2O_3—CaO+MgO三角图,将层状菱铁矿矿划分为三种成因类型:(1)沉积碎屑岩型层状菱铁矿;(2)海相火山沉积型层状菱铁矿;(3)海相沉积碳酸盐岩型层状菱铁矿。     

气相连通罐组群罐燃爆风险定量评估技术研究

炼化企业气相连通罐组存在群罐重大火灾风险,需要采取系统评估、层层设防的思路进行防控。采用HALOPA技术,结合中国石化风险矩阵标准,建立基于风险的气相连通罐组重大燃爆风险控制准则、不同罐容的事故后果等级划分标准、各类保护措施的风险消减因子和燃爆事件可能性评估方法以及相关重要设计要求。案例分析表明,VOCs气相连通罐组群罐燃爆风险定量评估方法可对群罐火灾风险进行快速量化评估,可用于气相连通罐组的风险评估和工程安全设计。     

建设农村小康社会与发展生态农业

论述生态农业在建设农村小康社会中的重要作用，分析生态农业面临的形势和问题，并提出政策建议。