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41.
42.
河流水污染定量研究进展 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
水质模型可定量地反映出水质状况与污染物排放之间的关系,从而为进行水质评价与预测、选择污染控制方案以及制定水质标准和排放污染规定提供可靠的依据.文章从建立模型所采用的数学方法角度出发,较为详细的概述了近年来水质模拟的研究进展,并对确定性模型所存在的问题和河流水质模型的发展趋势做出评价. 相似文献
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44.
从生态环境角度论鄱阳湖区农业可持续发展 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
鄱阳湖区农业资源十分丰富,具有发展大农业的优越条件。本文通过对湖区农业生态环境的脆弱性分析,指出湖区农业的非良性循环特性,提出防洪、抗旱、治涝、血吸虫病治理等对策措施,为湖区农业可持续发展提供决策参考。 相似文献
45.
A Sensitivity Analysis of Nitrogen Losses from Dairy Farms 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
International attention has focused on agricultural production systems as non-point sources of pollution affecting the quality of streams, estuaries and ground water resources. The objective of the current study was to develop a model of nitrogen management on the dairy farm, and to perform sensitivity analyses in order to determine the relative importance of manipulating herd nutrition, manure management and crop selection in reducing nitrogen (N) losses from the farm. The importance of the method of N input to the farm (purchased feed, legume fixation, inorganic fertilizer, imported manure) was investigated, and the potential to reduce N losses from dairy farms was evaluated. Nitrogen balance equations were derived, and related efficiency coefficients were set to reference values representing common management practices. Total farm N efficiency (animal product N per N input), and N losses per product N were determined for different situations by solving the set of simultaneous equations. Improvements in animal diet and management that increase the conversion of feed N to animal product by 50% would increase total farm N efficiency by 48% and reduce N losses per product by 36 to 40%. In contrast, reducing losses from manure collection, storage and application to improve the percentage of manure N that becomes available in soil by 100% would only improve total farm N efficiency by 13% and reduce total N losses by 14%. Selecting crops and management that can use soil nutrients 50% more efficiently would improve total farm efficiency by up to 59% and reduce N losses by up to 41% depending on the predominant nitrogen sources to the farm. Legume production would reduce N losses per product compared with non-legumes. There was more than a five fold difference in N losses per animal product N between the most extreme scenarios suggesting considerable opportunity to reduce N losses from dairy farms. 相似文献
47.
农业气象干旱指标研究综述 总被引:16,自引:0,他引:16
干旱作为最严重的气象灾害之一,已经对我国社会经济和人民生活造成严重影响。结合农业干旱和气象干旱基本理论,对农业气象干旱的定义及指标作了较为详细的综述与评价,指出了不同指标的优点和缺点,对今后的研究方向进行了展望,为干旱的监测和评估及农业防灾减灾研究提供了方法和依据。 相似文献
48.
高晓勤 《中国安全生产科学技术》2006,2(6):108-110
定量化风险管理技术有其无可比拟的优势,但无法对风险因素中的人为因素进行管理。本文通过分析量化管理的缺陷和定性化管理的优势,提出应根据具体情况,采用定量化与定性化管理相结合的管理方式,并提出定性化管理的具体方法。 相似文献
49.
新疆中低产田发展人工草地的初步研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
从新疆天然草地的利用,农业面临的问题出发,说明在绿洲内发展人工草地的必要性。针对全疆中低产田特点,将其分成7种基本类型。按类型总结出相应适生的饲草种类。通过人工种植这些饲草,达到合理利用改良耕地的目的,进而带动整个农业产业结构的调整,建立起适宜新疆农业发展的草地农业模式。 相似文献
50.
Brent J. Dalzell Prasanna H. Gowda David J. Mulla 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2004,40(2):533-543
ABSTRACT: This paper studies the effectiveness of alternative farm management strategies at improving water quality to meet Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) in agricultural watersheds. A spatial process model was calibrated using monthly flow, sediment, and phosphorus (P) losses (1994 to 1996) from Sand Creek watershed in south‐central Minnesota. Statistical evaluation of predicted and observed data gave r2 coefficients of 0.75, 0.69, and 0.49 for flow (average 4.1 m3/s), sediment load (average 0.44 ton/ha), and phosphorus load (average 0.97 kg/ha), respectively. The calibrated model was used to evaluate the effects of conservation tillage, conversion of crop land to pasture, and changes in phosphorus fertilizer application rate on pollutant loads. TMDLs were developed for sediment and P losses based on existing water quality standards and guidelines. Observed annual sediment and P losses exceeded these TMDLs by 59 percent and 83 percent, respectively. A combination of increased conservation tillage, reduced application rates of phosphorus fertilizer, and conversion of crop land to pasture could reduce sediment and phosphorus loads by 23 percent and 20 percent of existing loads, respectively. These reductions are much less than needed to meet TMDLs, suggesting that control of sediment using buffer strips and control of point sources of phosphorus are needed for the remaining reductions. 相似文献