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111.
112.
Problem
To simplify the computation of the variance in before-after studies, it is generally assumed that the observed crash data for each entity (or observation) are Poisson distributed. Given the characteristics of this distribution, the observed value (xi) for each entity is implicitly made equal to its variance. However, the variance should be estimated using the conditional properties of this observed value (defined as a random variable), that is, f(xi|μi), since the mean of the observed value is in fact unknown.Method
Parametric and non-parametric bootstrap methods were investigated to evaluate the conditional assumption using simulated and observed data.Results
The results of this study show that observed data should not be used as a substitute for the variance, even if the entities are assumed to be Poisson distributed. Consequently, the estimated variance for the parameters under study in traditional before-after studies is likely to be underestimated.Conclusions
The proposed methods offer more accurate approaches for estimating the variance in before-after studies. 相似文献113.
区域性煤矿百万吨死亡率指标的宏观预测研究 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1
为了对煤矿安全状况进行宏观预测,提出区域性煤矿安全状况评价指标体系并建立了以煤矿百万吨死亡率指标标征区域性煤矿安全状况的灰色预测模型。在对煤矿综合机械化采煤率、大型煤矿产量比例、原煤全员效率指标预测分析的基础上,利用多元回归法综合预测煤矿百万吨死亡率指标。实例计算证明:建立的预测模型具有输入数据少、建模简单、计算快捷等优点;客观地反映出区域性的煤矿安全状况;该模型可进行煤矿安全的短期预测,并为制定煤矿安全控制指标提供理论依据。 相似文献
114.
115.
职业安全绩效指标研究 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1
为了建立企业安全生产长效机制,提高安全管理水平,预防事故的发生,笔者在研究国内外企业安全绩效要素及分类方法的基础上,提出了包含10个一级要素及50个二级要素的企业安全绩效指标体系,并就指标的设立原则、定义、权重的确定和应用进行了阐述示例。同时,也为政府安全监管部门提供了科学决策的依据。 相似文献
116.
K. Pritsch D. Ernst F. Fleischmann S. Gayler T. E. E. Grams A. Göttlein W. Heller N. Koch H. Lang R. Matyssek J. C. Munch M. Olbrich H. Scherb S. Stich J. B. Winkler M. Schloter 《Water, Air, & Soil Pollution: Focus》2008,8(2):139-154
A lysimeter study was performed to monitor effects of elevated ozone on juvenile trees of Fagus sylvatica L. as well as on the plant–soil system. During a fumigation period over almost three growing seasons, parameters related
to plant growth, phenological development and physiology as well as soil functions were studied. The data analyses identified
elevated ozone to delay leaf phenology at early and to accelerate it at late developmental stages, to reduce growth, some
leaf nutrients (Ca, K) as well as some soluble phenolics (hydroxycinnamic acid derivatives, total flavonol glycosides). No
or very weak ozone effects were found in mobile carbon pools of leaves (starch, sucrose), and other phenolic compounds (flavans).
Altered gene expression related to stress and carbon cycling corresponded well with findings from leaf phenology and chemical
composition analyses indicating earlier senescence and oxidative stress in leaves under elevated ozone. Conversely in the
soil system, no effects of ozone were detected on soil enzyme activities, rates of litter degradation and lysimeter water
balances. Despite the fact that the three reported years 2003–2005 were climatically very contrasting including a hot and
dry as well as an extremely wet summer, and also mild as well as cold winters, the influence of ozone on a number of plant
parameters is remarkably consistent, further underlining the phytotoxic potential of elevated tropospheric ozone levels. 相似文献
117.
区域规划环境影响跟踪评价的理论研究 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
随着环境影响评价制度的深入实施,其实施领域已由项目环评向区域环评和规划环评转变,评价内容也由广泛实施的预测评价向后评价和跟踪评价转变。然而,对于区域规划环评的评价层次、评价程序和评价内容,目前还没有明晰的认识;同时,对于促进规划环评有效实施的跟踪评价,其相关的理论和实践研究几乎没有。文中就此问题作了深入探讨。 相似文献
118.
遥感监测土壤湿度综述 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
遥感技术具有大面积同步观测,时效性、经济性强等特点,为大面积动态监测土壤湿度提供了可能。本文对近年来国内外遥感监测土壤湿度的理论、方法的发展和应用进行了回顾,重点介绍了目前已经比较成熟和广泛应用的基于可见光与热红外波段的植被指数方法以及在干旱、半干旱地区的应用,通过对比分析了各种遥感监测方法的优缺点,指出了土壤湿度遥感监测方法存在的不足,展望了土壤湿度遥感监测方法的发展趋势。 相似文献
119.
What matters for work engagement? A diary study on resources and the benefits of selective optimization with compensation for state work engagement
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This diary study addresses the benefits of employees' daily use of selective optimization with compensation (SOC) for state work engagement. We hypothesized that day‐level SOC not only directly fosters work engagement but that SOC also reveals its beneficial effects for work engagement in interaction with both external and internal resources. Specifically, we proposed SOC substitutes for job control, role clarity, and state of being recovered, thus helping employees manage low daily levels of these resources. We tested our hypotheses with a sample of 138 employees who completed two daily surveys over a total of 545 workdays. Results of multilevel analyses revealed that SOC benefits work engagement in both proposed ways. First, day‐level SOC was positively related to state work engagement. Additionally, day‐level role clarity and state of being recovered predicted state work engagement, but day‐level job control did not. Second, SOC benefitted state work engagement by offsetting low levels of role clarity and being recovered, and by boosting job control in their respective relationships with work engagement. The results suggest that by using SOC at work, employees can actively enhance their own work engagement on a given workday. This knowledge provides promising starting points for the development of interventions. 相似文献
120.
Lars Guenther Peter Weingart Corlia Meyer 《Environmental Communication: A Journal of Nature and Culture》2018,12(8):1046-1061
ABSTRACTIn science communication, a prerequisite for reaching different parts of a society is to find out how these publics experience and interpret science. Since rural South African publics are perceived to exhibit a large cultural distance to science, the present exploratory study aimed to know in more detail how rural South Africans perceive and understand science in their local and social contexts. Theoretical notions on cultural distance and the methodological approach of segmentation studies were considered. Semi-structured interviews with rural South Africans were carried out in four towns (n?=?52) that differ with respect to having a large scientific installation in their vicinity, or not. Sensitively comparing local and social contexts helped identifying three different publics who differed regarding their perceptions of science; however, the large scientific installations only made a difference in perceptions for those publics who were generally less exposed to and less knowledgeable about science. 相似文献