Fisheries management: integrating societal preference, decision analysis, and ecological risk assessment

Fisheries management is the practice of analyzing and selecting options to maintain or alter the structure, dynamics, and interaction of habitat, aquatic biota, and man to achieve human goals and objectives. The theory of fisheries management is: managers or decision makers attempt to maximize renewable `output' from an aquatic resource by choosing from among a set of decision options and applying a set of actions that generate an array of outputs. Outputs may be defined as a tangible catch, a fishing experience, an existence value, or anything else produced or supported by renewable aquatic resources. Overall output is always a mix of tangible and intangible elements. However defined, management goals and objectives are essential components of fisheries management or any other field of renewable natural resource management. Reaching consensus on management goals and objectives has never been a simple task. Beyond the broad and often conflicting goals of an agency, managers must decide who should set specific management objectives — agency personnel, the public, or a combination of the two. Historically, rhetoric aside, fisheries managers in North America nearly always have consulted with professionals in governmental roles to set management objectives. In a strongly pluralistic society, this often resulted in protracted political and legal conflict. Increasingly, there are calls for use of risk assessment to help solve such ecological policy and management problems commonly encountered in fisheries management. The basic concepts of ecological risk assessment may be simple, but the jargon and details are not. Risk assessment (and similar analytical tools) is a concept that has evoked strong reactions whenever it has been used. In spite of the difficulties of defining problems and setting management objectives for complex ecological policy questions, use of risk assessment to help solve ecological problems is widely supported. Ecological risk assessment will be most useful (and objective) in political deliberations when the policy debate revolves around largely technical concerns. To the extent that risk assessment forces policy debate and disagreement toward fundamental differences rather than superficial ones, it will be useful in decision making.     

新疆玛纳斯河流域农业水资源可利用潜力分析

结合新疆玛纳斯河流域水文水资源、种植结构和节水技术发展等资料,从开源、节流两方面对流域近期(至2010年)、中远期(2010-2030年)农业水资源极限潜力、可挖掘潜力进行了估算。结果表明,就目前水资源的利用水平和开发趋势,玛纳斯河流域未来农业水资源的主要利用途径是开源与节流相结合,以节流为主。全流域尚有的农业灌溉水资源极限潜力为10.75×10⁸m³,近期农业水资源可挖掘潜力为2.13×10⁸m³,其中开源增水潜力0.40×10⁸m³,占18.8%,节流增水潜力1.73×10⁸m³,占81.2%;中远期农业水资源可挖掘潜力5.33×10⁸m³,其中开源增水潜力1.12×10⁸m³,占21.0%,节流增水潜力4.21×10⁸m³,占79.0%。该研究对区域制订节水灌溉规划及水资源系统优化配置具有重要参考价值。     

山东省森林资源与木材供需平衡模型的建立与应用

本文在对山东省森林资源和木材供需平衡状况进行系统分析的基础上，利用系统动力学方法建立了山东省森林资源与木材供需平衡模型，通过对不同方案的政策仿真和结果分析，试图提出解决山东省木材供需矛盾的最佳途径，为制定林业发展政策提供依据。     

区域土地资源承载能力研究模式雏议——以甘肃省定西县为例

本文从土地现实生产力分析和作物潜在生产力估算入手,借助IBM-PC计算机,通过土地资源生产力评价的 MFICA 模式和土地资源优化利用模型的建立,初步框算了定西县1990年、2000年,2025年以及2050年之后的区域农业生产力及其土地资源承载力,进尔阐释了该县土地资源承载力的演变及其土地-粮食-人口关系的可能发展趋势。为区域土地资源承载力研究提供了一条切实可行的途径。     

浅谈内蒙古草原生态环境现状及其保护对策

本文针对当前内蒙古草原生态环境现状以及草原资源利用所面临的问题，从利用制度、管理措施等多方面提出了加强草原保护和合理利用的相应对策。     

浅析元宝山露天矿疏干排水存在的问题

通过对元宝山露天矿疏干水现存问题的探讨 ,对问题成因进行分析 ,找出解决问题的的具体办法 ,为露天疏干水建设提供模型     

采用节水措施促进秦皇岛市水资源可持续发展

水资源是人类生存与发展最宝贵的自然资源,是任何其他资源都无法取代的、有限的资源.中国人均水资源量只有世界人均占有量的四分之一,是一个水资源贫乏的国家.秦皇岛市人均水资源量为597 吨/年,是全国平均值的1/4左右,属于缺水城市.在可供水不断减少的情况下,水资源需求量又在不断增加,因此,未来水资源的短缺形势将更为严峻,以水资源紧张为特征的水危机将会不断加剧.面对水资源短缺危机,节水成为秦皇岛市水资源可持续利用的根本出路.     

绿色GDP核算框架下的水环境治理效益评价

水环境的治理对于经济、社会的发展都具有重要意义。在此,以国家“十五”重大科技水专项分课题武汉水专项的实施为背景,在绿色GDP核算框架下对水环境治理效益进行了评价。     

天津市太阳辐射能资源的精细估算研究

本文根据天津市区１９５９～１９９４年共计３６ａ逐日实测总辐射资料,建立了用其它气象要素（日照百分率及空气湿度）估算不同尺度（年、季、月、旬、候及逐日）太阳总辐射量的系列经验公式,其平均拟合精确度可达９０％～９７％。     

蔗糖厂酒精废醪液资源化浓缩治理

酒精废醪液浓缩法是一种资源化处理技术。将废醪液用石灰乳中和后，经多效蒸发加以浓缩，然后或者直接干燥为干粉，或者与干蔗髓混匀后干燥成蔗髓干粉，或者直接用作复合肥原料。此技术已在广东、广西和云南的部分糖厂使用，均取得较好的环境、社会和经济效益。