全文获取类型
收费全文 | 7492篇 |
免费 | 934篇 |
国内免费 | 1598篇 |
专业分类
安全科学 | 1616篇 |
废物处理 | 113篇 |
环保管理 | 1020篇 |
综合类 | 4167篇 |
基础理论 | 1204篇 |
污染及防治 | 492篇 |
评价与监测 | 332篇 |
社会与环境 | 650篇 |
灾害及防治 | 430篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 62篇 |
2023年 | 184篇 |
2022年 | 339篇 |
2021年 | 378篇 |
2020年 | 366篇 |
2019年 | 297篇 |
2018年 | 252篇 |
2017年 | 374篇 |
2016年 | 386篇 |
2015年 | 412篇 |
2014年 | 334篇 |
2013年 | 414篇 |
2012年 | 609篇 |
2011年 | 664篇 |
2010年 | 523篇 |
2009年 | 565篇 |
2008年 | 398篇 |
2007年 | 468篇 |
2006年 | 477篇 |
2005年 | 332篇 |
2004年 | 256篇 |
2003年 | 253篇 |
2002年 | 250篇 |
2001年 | 185篇 |
2000年 | 186篇 |
1999年 | 145篇 |
1998年 | 144篇 |
1997年 | 129篇 |
1996年 | 102篇 |
1995年 | 95篇 |
1994年 | 83篇 |
1993年 | 66篇 |
1992年 | 58篇 |
1991年 | 31篇 |
1990年 | 22篇 |
1989年 | 26篇 |
1988年 | 23篇 |
1987年 | 18篇 |
1986年 | 17篇 |
1985年 | 10篇 |
1984年 | 8篇 |
1981年 | 11篇 |
1980年 | 13篇 |
1979年 | 12篇 |
1978年 | 10篇 |
1977年 | 4篇 |
1973年 | 4篇 |
1972年 | 4篇 |
1971年 | 9篇 |
1970年 | 5篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 481 毫秒
701.
C. B. Vreugdenhil 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2002,38(4):1083-1095
ABSTRACT: Over the last 20 years, our possibilities to model river flows numerically have increased enormously. In this paper, the question is addressed whether a more sophisticated model is always better than a simpler one. Increased detail, both in finer resolution and in physical processes taken into account, has its price in more computer time, higher data need, and perhaps more unknown coefficients to be calibrated. Moreover, uncertainty in actual physical conditions (e.g., bottom roughness), inflow and parameters remains, which may dominate the uncertainty of the results. Also, the questions asked by a decision maker may not always be very precise. For a schematic but relevant example, we show that a better model does not necessarily give more reliable results because some of the basic uncertainties remain. It is concluded that we should use the simplest model that will answer the question as to the accuracy needed, taking into account uncertainties in the data 相似文献
702.
喀斯特石山地区社会经济与生态环境可持续发展系统研究:以桂西北为例 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
本建立了广西西北部喀斯特石山地区可持续发展的系统动力学模型。并用DYNAMO程序预测了未来20年桂西北地区的人口、工业、农业、第三产业,生态环境,土地资源,社会总产值,人均国民收人等的动态变化趋势,结果显示,该地区由于人口,工业资产增加使物质和能源消耗增长太快,而对污染治理的投入又太少,导致桂西北地区的生存环境质量下降,因此应当加大对污染治理的投入力度,改善区域环境质量,这是实现息烽县区域可持续发展的关键,根据区域特点探讨了桂西北喀斯特贫困山区的形成演化,提出了可持续发展的途径。 相似文献
703.
Modeling the relationships between land use and land cover on private lands in the Upper Midwest, USA 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
This paper presents an approach to modeling land-cover change as a function of land-use change. We argue that, in order to model the link between socio-economic change and changes in forest cover in a region that is experiencing residential and recreational development and agricultural abandonment, land-use and land-cover change need to be represented as separate processes. Forest-cover change is represented here using two transition probabilities that were calculated from Landsat imagery and that, taken together, describe a Markov transition matrix between forest and non-forest over a 10-year period. Using a three-date land-use data set, compiled and interpreted from digitized parcel boundaries, and scanned aerial photography for 136 sites (c. 2500 ha) sampled from the Upper Midwest, USA, we test functional relationships between forest-cover transition probabilities, standardized to represent changes over a decade, and land-use conditions and changes within sample sites. Regression models indicated that about 60% of the variation in the average forest-cover transition probabilities (i.e. from forest to non-forest and vice versa) can be predicted using three variables: amount of agricultural land use in a site; amount of developed land use; and the amount of area increasing in development. In further analysis, time lags were evaluated, showing that agricultural abandonment had a relatively strong time-lag effect but development did not. We demonstrate an approach to using forest-cover transition probabilities to develop spatially-constrained simulations of forest-cover change. Because the simulations are based on transition probabilities that are indexed to a particular time and place, the simulations are improved over previous applications of Markov transition models. This modeling approach can be used to predict forest-cover changes as a result of socio-economic change, by linking to models that predict land-use change on the basis of exogenous human-induced drivers. 相似文献
704.
1989年以来,泗阳县运用系统工程的方法,对黄河故道滩区洪涝沙碱旱的综合治理和滩区三荒资源的综合开发利用进行了研究和实践,创立了黄河故道滩区综合开发模式,缩短了开发周期,提高了开发效益,为黄淮流域季节性沙土河道滩区的治理开发树立了一个典范。本文将扼要介绍模式的提出、建立和实施效果。 相似文献
705.
利用先进的遥感技术对荒地资源进行调查,可以直接、准确地圈定荒地的范围;确定荒地的土壤性质,这一手段不仅精度高,而且省时省力。另外,本文根据遥感解译,还提出了荒地资源开发利用的构想,并针对性地提出了相应的生产模式。 相似文献
706.
Keith Loague 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1992,28(4):687-693
ABSTRACT: In this paper a new set of soil texture data is used to estimate the spatial distribution of saturated hydraulic conductivity values for a small rangeland catchment. The estimates of conductivity are used to re-excite and re-evaluate a quasi-physically based rainfall-runoff model. The performance of the model is significantly reduced with conductivity estimates gleaned from soil texture data rather than the infiltration data used in our previous efforts. 相似文献
707.
S. N. Kulshreshtha J. A. Gillies 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1993,29(2):257-266
ABSTRACT: Presence of a river in an urban setting may contribute positively to an aesthetically pleasing environment. Such aesthetic effects are not typically linked to specific economic activities and occur, for example, when residents are exposed to a river-view. Qualities enhancing the aesthetic value of the river include the presence of parks, trails, and vegetation along the riverbanks. The value of aesthetic amenities provided by the South Saskatchewan to the City of Saskatoon residents was estimated in this study using non-market methods. The implicit price of the river view was estimated using the Hedonic Price Model, whereas value through willingness to pay for property taxes or higher rents were also estimated using actual market data. The total annual value of the river to the City of Saskatoon through addition of aesthetic amenities was estimated at $1.2 million in 1989 dollars. 相似文献
708.
David M. Wolock Gregory J. McCabe Gary D. Tasker Marshall E. Moss 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1993,29(3):475-486
ABSTRACT: The effects of potential climate change on water resources in the Delaware River basin were determined. The study focused on two important water-resource components in the basin: (1) storage in the reservoirs that supply New York City, and (2) the position of the salt front in the Delaware River estuary. Current reservoir operating procedures provide for releases from the New York City reservoirs to maintain the position of the salt front in the estuary downstream from freshwater intakes and ground-water recharge zones in the Philadelphia metropolitan area. A hydrologic model of the basin was developed to simulate changes in New York City reservoir storage and the position of the salt front in the Delaware River estuary given changes in temperature and precipitation. Results of simulations indicated that storage depletion in the New York City reservoirs is a more likely effect of changes in temperature and precipitation than is the upstream movement of the salt front in the Delaware River estuary. In contrast, the results indicated that a rise in sea level would have a greater effect on movement of the salt front than on storage in the New York City reservoirs. The model simulations also projected that, by decreasing current mandated reservoir releases, a balance can be reached wherein the negative effects of climate change on storage in the New York City reservoirs and the position of the salt front in the Delaware River estuary are minimized. Finally, the results indicated that natural variability in climate is of such magnitude that its effects on water resources could overwhelm the effects of long-term trends in precipitation and temperature. 相似文献
709.
DEVELOPMENT OF WATERSIIED MODELS FOR TWO SIERRA NEVADA BASINS USING A GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEM1
Anne E. Jeton J. LaRue. Smith 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1993,29(6):923-932
ABSTRACT: Techniques were developed using vector and raster data in a geographic information system (GIS) to define the spatial variability of watershed characteristics in the north-central Sierra Nevada of California and Nevada and to assist in computing model input parameters. The U.S. Geological Survey's Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System, a physically based, distributed-parameter watershed model, simulates runoff for a basin by partitioning a watershed into areas that each have a homogeneous hydrologic response to precipitation or snowmelt. These land units, known as hydrologic-response units (HRU's), are characterized according to physical properties, such as altitude, slope, aspect, land cover, soils, and geology, and climate patterns. Digital data were used to develop a GIS data base and HRIJ classification for the American River and Carson River basins. The following criteria are used in delineating HRU's: (1) Data layers are hydrologically significant and have a resolution appropriate to the watershed's natural spatial variability, (2) the technique for delineating HRU's accommodates different classification criteria and is reproducible, and (3) HRU's are not limited by hydrographic-subbasin boundaries. HRU's so defined are spatially noncontiguous. The result is an objective, efficient methodology for characterizing a watershed and for delineating HRU's. Also, digital data can be analyzed and transformed to assist in defining parameters and in calibrating the model. 相似文献
710.
ABSTRACT: An integrated remotely sensed database was used as the basis for a hydrologic and sediment transport modeling effort for an agricultural area of western Puerto Rico. Classified spectral images of airborne radiance data provided ground cover information and were used in conjunction with topographic and soils data to guide model construction and provide input to the water balance and sediment yield simulations. Runoff and sediment discharge from hydrologically homogeneous regions were routed through the drainage network and combined at the basin outlet. The model was used to simulate four years of observed sediment discharge from the basin. Relative contributions to the total sediment yield of forested and agricultural areas were determined and compared. 相似文献