斑马线“人-车”博弈仿真

我国自2017年开展“车让人”活动以来,斑马线事故得到有效控制。但本文经统计发现,近两年交通事故量并未明显降低,即“车让人”虽有效控制了斑马线事故,但并未明显影响整体交通安全形势。为此论文设计了3种人车博弈仿真实验,分析不同典型情况下的礼让司机心态:在没有规定车让人时,积极礼让率约20%;在规定车让人时,积极礼让率约50%;当给予司机正向反馈时,积极礼让率约70%,仿真结果验证了:如果没有很好地兼顾司机情绪,“车让人”并不能实现本质安全,即大量交通事故只不过是从斑马线推移到了公路的其他地方(事故外溢)。论文最后建议在斑马线处分别设计给司机和行人阅读的2套标语,综合调控司机心境,有效防控“斑马线事故外溢”。     

基于TruckSim的大型货物运输车辆安全运行纵坡最大长度研究*

为研究适用于典型大型货物运输车辆的道路纵坡及最大坡长参数,构建大型货物运输车辆动力学仿真模型,并考虑车辆冲坡行为及公路线形设计习惯,建立包含直线提速蓄能路段、以最小长度控制的竖曲线路段以及不同坡度纵坡路段组成的试验道路,对比分析设计速度120 km/h、纵坡坡度1.0%~3.0%,设计速度100 km/h、纵坡坡度1.0%~4.0%以及设计速度80 km/h、纵坡坡度1.0%~5.0%3种不同道路条件下,大型货物运输车辆在试验路段的运行速度变化规律。依据速度一致性原则,以大型货物运输车辆的运行速度衰减度作为控制指标,得到各设计速度道路不同纵坡路段对应的最大纵坡长度。结果表明:在保证纵坡路段满足最小长度要求的条件下,通过减小纵坡路段长度,增大竖曲线长度,可提高大型货物运输车辆纵坡路段通过性。     

Impact of medical fitness to drive policies in preventing property damage,injury, and death from motor vehicle collisions in Ontario,Canada

Introduction: Drivers with medical conditions and functional impairments are at increased collision risk. A challenge lies in identifying the point at which such risk becomes unacceptable to society and requires mitigating measures. This study models the road safety impact of medical fitness-to-drive policy in Ontario. Method: Using data from 2005 to 2014, we estimated the losses to road safety incurred during the time medically-at-risk drivers were under review, as well as the savings to road safety accrued as a result of licensing decisions made after the review process. Results: While under review, drivers with medical conditions had an age- and sex-standardized collision rate no different from the general driver population, suggesting no road safety losses occurred (RR = 1.02; 95% CI: 0.93–1.12). Licensing decisions were estimated to have subsequently prevented 1,211 (95% CI: 780–1,730) collisions, indicating net road safety savings resulting from medical fitness to drive policies. However, more collisions occurred than were prevented for drivers with musculoskeletal disorders, sleep apnea, and diabetes. We theorize on these findings and discuss its multiple implications. Conclusions: Minimizing the impact of medical conditions on collision occurrence requires robust policies that balance fairness and safety. It is dependent on efforts by academic researchers (who study fitness to drive); policymakers (who set driver medical standards); licensing authorities (who make licensing decisions under such standards); and clinicians (who counsel patients on their driving risk and liaise with licensing authorities). Practical Applications: Further efforts are needed to improve understanding of the effects of medical conditions on collision risk, especially for the identified conditions and combinations of conditions. Results reinforce the value of optimizing the processes by which information is solicited from physicians in order to better assess the functional impact of drivers’ medical conditions on driving and to take suitable licensing action.     

交通事故现场警务取证区块化溯源分析方法*

为突破以现场为中心的取证模式,研究基于交通事故过程导向的交通事故现场警务取证系统化方法,以审判为中心理念重构警务取证的新模式,应用区块链溯源方法的思想与技术,提出警务取证区块化溯源分析方法。结果表明:交通事故现场警务取证,应当以交通事故认定的交通事故构成的“七何”要件为证明标准;警务取证包括交通事故全过程的道路交通系统、交通事故现场、交通事故事实3个区块节点;取证具体涉及交通安全风险控制系统的8个系统要素,现场系统的7个系统要素,以及交通事故元素的2个事实要素。该方法的双向溯源技术可确保警务取证的成效,有效提升取证执法效能。     

弯道路段集重型大型货物运输车辆通过宽度研究*

为研究集重型大型货物运输车辆在弯道路段不同圆曲线半径条件下的通过宽度,基于Ackerman转向原理建立集重型大型货物运输车辆转弯模型,研究道路圆曲线路段车辆通过所需道路宽度与牵引车前轴中心运行半径和液压轴线挂车长度间的关系;得到车辆外廓弯道最外侧点的判别方法,以及牵引车前轴中心运行半径、液压轴线挂车长度对车辆通过所需道路宽度的影响强度、相对优势影响区域及三者间的分段函数关系;得到典型车辆通过不同半径弯道所需道路宽度与牵引车前轴中心运行半径间的关系。结果表明:计算方法及结果可为大型货物运输道路规划设计和集重型大型货物的运输路径优选提供理论依据。     

Prevalence of alcohol impairment and odds of a driver injury or fatality in on-road farm equipment crashes

Objective: The objective of this article was to estimate the prevalence of alcohol impairment in crashes involving farm equipment on public roadways and the effect of alcohol impairment on the odds of crash injury or fatality.

Methods: On-road farm equipment crashes were collected from 4 Great Plains state departments of transportation during 2005–2010. Alcohol impairment was defined as an involved driver having blood alcohol content of ≥0.08 g/100 ml or a finding of alcohol impairment as a driver contributing circumstance recorded on the police crash report. Injury or fatality was categorized as (a) no injury (no and possible injury combined), (b) injury (nonincapacitating or incapacitating injury), and (c) fatality. Hierarchical multivariable logistic regression modeling, clustered on crash, was used to estimate the odds of an injury/fatality in crashes involving an alcohol-impaired driver.

Results: During the 5 years under study, 3.1% (61 of 1971) of on-road farm equipment crashes involved an alcohol-impaired driver. One in 20 (5.6%) injury crashes and 1 in 6 (17.8%) fatality crashes involved an alcohol-impaired driver. The non-farm equipment driver was significantly more likely to be alcohol impaired than the farm equipment driver (2.4% versus 1.1% respectively, P = .0012). After controlling for covariates, crashes involving an alcohol-impaired driver had 4.10 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.30–7.28) times the odds of an injury or fatality. In addition, the non-farm vehicle driver was at 2.28 (95% CI, 1.92–2.71) times higher odds of an injury or fatality than the farm vehicle driver. No differences in rurality of the crash site were found in the multivariable model.

Conclusion: On-road farm equipment crashes involving alcohol result in greater odds of an injury or fatality. The risk of injury or fatality is higher among the non-farm equipment vehicle drivers who are also more likely to be alcohol impaired. Further studies are needed to measure the impact of alcohol impairment in on-road farm equipment crashes.     

交通污染对城市土壤和植物的影响

以我国西北地区大气污染严重的兰州市为研究区,分别采集了交通主干道两侧及远离交通主干道的公园及大学校园里的槐树(Sophora japonica L.)叶片和土壤样品,研究了交通污染对城市土壤理化性质和重金属积累以及植物叶片中重金属、氮、磷积累的影响.结果表明:①交通主干道两侧土壤的电导率和有机碳含量显著高于公园土壤而pH值显著低于公园土壤;②交通主干道两侧土壤中Zn、Cd、Hg、Pb、Cu、Cr和As等7种微量元素的含量显著高于公园土壤,表明交通污染导致了这些元素在土壤中的异常积累;③生长在交通主干道两侧的槐树叶片中Zn、Cd、As、Hg、Pb、Ni、Co、Cr、N等9种元素的含量显著高于生长在公园的槐树叶片,同样表明交通污染导致了这些元素在槐树叶片中的异常积累,但是不同元素在土壤和植物叶片中的积累程度存在着差异.     

引哈济党工程对苏干湖湿地天然植被的影响

根据Processing MODFLOW模型对调水后大苏干湖区面积和湿地地下水位的影响预测结果,初步确立引哈济党工程适宜调水量,并在各调水方案的基础上,以干旱区天然植被与地下水的定量关系为依据,分析预测地下水位下降对湿地天然植被的影响。结果表明:不同工况引水50 a后,大苏干湖湖泊面积减少均不超过8%;湿地地下水水位0 m~1 m区面积将持续下降,最大减少17 km2;湿地天然植被部分将发生演替,主要由湿生植被向中、旱生植被演变,影响集中在两湖间河道湿地及湿地外围边缘地带。     

测点高度对道路交通噪声监测数据的影响

通过在4城市对132条道路进行了道路交通噪声测点高度试验,系统分析了测点高度从手工监测的1.2 m向自动监测的4.5 m转化后,在不同道路情况对道路交通噪声监测数据的影响。结果表明,测点高度提高后监测结果变化在±3 dB(A)以内。待测道路的车道数和测点与机动车道的距离是其主要影响因素。对两测点高度进行对比,4.5 m高度噪声值随水平距离增加衰减较小,测量结果更稳定。     

基于改进SIFT算法的交通事故图像匹配

为解决无人机航拍交通事故现场图像特征点数量较少、匹配成功率较低、耗时过长的问题,提出1种改进的SIFT算法,使用Gabor滤波对图像进行特征提取,基于改进的高斯金字塔和多方向多尺度Gabor频谱特点提取出具有尺度、旋转不变性的特征点,结合LLE算法对特征描述符进行降维处理,通过DBSCAN算法对特征点进行密度聚类,计算...