绿色技术与可持续发展

本文着重论述了绿色技术的概念、层次及意义，指出在我国尽快树立起崭新的生态伦理观，大力推行绿色技术，把我国经济、社会、环境纳入协调发展的轨道，是实现可持续发展的必由之路。     

丹阳市沿江三镇经济与社会协调发展的实践与思考

江苏省丹阳市沿江毗邻的界牌、新桥、后巷三镇自1978年以来,坚持经济建设与资源开发、环境保护和社会事业并举,走出了一条农村经济与社会协调发展的新路子。十多年来,三镇经济规模不断扩大,村镇建设日新月异,人均耕地有增无减,资源得到综合利用,环境保护卓有成效,社会事业发展迅速,已具现代化雏形。三镇的实践给我们下了深刻的思考,即实现农村经济与社会协调发展必须加快科技进步、加速村镇建设、加强政府调控。     

基于可持续发展的我国现代化进程中能源需求预测

在简要介绍1980年以来我国能源消费状况．对我国全面建设小康社会奋斗目标和现代化战略目标分析的基础上，遵循可持续发展原则．本文采用能源强度法并设计三种方案对我国未来能源的消费量和消费结构进行了预测和分析。预测结果表明，2020年我国的能源消费量将达到21．16亿-24.90亿,2050年为26.64-37．68亿,今后必须大幅度降低备产业特别是第二、三产业能源强度，促进我国实现可持续发展。     

农村生活垃圾分类治理的奖惩激励机制——基于复杂网络演化博弈模型

充分考虑农村"熟人社会"特点,首次采用复杂网络演化博弈模型,通过数值仿真分析了声誉损失和奖励政策对农户垃圾分类行为扩散深度的动态影响.结果表明：政府不干预时,垃圾分类将无法在农村自发持续而普遍推广;在一定范围内提高声誉损失或奖励均可显著促进农户分类;仅依靠单一政策,无法实现分类的深度扩散,若依靠声誉损失与奖励相互配合,可实现低政策强度、高扩散深度的合意效果;搭便车收益的提高会抑制垃圾分类扩散深度;注重经验学习和适应能力的EWA学习策略更有助于促进垃圾分类扩散.上述结论广泛适用于分类初始状态、学习能力、人口规模不同的农村,对中国农村垃圾分类具有普遍性的启发意义.最后,提出了充分利用"熟人社会"优势构建与农村社会经济特征相契合的垃圾分类激励政策建议.     

中国老年人驾车安全问题及其对策

随着中国进入老龄化社会,老年驾驶员数量将持续增加,这给交通安全带来了新的问题。为保障老年驾驶员的交通安全,在分析老年人生理和心理特征以及老年驾驶员交通事故特点的基础上,提出了适合中国国情的老年驾驶员驾车安全对策。     

江苏震后救灾宣传中值得引以为鉴的几个问题——以常熟地震为例

震后救灾宣传尤其是有关震情的宣传报道与社会的稳定关系极大。本文以常熟地震为例，通过对该次地震救灾宣传中出现的一些问题的剖析，提出了今后江苏救灾宣传中应注意把握好宣传的政策性、快速性、组织性、协调性、真实性、针对性及二重性问题     

学会工作改革创新的若干思考

学会的改革必须把握好方向;学术交流和科普宣传两大任务,是学会的生命线,而科技咨询,开办实体,则是学会的生存线,要想增强学会的影响力、凝集力、经济实力,就必须抓好这"二线".     

Facing the Problem of Uncertainty

In a certain sense, uncertainty andignorance have been recognized in science andphilosophy from the time of the Greeks.However, the mathematical sciences have beendominated by the pursuit of certainty.Therefore, experiments under simplified andidealized conditions have been regarded as themost reliable source of knowledge. Normally,uncertainty could be ignored or controlled byapplying probability theory and statistics.Today, however, the situation is different.Uncertainty and ignorance have moved intofocus. In particular, the global character ofsome environmental problems has shown that theproblems cannot be disregarded. Therefore,scientists and technologists have in many wayscome into a new situation. The Chernobylaccident is a dramatic example, however,problems such as a possible greenhouse effect,a possible reduction of the ozone layer, and soon are all of the same type. These encompasstotally different problems than scientists andtechnologists are traditionally trained to dealwith. In these cases, the standard use ofstatistics has to change, the burden of proofshould be reversed, one should draw ondifferent kinds of expertise, and, in general,science should be ``democratized.'     

云南楚雄市水环境对策研究

河流水污染和水资源短缺是楚雄市面临的两大水环境问题。本文将楚雄市社会经济发展、水污染控制和水资源开发利用纳入一个系统,在掌握水环境问题现状和变化趋势及其成因的基础上,探讨河流水质目标和排污控制目标,从宏观协调对策和水污染控制措施两个层次上进行水环境对策的设计和多目标优选,并得到最佳水污染控制实施计划。     

3R strategies for the establishment of an international sound material-cycle society

Focusing on the promotion of the “3Rs” – reduce, reuse, and recycle – the authors summarize the policy that Japan has evolved in waste management and recycling policy over the years. To realize an international sound material-cycle society (SMS), the 3R approaches should first be implemented in each individual country. After each country has established an SMS to the best of its ability, contribution toward reducing the environmental load internationally, especially across all of East Asia, will be achieved by having waste and recyclable resources that cannot be handled in one country effectively used or processed in other countries. The current situation of international resource circulation is described and a concept of SMS at an international level is proposed. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and are not necessarily the official views of the organizations with which the authors are affiliated.