BASE FLOW TRENDS IN URBANIZING WATERSHEDS OF THE DELAWARE RIVER BASIN1

Rapid land development is raising concern regarding the ability of urbanizing watersheds to sustain adequate base flow during periods of drought. Long term streamflow records from unregulated watersheds of the lower to middle Delaware River basin are examined to evaluate the impact of urbanization and imperviousness on base flow. Trends in annual base flow volumes, seven‐day low flows, and runoff ratios are determined for six urbanizing watersheds and four reference watersheds across three distinct physiographic regions. Hydrograph separation is used to determine annual base flow and stormflow volumes, and nonparametric trend tests are conducted on the resulting time series. Of the watersheds examined, the expected effects of declining base flow volumes and seven‐day low flows and increasing stormflows are seen in only one watershed that is approximately 20 percent impervious and has been subject to a net water export over the past 15 years. Both interbasin transfers and hydrologic mechanisms are invoked to explain these results. The results show that increases in impervious area may not result in measurable reductions in base flow at the watershed scale.     

新时期城市安全风险防控实践探析——以成都为例

随着我国加快从"乡村社会"迈向"城市社会",城市安全问题成为了新时期亟待解答的"国家命题",分析了城市化与城市风险相关问题,提出了适合成都的安全风险预防指标体系,并以"技术防控"开发建设城市安全监测预警系统,以"标准防控"推动企业和公共领域安全管理标准化,以"群众防控"依托安全社区为载体,构建基层社区公共安全体系,为我国城市安全风险防控体系建设提供了宝贵经验和有益启示。     

Conservation implications of anthropogenic impacts on visual communication and camouflage

Anthropogenic environmental impacts can disrupt the sensory environment of animals and affect important processes from mate choice to predator avoidance. Currently, these effects are best understood for auditory and chemosensory modalities, and recent reviews highlight their importance for conservation. We examined how anthropogenic changes to the visual environment (ambient light, transmission, and backgrounds) affect visual communication and camouflage and considered the implications of these effects for conservation. Human changes to the visual environment can increase predation risk by affecting camouflage effectiveness, lead to maladaptive patterns of mate choice, and disrupt mutualistic interactions between pollinators and plants. Implications for conservation are particularly evident for disrupted camouflage due to its tight links with survival. The conservation importance of impaired visual communication is less documented. The effects of anthropogenic changes on visual communication and camouflage may be severe when they affect critical processes such as pollination or species recognition. However, when impaired mate choice does not lead to hybridization, the conservation consequences are less clear. We suggest that the demographic effects of human impacts on visual communication and camouflage will be particularly strong when human‐induced modifications to the visual environment are evolutionarily novel (i.e., very different from natural variation); affected species and populations have low levels of intraspecific (genotypic and phenotypic) variation and behavioral, sensory, or physiological plasticity; and the processes affected are directly related to survival (camouflage), species recognition, or number of offspring produced, rather than offspring quality or attractiveness. Our findings suggest that anthropogenic effects on the visual environment may be of similar importance relative to conservation as anthropogenic effects on other sensory modalities.     

Mowers versus growers: Riparian buffer management in the Southern Blue Ridge Mountains,USA

Despite long-standing knowledge of the benefits of riparian buffers for mitigating nonpoint source pollution, many streams are unprotected by buffers. Even landowners who understand ecological values of buffers mow riparian vegetation to the streambank. Do trends in rural riparian conditions reflect the development of riparian forest science? What motivates residential riparian management actions? Using high-resolution orthoimagery, we quantified riparian conditions and trends between 1998 and 2015 in the rural upper Little Tennessee River basin in Macon County, North Carolina and explored how landowners view riparian zone management and riparian restoration programs. Buffer composition in 2015 was as follows: no buffer (32.5%), narrow (19.3%), forested (26.7%), shrub (7.2%), and intermediate (7.0%). Relative to 1998, the greatest decrease occurred in the no buffer class (−17.7%, 46 km) and the largest increases occurred in the shrub (+72.5%, 20 km) and narrow (12.6%, 14 km) classes. Forested buffer marginally increased. Semi-structured interview data suggest that landowners prioritize recreational and scenic aspects of riparian buffers over ecological functions such as filtration and bank stabilization. Riparian restoration programs might be made more enticing to non-adopters if outreach language appealed to landowner priorities, design elements demonstrated intentional management, and program managers highlighted areas where ecological goals and landowner values align.     

我国城镇化进程中碳排放影响因素的实证研究

利用1980—2013年间的城镇人口与碳排放数据,选取城镇化进程中影响碳排放的城镇化水平、城镇建设用地面积、第三产业增加值、人均可支配收入、城镇人均绿化面积等因素,实证分析了城镇化对我国碳排放的影响程度,并利用格兰杰夫因果关系与误差修正模型分析了二者的因果关系与时间效应。最后,从降低工业碳排放、加快低碳城镇化试点建设、推进低碳社区发展,促进新能源发展等方面提出了相关建议。     

太原市城市化发展对城市气温变化影响的定量化研究

采用位于同一纬度的太原气象站与远郊区农村气象站获取的1957年-2014年的气象数据,用皮尔卡森相关系数、一元线性回归、城市化影响分析等方法研究了在全球气候变暖背景下城市地区气温变化趋势以及城市化影响.结果表明:城市年平均气温升高趋势明显高于农村;城市年极端高温与农村极端高温升高趋势差异不明显;城市年极端低温升高趋势显著高于农村.就城市化影响而言,城市化对年平均气温、年极端低温趋势影响明显,但对年极端高温趋势影响微弱.     

郑州市城市生态环境变化研究

随着城市化的发展,城市生态环境变化较大.基于遥感技术,利用遥感生态指数对郑州市城市生态环境变化进行评价与检测,以对城市规划建设提供科学依据,从而促进城市健康可持续发展.结果表明:2006年-2017年,郑州市生态环境质量呈下降趋势,其中绿度指标与干度指标对城市生态环境的影响最大;郑州市生态环境变好的区域占18.43%,生态环境变差的区域占42.54%,变差的区域主要为新建成区,这些区域应是今后生态环境改善的重点区域.     

南京市湿地水质对城市化影响强度的响应研究

选取28个受城市化影响程度不同的典型湿地,对其水质进行连续监测.另一方面利用GIS技术及景观生态学原理对城市湿地所在集水区不透水类型及林地类型进行景观分析,并构建城市化影响指数(UEI),进一步对区域城市化水平与湿地水质进行相关分析.结果表明:①南京仙林新市区湿地水质季节性变化表现为夏季水质较差,冬季水质相对较好,春、秋季节差别不大.②湿地水质与城市化水平有着明显的相关关系,城市化水平等级越高,湿地水质越差,其中高等城市化水平(HU)湿地TP、TN、NH4+-N、Chla等富营养化指标质量浓度分别达到0.27、1.07、0.15、17.94 mg.L-1,而低等城市化水平(LW)湿地其质量浓度则分别为0.12、0.56、0.12、4.85 mg.L-1.③城市化影响指数与湿地水质存在着阈值关系,整体来看,当UEI值超过2.2时,湿地水质恶化速度加快.     

快速城市化背景下县域尺度农田氮素平衡状况的演变 ——以江苏省宜兴市为例

以苏南宜兴市为例,通过收支计算,揭示快速城市化背景下县域尺度农田土壤氮素平衡的演变及其主要影响因素.结果表明,自1985年以来,由于化肥施用量的大幅度下降和有机肥使用的减少,宜兴市农田氮素输入总量减少,氮素盈余由1985年的131.7kg/hm2减少至2008年的5.0kg/hm2,收支逐渐趋于平衡.这一变化有利于减少农田生态系统氮素的积累,从而降低非点源污染的危害.然而,人畜排泄物利用的减少虽然能够在一定程度上降低农田氮素的盈余,但增加了向水体的直接排放,从全局考虑不利于区域水环境质量的改善.     

新时期城镇化进程中的农民工问题与对策

在新时期城镇化进程中。农民工的流动具有新的特点：农民工基数大、集中度高。造成流向偏差进而引发“大城市病”,面临组织化程度低、社会地位被“边缘化”,遭受经济贡献与利益分事上的失衡．并且新生代农民工和返航农民工正从农民工群体内部分化出来。在这种情况下。应增强中小城市的吸引力．加强城乡劳动力市场一体化建设。为进城农民工提供必要的公共服务和社会保障,加强职业技能培训。合理引导农民工“返航”潮流。帮助新生代农民工融入城市．防止“拉美陷阱”的出现。