西藏尼洋河流域果树资源及其开发途径探讨

西藏尼洋河流域果树资源丰富,栽培果树有苹果、梨、桃、李、杏和葡萄等9种和90多个品种;野生果树有7科16属41种,目前利用程度低,开发潜力大。文中提出了该地区果树资源的开发途径,在尼洋河下游和雅鲁藏布江的扎绕乡至派乡之间段的河谷地上形成“Y”字型的水(干)果种植带,建设成为西藏的水(干)果生产基地,并对现有果园改造更新,充分利用野生水果资源,建立果品综合加工厂等以满足西藏市场对水果和果品的需要。     

稠油热采井管柱失效动态风险分析研究

为保证稠油热采井筒管柱的安全运行,采用故障树与贝叶斯网络相结合的方法开展稠油热采井管柱失效风险分析,应用故障树分析方法定性识别管柱失效诱因,建立稠油热采井管柱失效场景演化模型,并将故障树转化为贝叶斯网络模型,应用贝叶斯网络对管柱失效风险进行定量分析,得出热采井管柱失效的关键致因和管柱失效的动态失效概率,以新疆油田某区块热采井的管柱失效为对象进行了案例分析。研究结果表明,该方法可为稠油热采井管柱失效风险分析及井筒完整性管理提供理论支撑和工程设计参考。     

树木年轮年代学及其在环境研究中的应用概况

本文简述了树木年轮年代学中的一些基本概念及近年来树木年轮分析在检测大气CO_2浓度变化,植物对大气CO_2增多反应和空气污染变化等领域的研究情况.     

基于机器学习算法的精细化流场模拟研究

基于决策树和随机森林两种机器学习算法,以长沙市国控站气象观测数据和WRF模式模拟得到的风场数据构建数据集,对WRF预报长沙市城区风场数据进行优化.同时,利用树模型特征选择法,筛选对近地面风场数据有重要影响的气象要素,将其作为两种机器学习算法的输入,并利用网格搜索法进行调参建模.最后,将训练结果与地面观测数据进行对比评估...     

Use of Maryland Biological Stream Survey Data to Determine Effects of Agricultural Riparian Buffers on Measures of Biological Stream Health

This study was undertaken to determine the importance of riparian buffers to stream ecology in agricultural areas. The original Maryland Biological Stream Survey (MBSS) data set was partitioned to represent agricultural sites in Maryland's Coastal Plain and Piedmont regions. ANOVA, multiple linear regression (MLR), and CART regression tree models were developed using riparian and site catchment landscape characteristics. MBSS data were both stratified by physiographic region and analyzed as a combined data set. All models indicated that land management at the site was not the controlling factor for fish IBIs (FIBI) at that site and, hence, using FIBI to evaluate site-scale factors would not be a prudent procedure. Measures of instream habitat and location in the stream network were the dominant explanatory factors for FIBI models. Both CART and MLR models indicated that forest buffers were influential on benthic IBIs (BIBI). Explanatory variables reflected instream conditions, adjacent landscape influence, and chemistry in the Coastal Plains sites, all of which are relatively site specific. However, for Piedmont sites, hydrologic factors were important, in addition to adjacent landscape influence, and chemistry. Both Coastal Plain and Piedmont CART models identified several hydrologic factors, emphasizing the dominant control of hydrology on the physical habitat index (PHI). Riparian buffers were a secondary influence on PHI in the Coastal Plain, but not in the Piedmont. Between 40% and 70% of the variation in FIBI, BIBI, and PHI was explained by the “easily obtainable” variables available from the MBSS data set. While these are empirical results specific to Maryland, the general findings are of use to other locations where the establishment of forest buffers is considered as an aquatic ecosystem restoration measure.     

煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故的事故树分析与防治

瓦斯爆炸是煤矿生产中的重要灾害,一旦发生事故,会造成巨大的经济损失和人员伤亡.对瓦斯爆炸事故的原因进行了分析,并提出相应的预防措施.     

电磁污染事故树分析

从安全系统工程学的有关原理出发,采用事故树分析法(FTA)探究引发电磁污染事故各因素之间内在的、因果的逻辑关系,且就电磁污染可采取的防护措施作些尝试性的探讨.     

基于HMM和DT的无人机异常检测方法

为了实时检测无人机异常状态,提出基于隐马尔可夫模型(Hidden Markov Model,HMM)和决策树(Decision Tree,DT)的无人机异常检测方法(HMMDT).首先根据异常致因将无人机异常分为干扰异常和硬件异常;然后结合HMM和DT建立无人机异常检测模型,定义无人机异常度衡量异常状态的严重程度,确定...     

饮食业油烟道火灾事故概率的模糊事故树分析

根据常规事故树定量计算中基本事件概率的不确定性问题,通过引入模糊集的概念,将常规事故树中基本事件的发生概率模糊化,用三角形模糊数代替确定性发生概率,应用模糊数截集方法,推导了模糊事故树的相关算法.采用模糊事故树方法得到饮食业油烟道火灾事故发生概率,并进行了敏感性分析,找出对顶事件发生概率影响较大的基本事件,确认减小油烟道火灾事故发生的相关措施.研究表明,饮食业油烟道火灾事故概率的模糊事故树分析是切实可行的,有助于对饮食业油烟道火灾的认识、预防和扑救工作.     

武汉市主要绿化树种滞尘效应研究

本实验对武汉市城区主干道主要绿化树种的滞尘效应与叶表面结构进行了研究。结果表明：（1）同一尘源条件下,不同树种的滞尘能力差异显著。乔木中悬铃木滞尘能力较高,可达6.9345 g/m²;小乔木中紫薇和紫叶李是滞尘能力较高的树种,滞尘能力分别为1.9543 g/m²和1.8790 g/m²;灌木中红花檵木和杜鹃等有较强的滞尘能力,分别可达4.0373 g/m²和3.8875 g/m²;（2）利用扫描电镜观察叶表面结构发现：叶表具毛被、褶皱、较深的不规则网格等特征的树种滞尘能力较高,叶表平滑或叶表网格结构规则且较浅时滞尘能力较低;（3）同一树种在不同的尘源条件下滞尘能力差异显著,空气中颗粒物浓度越高,滞尘能力也越大。以车流量近似模拟尘源条件表明,滞尘能力与车流量呈正相关。