在环境保护中开展环境审计的重要作用

工业革命把人类推向工业文明,工业文明刺激人类对资源的无限需求,创造出大量消耗资源、严重污染环境的生产方式,产生了大量的环境污染和生态危机。于是,提高环境质量、开展环境保护、保证经济发展的可持续性的呼声越来越高。环境审计作为环境保护的一种有力工具,在当代经济活动中会越来越发挥其重要作用。本文就环境审计的有关问题作一阐述,以其推动环境审计在我国的发展。     

A spatial clustering perspective on autocorrelation and regionalization

We revisit one of the classical problems in geography and cartography where multiple observations on a lattice (N) need to be grouped into many fewer regions (G), especially when this number of desired regions is unknown a priori. Since an optimization through all possible aggregations is not feasible, a hierarchical classification scheme is proposed with an objective function sensitive to spatial pattern. The objective function to be minimized during the assignment of observations to regions (classification) consists of two terms: the first characterizes accuracy and the second, model complexity. For the latter, we introduce a spatial measure that characterizes the number of homogeneous patches rather than the usual number of classes. A simulation study shows that such a classification procedure is less sensitive to random and spatially correlated error (noise) than non-spatial classification. We also show that for conditional autoregressive error (noise) fields the optimal partitioning is the one that has the highest within-units generalized Moran coefficient. The classifier is implemented in ArcView to demonstrate both a socio-economic and an environmental application to illustrate some potential applications.

基于GH-B强度准则的节理岩质边坡稳定性分析

在岩质边坡工程数值模拟计算分析中,其难题之一就是如何较准确地确定岩体强度参数,而边坡岩体抗剪强度是影响计算分析成果的控制因素,也是支护设计成败的关键所在。采用GH-B强度准则对深水河大桥4号桥墩边坡进行了稳定性分析,同时与采用M-C强度准则的模拟结果进行了对比分析。结果表明:GH-B强度准则采用基于应力水平的塑性流动法则,更好地体现了节理岩体的变形和破坏机理,可有效反映岩体的非线性破坏特征,更加接近于工程实际,适于节理岩体的强度计算及稳定性分析。     

乡镇环境规划指标体系研究——以扬州市瓜洲镇为例

从经济发展、生态环境、社会进步三方面构建乡镇环境规划指标体系,并引入“可持续发展度”、“因子贡献度”、“指标偏离度”、“制约度”,对瓜洲镇的现状进行了综合评价,对限制瓜洲镇可持续发展的因素进行识别。研究结果表明：规划基准年（2006年）瓜洲镇的可持续发展度为0.759,处于较强可持续发展阶段;影响瓜洲镇可持续发展的制约因素主要集中于环境质量及污染物治理方面（占36.75%）,其次为经济结构方面（占25.65%）,接着为发展支持（占24.21%）、生态环境与资源利用（占9.42%）、生活质量（占2.62%）、经济效益（占1.34%）。     

湖泊水质富营养化评价的多准则神经网络法

提出了基于误差平方和准则与模糊熵准则下的多准则神经网络湖泊水质营养化评价模型，并将其应用于我国五大湖泊水质营养化的评价。结果表明，多准则神经网络用于湖泊水质营养化评价，具有简便，实用，客观和广泛的通用性     

环境经济系统分类及协调发展判据研究

应用系统论对环境经济系统进行结构分析,并根据内部相互作用强弱对环境经济系统进行了分类;建立了环境经济协调发展判据,对区域环境经济协调发展问题进行了定量研究。     

科尔沁沙地生态环境质量综合评价

基于研究区2000年土地利用图形数据、土地沙漠化监测数据、环境状况公报数据以及统计年鉴数据,采用中华人民共和国环境保护行业标准《生态环境状况评价技术规范（试行）》HJ／T192—2006）规定的生态环境状况评价的指标体系和计算方法。从旗、县尺度上对科尔沁沙地的生态环境状况进行综合评价。结果表明：2000年科尔沁沙地各旗县的生物丰度指数为22．01-37．96。植被覆盖指数为25．20～45．86,水网密度指数为22．51—30．97。土地退化指数为1．47—21．06。环境质量指数为57．98～59．84,综合生态环境质量指数为25．28～33．25。根据国家生态环境状况分级标准判断．该区域生态环境状况属于较差级别．意昧着该区域植被疆盖度较差。严重干旱少雨．物种较少。存在着明显限制人类生存的因素。     

国外凹凸棒石粘土的若干情况

本文主要介绍国外特别是美国凹凸棒石或坡缕缟石的名称由来、分布、基础理论和物化性能研究，开发应用，产品标准，公司及规模，与我国凹凸棒石粘土研究、开发应用的比较等。     

Bayesian testing for trend in a power model for clustered binary data

Developmental toxicity studies are widely used to investigate the potential risk of environmental hazards. In dose–response experiments, subjects are randomly allocated to groups receiving various dose levels. Tests for trend are then often applied to assess possible dose effects. Recent techniques for risk assessment in this area are based on fitting dose–response models. The complexity of such studies implies a number of non-trivial challenges for model development and the construction of dose-related trend tests, including the hierarchical structure of the data, litter effects inducing extra variation, the functional form of the dose–response curve, the adverse event at dam or at fetus level, the inference paradigm, etc. The purpose of this paper is to propose a Bayesian trend test based on a non-linear power model for the dose effect and using an appropriate model for clustered binary data. Our work is motivated by the analysis of developmental toxicity studies, in which the offspring of exposed and control rodents are examined for defects. Simulations show the performance of the method over a number of samples generated under typical experimental conditions.     

工程对环境影响系统分析中有关二次影响问题的探讨

就水电工程对生态与环境二次影响问题的系统分析,提出一种便于应用的交互矩阵方法,并讨论了二次影响程度如何在度量规范中进行追加计算。