基于潜在分类模型的湿地生态系统服务公众生态偏好异质性研究

在生态系统服务价值评估研究中,把握公众的生态偏好是当前研究的重要内容。论文以三江平原湿地为研究对象,应用选择实验法获取公众的生态偏好和支付意愿,构建潜在分类模型,探究公众对湿地各项生态系统服务的偏好异质性。研究结果显示：公众对各项湿地生态系统服务存在显著的偏好异质性,资源偏好型的受访者所占比例最大（68.78%）,景观偏好型的受访者对自然景观的支付意愿显著较高,而价格敏感型受访者的支付意愿明显低于其他两类。分析各潜在类别可知,公众的社会经济特征及环境意识对其偏好具有显著影响。教育水平越高的受访者越偏好于资源保护,高收入和到景区旅游次数多的受访者更偏好于景观保护,而价格敏感型受访者的环境意识相对较低。研究不仅为湿地生态系统服务偏好异质性的研究提供新途径,也为相关环境政策的制定提供参考。     

APPLICATION OF A MULTIPURPOSE UNEQUAL PROBABILITY STREAM SURVEY IN THE MID‐ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAIN1

ABSTRACT: A stratified, spatially balanced sample with unequal probability selection was used to design a multipurpose survey of headwater streams in the Mid‐Atlantic Coastal Plain. Objectives for the survey include unbiased estimates of regional stream conditions, and adequate coverage of unusual but significant environmental settings to support empirical modeling of the factors affecting those conditions. The design and field application of the survey are discussed in light of these multiple objectives. A probability (random) sample of 175 first‐order nontidal streams was selected for synoptic sampling of water chemistry and benthic and riparian ecology during late winter and spring 2000. Twenty‐five streams were selected within each of seven hydrogeologic subre‐gions (strata) that were delineated on the basis of physiography and surficial geology. In each subregion, unequal inclusion probabilities were used to provide an approximately even distribution of streams along a gradient of forested to developed (agricultural or urban) land in the contributing watershed. Alternate streams were also selected. Alternates were included in groups of five in each subregion when field reconnaissance demonstrated that primary streams were inaccessible or otherwise unusable. Despite the rejection and replacement of a considerable number of primary streams during reconnaissance (up to 40 percent in one subregion), the desired land use distribution was maintained within each hydrogeologic subregion without sacrificing the probabilistic design.     

成都市城市演变对热岛效应的影响分析

将高、低分辨率卫星遥感数据相结合,使用成都市2001和2006年的同期卫星遥感数据,通过CBERS/CCD(中巴地球资源卫星/CCD相机)的多光谱信息获取植被指数图,并结合三波段数据合成彩色图像以及全色图,采用人机交互式方式提取城市建成区信息;对NOAA/AVHRR(美国国家海洋大气局/改进的甚高分辨率扫描辐射计)的热...     

刈割对华北平原人工草地土壤呼吸速率的影响

根据中国科学院禹城综合试验站牧草生态试验场土壤呼吸测定数据,分析了刈割前后3年生和6年生苜蓿、白三叶及小黑麦4种人工草地土壤呼吸日变化特征及刈割对草地土壤呼吸速率的影响。结果表明:①刈割前不同牧草地的土壤呼吸强度差异明显,依次为3年生苜蓿>6年生苜蓿>白三叶>小黑麦,刈割后不同牧草地的土壤呼吸强度相差不大,土壤呼吸速率在3.0~3.5 μmol CO₂·m^-2·s^-1之间;②刈割前不同牧草地的土壤呼吸日变化不相同,6年生苜蓿与小黑麦草地刈割前土壤呼吸速率由9:00开始逐渐增强,在12:00~16:00之间持续较高,以后逐渐下降,3年生苜蓿与白三叶草草地土壤呼吸速率在9:00~12:00之间逐渐升高,12:00到达峰值,之后逐渐下降;③与刈割前相比,4个处理牧草刈割10 d后其草地的土壤呼吸速率下降了30%~40%;④刈割前后Q₁₀值在1~2.32之间,平均值为1.37,刈割前平均值为1.63,刈割后平均值降为1.10。     

湖南澧阳平原黑褐色土的稀土元素地球化学特征及其环境意义

通过对澧阳平原大量的野外考察、典型剖面玉成(YC)黑褐色土壤剖面的系统取样和室内粒度、稀土元素地球化学分析,以及OSL和AMS14C年代测定,探讨了黑褐色土的稀土地球化学特征,揭示了黑褐色土的形成年代、形成过程与形成环境.研究结果表明,黑褐色土层XREE变化范围分布在184.63-264.261μg·g-1,其平均值为207.93μg·g-1;低于剖面的∑REE总平均值219.87Pμg·g-1,与洞庭盆地的红土∑REE平均值(211.6μg·g-1)大体相当,但明显高于镇江下蜀黄土(207.7μg·g-1)和黄土高原黄土(159.2μg·g-1),表明YC剖面黑褐色土上经过了相对较强的风化成壤作用.YC剖面黑褐色土的稀土分布模式与该剖面黄土层、黄土高原黄土、镇江下蜀黄土和洞庭盆地风成红土等典型风成沉积物的分布模式具有一致性,而与河流沉积物、湖泊沉积物和基岩风化红土在稀土的分布模式上具有明显差别.而且,YC剖面沉积物粒度频率曲线呈明显的单峰分布,与典型河流相的双峰粒度频率分布存在显著差异;YC剖面位于澧阳平原中部台地上,比周边高5-10m,不可能是洪水作用沉积物;野外调查进一步表明,沉积物无水流作用痕迹;OSL和AMS14C年代测定表明,黑褐色土层形成的年代对应于23.8-10.6 ka BP,此年代对应于末次冰期的晚期,其形成于相对冷湿的气候环境.因此,黑褐色土层及其上、下部的黄土层均为风成堆积物.     

DETECTING BASE FLOW IMPACTS IN COASTAL PLAIN STREAMS1

ABSTRACT: An established trend analysis methodology was applied to the problem of identifying and quantifying stream base flow impacts from water withdrawals and water loss through interbasin transfers. Impacts were simulated using base flow values selected from two U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) continuous record streamflow sites located within the Pinelands of southern New Jersey. Study site base flows were regressed against index site base flows with monotonic and step trend tests applied to the residuals from the regression model. The smallest, significantly detectable (α= 0.10) percentage reduction within a given simulation was used as an estimate of the sensitivity of a trend test. Evaluation of the trend analysis methodology led to the following practical considerations regarding trend test sensitivity. The proportion of study site base flow variability explained by index site base flows should be maximized, while at the same time minimizing positive, first-order autocorrelation in the regression residuals. Given the importance of detecting autocorrelation, missing values should be avoided or minimized. The quarterly (three-month) interval reduced the magnitude of autocorrelation relative to a shorter two-month sampling interval. Sensitivity appeared to improve when equalizing the number of values before and after a base flow impact(s) while seasonally biased sampling appeared to reduce sensitivity. Based primarily on past trend detection studies, nonparametric tests were deemed a better choice over their parametric counterparts, due to the lack of stringent data distributional requirements coupled with little or no loss of power even when applied to normally distributed data.     

2016～2020年成都市控制PM2.5和O3-8h污染的健康效益评价

细颗物(PM_2.5)和臭氧是我国主要的大气污染物,严重危害人群健康.为评估成都市大气污染防治行动实施期间PM_2.5和臭氧对人群健康的影响,首先,利用流行病学中的广义相加模型和非线性分布滞后模型估算了2014～2016年成都市PM_2.5和臭氧最大8 h滑动平均(O_3-8h)浓度变化对居民疾病死亡影响的暴露-反应关系系数(β),在此基础上,采用环境风险和环境价值评估法估算2016～2020年成都市PM_2.5和O_3-8h浓度暴露水平变化的健康收益.结果表明：(1)2016～2020年成都市的ρ(PM_2.5)年均值呈逐年下降趋势,从63μg·m^-3降至40.92μg·m^-3,年均下降率约为10.14%;与之相反,ρ(O_3-8h)年均值从155μg·m^-3升至169μg·m^-3,年均增长率约为2.23%.(2)成都市PM_2.5...     

典型平原河网区水体富营养化特征、成因分析及控制对策研究

本文以嘉兴市北部湖荡区为典型研究区域,通过现场调研、来源分析等,揭示了平原河网区水体富营养化状态,明确了水污染主要成因,并提出控制对策.研究结果显示,北部湖荡区总磷、高锰酸盐指数、五日生化需氧量、化学需氧量、总氮、氨氮等各污染物含量呈现显著的时空分布特征,西部片区水质较东部片区差,5月水质较9月差(总磷除外);富营养化...     

成都高新区创建国家生态工业示范园区的思考

运用循环经济、工业生态学等原理,针对成都高新区创建国家生态工业示范园区存在的问题,提出由规划入手,包括企业内部、企业之间和园区三个层面的创建措施,并为近期重点建设工程指明了方向。企业内部,抓节能减排,推广清洁生产;企业之间,抓住绿色招商的契机,启动"补链"战略,提高产业关联度,构建工业生态链(网),提高园区的生态效率;园区层面,加强人才建设,健全信息网络系统。     

成都未来气候变化趋势的R/S分析

运用R/S分析法,对1951～2002年成都的平均值气温、极端气温值及降水累积值进行了计算分析。研究表明,成都未来气候变化趋势与过去50年来的变化趋势有着很好的自相似性。今后成都将继续变暖。依平均气候倾向率,未来10年,年平均气温将升高0.25°C,年平均最低气温将升高0.14 °C,年平均最高气温将升高0.04 °C,年极端最低气温将升高0.54 °C,年极端最高气温将升高0.13 °C。其中,年平均气温、年平均最低气温和年平均最高气温升高趋势的持续性强度很强。成都未来降水量将继续减少。未来10年的年降水量将减少45.2 mm,并且这种减少趋势具有很强的持续性强度。