Evaluation of risk and cost using an age-dependent unavailability modelling of test and maintenance for standby components

The improvement of safety in the process industries is related to assessment and reduction of risk in a cost-effective manner. This paper addresses the trade-off between risk and cost related to standby safety systems. An age-dependent unavailability model that integrates the effects of the test and maintenance (T&M) activities as well as component ageing is developed and represents the basis for calculating risk. The repair “same-as-new” process is considered regarding the T&M activities. Costs are expressed as a function of the selected risk measure. The time-averaged function of the selected risk measure is obtained from probabilistic safety assessment, i.e. the fault tree analysis. This function is further extended with inclusion of additional parameters related to T&M activities as well as ageing parameters related to component ageing. In that sense, a new model of system unavailability, incorporating component ageing and T&M costs, is presented. The testing strategy is also addressed. Sequential and staggered testings are compared. The developed approach is applied on a standard safety system in nuclear power plant although the method is applicable to standby safety systems that are tested and maintained in other industries as well. The results show that the risk-informed surveillance requirements differ from existing ones in technical specifications, which are deterministically based. Moreover, the presented approach achieves a significant reduction in system unavailability over a relatively small increase of total T&M costs.     

基于主成分分析法的武烈河流域水质评价研究

利用MATLAB软件,采用主成分分析法对武烈河流域水环境质量进行了综合评价.结果表明:武烈河流域水环境质量整体相对较好,高寺台下游断面的水质污染比较严重,五日生化需氧量和溶解氧的主成分贡献率超过0.5,说明流域有机污染严重,需要控制工农业废水排放,以遏制污染加剧、预防富营养化爆发.     

基于主成分分析法研究内蒙古环境质量的统计分析

生态环境问题一直以来制约着西部地区的经济发展,内蒙古作为以资源型开发为主要工业结构的自治区在这方面表现尤为突出。为了使内蒙古自治区借助实施西部大开发战略和开展生态环境建设的机会推进环境保护工作的进程,从环境污染和生态破坏角度运用主成分分析法评价内蒙古自治区2005年到2009年间环境质量。通过综合得分分析得出内蒙古环境质量逐年好转,而且环境质量整体优化速率逐年加快,通过主成分分析得到大气污染和工业污染是在不同领域影响自治区环境质量的主导因素,主要归因于内蒙古自治区工业结构以资源能源型为主、沙尘天气频繁出现以及追求经济快速增长所致的环境问题。     

基于标准化降水蒸发指数(SPEI)的东北干旱时空特征

东北地区是我国重要的粮食作物和经济作物的生产基地,易受异常降水和干旱的影响。随着全球气候变暖,东北地区温度增高、降水量减少,干旱事件发生频繁。但是目前国内对东北地区干旱的研究较少、结果存在分歧,且主要关注干旱的时空变化特征和干旱的影响,较少研究关注干旱的区划研究。依据1961─2013年东北地区月平均气温和降水资料,运用标准化降水蒸发指数（SPEI）分析了东北地区的干旱趋势,并根据主成分分析和聚类分析研究东北地区干旱的时空特征,研究结果表明：东北地区在1961─2012年期间干旱发生频率呈现波动增加的趋势;在1961─1999年期间,东北地区干旱发生频率低、持续时间短,干旱危害较小;而2000年以后,东北地区干旱事件频发,干旱持续时间长、强度大,出现了2000─2002和2007─2008年2个连续干旱期。从空间分布来看,2000─2010年是东北地区干旱发生频率和影响范围最大的时期,尤其是东北地区的中部和西部,其干旱频率分别达到42.86%和33.34%。根据主成分析和聚类分析的结果将东北划分为8个干旱相似区。研究结果对于实现东北干旱监测、评估,为减轻该区域干旱损失,指导区域水资源管理和农业生产具有重要的现实意义。     

糖蜜酒精蒸馏废液色素研究

采用凝胶渗透色谱方法测定从甘蔗糖蜜酒精废液中提纯的色素的分子量。通过吸收光谱、原子吸收光谱、氨基酸分析、溶剂析出等方法，确定色素的成分。结果表明，该色素具有三个不同分子量的组分，重均分子量分别为21889、987和439Da。主要有酚类色素、焦糖色素和美拉德色素等3种色素，其质量分数分别为20%、67.7%和12.3%。色素中铁质量分数为0.12%，水解氨基酸质量分数为5.23%。     

重庆雾的酸化机理及物态的特征

本文对重庆雾滴谱及含水量进行了对比分析.重庆大气污染严重,使雾的物化性质有雾滴平均直径下降、数密度增加、含水量偏低的特点.文中用主成分分析、相关分析及相图等方法对雾水酸度来源、形成机理进行了探讨.     

村镇公共安全评价体系研究——以河北省沧州市南大港一分区为例

将环境承载力评价理论引入到农村公共安全研究中,根据农村公共安全环境承载力指标体系的构建原则,选取一级指标5个,二级指标10个,基于鱼骨图分析法建立村镇公共安全体系。结合统计软件SPSS,采用主成分分析法(PCA),对村镇公共安全体系进行排序,找出影响村镇公共安全水平的重要因子,为改善村庄公共安全风险提供了重要参考价值。结果表明:一分区各村公共安全承载能力差异较大,且基础设施承载因子和土地承载因子是影响村庄公共安全承载能力最重要因子,加大公共安全基础设施的投入、有效利用闲置土地,可以较好地提高村镇公共安全承载能力。     

Evaluation of methane oxidation activity in waste biocover soil during landfill stabilization

The results of a nationwide survey of uranium in Swiss drinking water are reported. Elevated concentrations of uranium in groundwater are found mainly in the alpine regions and can be traced back to the geology of the bedrock. Water sources were systematically surveyed and analysed for the presence of Li, B, Si, Sc, V, Cr, Mn, Fe, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, As, Se, Sr, Cd, Sn, Sb, Ba, Tl, Pb and U and the results were analysed to determine if any correlation with uranium concentration was apparent. No correlation was found. The results are interpreted in relation to the current WHO guideline and those of other countries with a view to determining which areas would be affected if a maximum value were to be adopted and which areas require further investigation. Uranium content varied considerably, from below the limit of detection to almost 100 μg L⁻¹. Of the 5548 data samples, 98% are below the 2004 WHO provisional guideline value of 15 μg L⁻¹ and 99.7% below the revised (2011) value of 30 μg L⁻¹.     

混凝反应中确定影响因素影响力大小的研究

该文在对合成洗涤剂废水进行混凝反应实验基础上,针对影响因素影响力大小的不同问题,使用主分量分析方法。对输入输出权矩阵进行处理和分析,对各影响因素影响力大小顺序进行了研究。分析结果表明,跟传统经验吻合较好,更重要的是对影响因子赋权方面提供了有力的理论依据,对混凝反应的理论分析于实验设计提供了新的思路。