林下和撂荒地生境紫茎泽兰幼苗的生长特征及其种内竞争形态反应

比较研究了林下和撂荒地生境有无竞争条件下紫茎泽兰（Ageratina adenophora（Sprengel））幼苗的生长特征、生长速率、生物量和种内竞争的形态反应。结果表明：（1）2类生境条件下紫茎泽兰植株幼苗形态特征基本一致,无竞争条件下紫茎泽兰幼苗根长和叶片数明显高于在竞争条件下对应指标值;（2）同类生境中,在无竞争条件下紫茎泽兰幼苗的生长速率、生物量积累显著比在竞争条件下的高;（3）不同生境中,撂荒地生境紫茎泽兰幼苗生物量显著高于林下生境的值,在无竞争条件下,林下生境紫茎泽兰幼苗生长速率比撂荒地生境的高,而在竞争条件下反之;（4）林下和撂荒地生境紫茎泽兰幼苗植株竞争强度差异不显著,但在林下生境其地上部分的竞争强度显著大于其在撂荒地生境的值,而根的竞争强度相反。可见,紫茎泽兰幼苗在种群建立的过程中具有不同的生态适应性和形态反应,这可能是其能成功入侵不同生境的一种重要生理生态策略。     

Environmental federalism and environmental liability

Environmental federalism considers what level of government should optimally regulate pollution. This paper addresses this question for accidental pollution, which government regulates through the ex post liability regimes of either negligence or strict liability. We find that decentralizing the choice between these regimes does not, in general, induce the socially optimal outcome. When firms can pay all damages, all regions may choose negligence and impose an overly strict standard of due care. When firms may be bankrupted by damages, all regions may choose strict liability, which induces too little care. In addition, asymmetric equilibria are possible in which some regions choose negligence, others strict liability. Combining negligence with a Pigovian tax, or strict liability with a bonding requirement can align regional authorities' incentives with those of a central government.     

Multiple receptor ambient monitoring and firm compliance with environmental taxes under budget and target driven regulatory missions

We analyze the potential for an environmental monitoring agency under different regulatory missions to use multiple measures of ambient pollution levels to induce firm compliance via endogenously determined probabilistic firm-level inspections of polluting activities. Departing from previous analyses, we consider a framework where the regulator has multiple, rather than a single, measures of ambient pollution in a setting where many firms are subject to a self-reported emissions tax that is not perfectly enforceable. Under a budget-driven mission, we show that a regulator can fruitfully utilize the added information from multiple ambient monitoring receptors to induce improved environmental compliance through the creation of strategic interactions among firms. Additionally, our results provide new evidence on the relative efficiency of budget- vs. target-driven environmental enforcement missions.     

Investment in cleaner technology and signaling distortions in a market with green consumers

I analyze the pricing and investment behavior of a firm that signals the environmental attributes of its production technology through its price to uninformed environmentally conscious consumers. I then analyze the effect of change in environmental regulation on the signaling outcome and the firm's ex ante incentive to invest in cleaner technology. When regulation is weak, a firm signals cleaner technology through higher price; in this case, the firm earns lower profit when it has cleaner technology and thus, has no incentive to invest in cleaner technology. The price charged by the clean firm declines sharply beyond a critical level of regulation. When regulation is sufficiently stringent, the firm with cleaner technology charges lower price but earns higher signaling profit, and ex ante the firm has positive incentive to invest in cleaner technology. With weak regulation, the incentive of the firm to directly disclose its environmental performance rather than signal it through price is increasing in the level of regulation; the opposite holds when regulation is sufficiently stringent.     

An approach to calculating allowable watershed pollutant loads

To improve the management of discharge pollutants loads in the reservoirs’ watershed, an approach of the allowable pollutants loads calculation and its allocation, based on the water environment model, was proposed. Establishment of the approach framework was described at first. Under the guidance of this framework, two major steps were as follows: modeling and scenario analysis were involved and should be applied to support the decision of discharge loads management; Environmental Fluid Dynamic Code (EFDC) model was selected as the kernel model in this framework. In modeling step, spatial discretization for establishing cell map in model, data preprocessing, parameter calibration and uncertainty analysis (which is considered as the significantly relevant factor of the margin of safety (MOS)), were conducted. As a result of the research, the model-based approach presented as a combination of estimation and precise calculation, which contributed to scenario analysis step. Some integrated modules, such as scenario simulation, result analysis and plan optimization were implemented as cycles in the scenario analysis. Finally, allowable pollutant loads under various conditions were calculated. The Chaihe Reservoir in Liaoning Province, China was used as a case study for an application of the approach described above. Results of the Chaihe reservoir water quality simulation, show good agreement with field data and demonstrated that the approach used in the present study provide an efficient and appropriate methodology for pollutant load allocation.     

中国大气NH3和NOx排放的时空分布特征

根据我国不同氨源的数量、燃料消费量和相应的氨与氮氧化物排放因子,计算了我国大陆地区1995~2004年历年的氨(NH3)排放量与1985~2005年历年的氮氧化物(NOx)排放量,在此基础上模拟了2006~2010年的NOx排放量,并分析了NH3和NOx排放强度的空间分布.结果表明:2004年,我国NH3排放量为12.0Tg,比1995年的10.6Tg增加了大约13.2%;2004年的NOx排放量为20.6Tg,比1995年的12.2Tg增加了大约68.9%,比1985年的6.2Tg增加了大约2.3倍.在1996年以前,我国NH3和NOx的排放量基本相当,但是此后NH3的年排放量在经历了1997~1999年的下降之后,变化比较平稳,而NOx的排放量自2000年之后呈逐年迅速增加的趋势.2004年全国NH3的排放总量中,畜禽排泄、氮肥施用、人类粪便、氮肥与合成氨生产的贡献率分别为69.2%、15.2%、13.9%和1.9%;2004年全国NOx的排放总量中,由于受到我国能源消费结构的制约,煤炭来源的NOx占到了排放总量的77.4%.NH3和NOx的排放强度都具有明显的空间差异,表现在中东部地区的排放强度明显高于西部地区,这与中东部地区人口多、能源消费量大以及畜禽养殖数量大有关.     

基于多时相遥感数据的典型区生态格局变化分析

利用1985、2000、2013年遥感影像提取的土地覆盖数据,通过景观格局指数、动态度计算、转移矩阵等,分析1985—2013年我国典型地区各类型生态系统景观格局及其动态变化特征、生态系统相互转化时空变化特征等,揭示1985—2013年生态环境格局变化的特点和规律:一级分类生态系统综合变化率,赣江、闽江、白龙江和岷江上游流域分别为4.7%、3.9%、3.3%和1.7%,生态系统变化强度1985—2000年较缓,2000—2013年更剧烈。1985—2013年典型区生态系统的主要转化方向具有持续性和双向性特征,岷江、白龙江和赣江上游流域退耕还林还草政策效果明显,出现较高比例的耕地转为森林和草地;面积占67.4%生态系统类型变化与耕地生态系统和人工表面生态系统变化有关;生态系统变化具有明显的区域差异,生态变化主要表现为沿主要河流谷地的线状延伸,主要城镇居民点附近生态系统类型变化较为突出,人类活动是典型地区生态系统类型格局变化的主要驱动力;典型区尤其是敏感区应加大退耕还林还草政策,减少人类经济活动,降低洪水泥石流灾害发生的概率和程度。     

成都平原氮磷化肥施用强度空间分布及影响因素分析

掌握化肥施用强度的空间分布及影响因素,对施肥的精准管理和污染防控意义重大.以往研究多限于人为因素的探讨而缺乏自然地理因素对化肥施用强度空间分布的影响分析.基于成都平原23492个点位的化肥调研数据,结合地统计学方法和地理信息系统（GIS）技术,探究该区域2010~2015年均氮和磷化肥施用强度的空间分布特征及影响因素.结果表明：①研究区2010~2015年均氮和磷化肥施用强度总体处于120~360 kg·hm^-2和60~180 kg·hm^-2的中低风险强度.高风险强度主要分布在郫都、彭州、什邡、龙泉驿和金堂等粮（果）蔬种植区,相对低值区多分布在南部和东北部;②氮和磷化肥施用强度的块金系数为66.17%和41.60%,其空间分布受结构性和随机性因素共同作用决定,呈中等空间自相关性;③人为和自然因素均对氮和磷化肥施用强度的空间分布影响显著.种植作物类型（细分类）能独立解释12.90%和25.10%的施氮和施磷空间变异,是影响氮和磷施用强度空间分布的主控因子;成土母质的重要性仅次于种植作物类型,且对于施磷强度独立解释能力约是施氮强度的3.6倍.在种植作物类型起主要决定作用时,成土母质仍深刻制约和影响研究区氮和磷化肥施用强度的空间分布.因此,进行化肥施用管理和环境风险分析时需重点考虑种植作物类型和成土母质的综合作用,在磷肥施用方面更应关注成土母质的影响.     

中国与欧美寒冷地带采暖耗能的比较

论文分别采用我国目前采暖标准和欧美国家的较高采暖标准,对我国严寒和寒冷地区8个城市的采暖耗能及相应的温室气体排放强度与欧美国家同纬度地区进行了对比。结果表明,中国季风气候的特点使严寒和寒冷地区冬季较世界同纬度地区更为寒冷而漫长,居民基本的生存采暖耗能需求高于世界同纬度地区。无论采用中国、德国、美国哪一种采暖标准,中国严寒和寒冷地区采暖强度远高于同纬度的欧美城市,有的城市要高于同纬度欧美城市1倍以上;目前中国严寒和寒冷地区的采暖标准属于维持基本生存必需的较低标准,中国要达到与欧美相同的热舒适水平必然比其他国家增加更多的采暖消耗;即使像目前这样,中国采取较低的采暖标准,而欧美国家采用较舒适的德国或美国标准,中国8个城市中有5~6个城市的采暖强度仍明显高于同纬度欧美城市。