Prediction of thermal hazards from fireballs

Various models of fireball diameter have been evaluated by statistical techniques. The model of Gayle for fireball diameter estimation showed good agreement between the predicted and experimental data. The models relating to fireball duration, transmissivity and view factor have been selected based on their relative merits. A user interactive computer program has been developed to predict thermal hazards from fireballs in chemical process industries.     

蒸汽锅炉爆炸危险性分析及预防措施

简要叙述了锅炉爆炸机理及爆炸冲击波的破坏、伤害作用,采用TNT当量法对中国石化胜利油田石化总厂动力蒸汽锅炉爆炸事故后果进行了预测计算,分析了导致锅炉爆炸事故发生的原因,并给出了应对措施。     

Natech风险研究:现状、理论及展望

由自然灾害引发的工业企业环境安全事故又称为自然灾害诱发的技术事故(Natech).我国是工业大国,重化工业是我国的主导产业之一;同时我国还是世界上自然灾害严重的国家之一,Natech风险不容忽视.开展Natech风险识别、评估和管理研究,有助于我国Natech风险管理体系的完善,防范和降低区域Natech风险.目前,我国Natech风险基础研究尚处于起步阶段,难以支撑我国Natech风险防控实践.本文从Natech风险发生机制、风险评估、风险感知与最大可接受风险水平、风险管理体系等四个方面回顾了国内外Natech风险研究现状,初步梳理了Natech风险的基本理论,并对我国未来Natech风险的研究方向进行了展望,为我国Natech风险研究领域的发展提供参考.     

The potential implementation of green infrastructure assessment using high-resolution National Agriculture Imagery Program data for sustainable hazard mitigation

As green infrastructure gets its attention in hazard mitigation, it is necessary to improve general understanding on what makes green infrastructure important for hazard and resiliency research. To better understand how green infrastructure fits with more traditional notions of structural and nonstructural mitigation, this study examines the relationship between green infrastructure and ‘structural and nonstructural’ mitigation approaches for hazard mitigation. Also, this study discusses a new measurement of locational aspects and spatial patterns of green infrastructure by utilizing high-resolution data in urban areas, and its potential implementation in hazard mitigation. Compared to previous research using land-use land-cover datasets, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) utilizing National Agriculture Imagery Program dataset provides an ability to capture green infrastructure in greater detail. A visual comparison suggests that the NDVI data are able to capture and identify more types of ‘green’ land uses in Harris County. The total green infrastructure percentages for Harris County, Texas, based on 1-m high resolution were found to be 61.5% of the area, compared to the 51.5% based on the National Land Cover Database. This study provides support for utilizing high-resolution data to establish guidelines for green infrastructure’s spatial characteristics and sustainable hazard mitigation. The outcomes of this study will be helpful in the strategic planning and implementation of green infrastructure in urban areas with hazard issues.     

7种农药对管氏肿腿蜂的毒性及初级风险评价

为评估农药对寄生类自然天敌昆虫的安全性,选择管氏肿腿蜂(Scleroderma guani Xiao et Wu)作为受试生物,采用管测药膜法测定了3种杀虫剂、2种除草剂、2种杀菌剂对其致死效应,并根据田间推荐剂量计算暴露量,采用风险商值HQ对杀虫剂进行风险评估。结果显示,与空白对照比较,3种杀虫剂均具明显毒性作用,其中丁硫克百威、吡虫啉和呋虫胺对管氏肿腿蜂的24 h半致死量(24 h-LR50)分别为5.11、2.92和0.06 g a.i.·ha-1,农田内风险商值分别为60.23、16.64和3 105。除草剂和杀菌剂在3倍最大田间推荐剂量作用下,24 h管氏肿腿蜂死亡率均小于50%。上述结果表明,在田间推荐用量下,3种杀虫剂对管氏肿腿蜂的初级风险评价为存在高风险,建议进一步开展高级阶段风险评估或者采取合理的风险管理措施来降低风险;除草剂和杀菌剂对管氏肿腿蜂的风险可接受。     

公害民事责任三论

当今，公害已成为公众十分关注的社会问题之一。为维护我国公民的合法权益，我国环境保护法律体系中，对公害造成的社会性危害作了具体规定，文章对民事责任基本从三方面作了比较系统完整的探讨。公害民事责任的法律规定。公害民事责任的特点，公害民事责任与资源破坏民事责任的关系，在公害民事责任与一般民事责任关系的分析中，阐述了追公害民事责任的法律依据和公害民事责任是一种特殊的侵权的民事责任的特性。     

城市道路土壤重金属污染及潜在生态危害评价

文章采用了单因子及内梅罗综合污染指数法,对泰安市城市道路两侧土壤重金属污染现状进行了调查评价,并采用Hakanson提出的潜在生态危害指数法对土壤中重金属的潜在生态危害进行了评价。结果表明,城市道路两侧土壤重金属Pb、Cd、Cu、Zn、Cr、As单项污染指数分别为0.11、6.8、1.15、0.86、0.41、0.29,污染程度依次为Cd>Cu>Zn>Cr>As>Pb;各道路综合污染程度依次为东岳大街>岱宗大街>泰山大街>龙潭路>温泉路。城市道路土壤重金属污染呈现Cd污染严重的明显特征,潜在生态危害单项系数达到204,重度污染程度,其余重金属Pb、Cu、Zn、Cr、As轻微污染;潜在生态风险指数214.88,达到中度生态危害程度。     

警惕室内外环境新杀手一电磁辐射污染

随着人民生活水平的提高以及社会的发展和科技进步,各类家用电器、办公自动化设备、移动通讯设备等迅速进入办公室、家庭,提高了人们的工作效率,丰富了人们的精神和物质生活。可是随之而来的是这些高科技的电器产品,在使用过程中会不同程度地产生电磁辐射,并成为继室内空气污染、放射性污染和噪音污染后的又一室内环境污染物质——“电磁辐射污染”。本文将从电磁辐射污染的特性、危害、国家相关规定以及怎样防止和减少室内电磁辐射的污染等几方面进行论述。     

泥石流危险度测试模型与多传感器监测系统

为较准确地预测泥石流的发生,达到防灾减灾的目的,建立一种将多种传感器感知的动态监测信息与地质环境信息相结合的泥石流危险度预测模型。根据泥石流的形成条件和演化机理,量化研究发生泥石流的临界降雨强度、临界倾斜角和临界泥砂堆积层高度。基于该模型,设计并制作由雨量、倾斜、物位3种传感器组成的多传感器监控系统。分析和试验结果表明:该模型和监控系统具有预测泥石流危险度的功能,摄取的信息较全面,准确性更高,时效性更强,置信度较高。     

New approach to calculate the probability of ignition

The probabilistic approach to the evaluation of fire hazard and the effectiveness of fire-precaution measures enables a rational response to the randomness of fire outbreaks. This article employs the statistical analysis methods to elucidate the causes for the ignition of fire on a random sample of industrial buildings in the Republic of Slovenia. The analyses are based on the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM), which is a well established and important statistical analysis technique in the fields of social science, biology, psychology and medicine, but hitherto rarely applied in safety research. The results of the study demonstrate that for the analyzed random sample of industrial buildings the frequency of fire outbreaks statistically significantly depends only on the presence and the probability of exposure to the heat sources (flames, sparks, and hot surfaces), but does not significantly depend on the available quantity of flammable materials within the industrial structure.