埋地管道震害的多因素灰色关联分析

根据多次历史地震埋地管道震害调查资料的统计和定性分析，应用灰色系统理论，以管道震害率作为参考数列，以地震烈度、场地类型、管道材料、接口构造和管径尺寸作为比较数列，对埋地管道震害率进行了多因素灰色关联分析，排出了关联序．研究结果客观地揭示出震害率与各影响因素之间的相互关系，为进一步研究理地管道的震害预测方法提供了科学依据．     

APPLICATION OF GREY MODEL TOWARD RUNOFF FORECASTING1

ABSTRACT: A reliable forecasting model is essential in real‐time flood forecasting for reducing natural damage. Efforts to develop a real‐time forecasting model over the past two decades have been numerous. This work applies the Grey model to forecast rainfall and runoff owing to the model's relative ability to predict the future using a small amount of historical data. Such a model significantly differs from the stochastic and deterministic models developed previously. Ten historical storm events from two catchment areas in northern Taiwan are selected to calibrate and verify the model. Results in this study demonstrate that the proposed models can reasonably forecast runoff one to four hours ahead, if the Grey error prediction method is further used to update the output of the model.     

装备研发方案的动态模糊综合决策

从制定装备研发方案的指导原则出发,分析了评判研发方案优劣的主要指标因素,在此基础上建立了基于时间变化的动态模糊综合评判模型,结合实例进行了分析验证,并用图形描述了时间变化对评判结果的影响,为装备研发方案优选提供了一种动态决策方法。     

钢铁噪声管理信息系统在噪声控制中的应用

为了将钢铁噪声管理信息系统应用到噪声控制中,从噪声控制工作的现场测试、控制方案的选定、降噪效果的鉴定和评价等阶段分析钢铁噪声管理信息系统在噪声治理工作中的应用,并给出应用实例。使用表明:钢铁噪声管理信息系统在噪声控制工作中具有指导作用。钢铁噪声管理信息系统是辅助钢铁企业噪声治理工作的有力工具。     

重庆市四面山4种森林群落面源污染控制功能分析

以重庆市四面山4种森林群落为研究对象,选取林冠截留率、林地土壤毛管孔隙度、林地土壤非毛管孔隙度和林地0～20 cm土壤抗冲刷系数为分析指标,运用灰色关联度法对4种森林群落的面源污染控制功能进行研究.结果表明:在4种森林群落中作为天然林的楠竹林灰关联度值最大为0.887 7,面源污染控制功能最好,其次是人工阔叶林(0.7794)和人工混交林(0.6992),人工针叶林(0.636 1)面源污染防控能力相对较弱.在人工林方面,阔叶林灰关联度值最大为0.7794,面源污染防控能力最好,其次是针阔混交林(0.699 2),针叶林灰关联度值最低为0.636 1,其面源污染防控能力较弱.     

灰色关联分析法在水质评价中的应用

提出了等标分极标准的概念,进而利用等标分级标准和待评价水质样本各组分等标污染指数作灰色关联分析,得到一组待评价水质样本对于各级等标分极标准的关联度,按关联度最大将待评价的水质样本归入相应的水质级别中,用该方法对新疆某水库水质进行了评价,通过与模糊综合评判法和灰色聚类法评价结果对比发现:用灰色关联分析法评价水质,既具有模糊综合评判法和灰色聚类法的优点,又弥补了其不完善之处,评价结果比较符合实际状况,且更具有可比性。     

基于前景理论突发水污染事件个体行为研究

前景理论(Prospect Theory,PT)能很好地描述个体在不确定条件下的行为决策模式和风险偏好。分析表明,利用前景理论研究突发水污染事件中的个体行为决策具有一定的适用性和可行性,因此,建立了突发水污染事件个体行为决策框架。以典型的镇江市水源苯酚污染事故为例,运用突发水污染事件个体行为决策框架,描述了突发水污染事件中的个体行为特征,研究了突发水污染事件中的个体主要决策偏差及其产生的主要原因,并对突发水污染事件中的个体决策偏差下的行为及行为表现进行了分析,提出了个体突发水污染事件应对模式。     

论环境管理会计

如何利用环境财务会计信息为企业内部管理层进行经营决策、投资决策服务是环境管理会计的研究内容。目前,国内有关环境管理会计的研究还很欠缺。从环境成本的核算与管理,环境投资决策分析及环境业绩评价3方面对环境管理会计的核心内容进行了探讨。     

PROMOTING GROUND WATER POLLUTION PREVENTION IN SMALL BUSINESSES1

ABSTRACT: Although they have not been the focus of major regulations, small businesses can contribute pollutants to ground water through routine practices. Because strict regulation of millions of micro firms is not likely, water resource professionals face a challenge of how to reach small business operators with effective pollution prevention messages. The purpose of this study was to examine the factors that influence a small business operator to adopt measures that reduce potential ground water pollution. We looked at how information delivery, internal business characteristics, and external relationships are associated with voluntary preventive measures. Mail surveys from small businesses in New Jersey municipalities and interviews with business owners provided data about business characteristics and current pollution prevention activities. Findings suggested that businesses doing the most to prevent ground water pollution were generally more connected to external organizations and had more financial and technical resources. The study also discovered that small business owners fear government involvement in their affairs. The study concludes with recommendations to encourage more voluntary adoption of prevention measures by businesses. These center on separating assistance programs from enforcement and involving industry peer groups in an effort to make information available in a non-threatening manner.