德令哈地温观测的年变曲线及映震能力探讨

通过对德令哈地温一年观测资料的处理,得到地温观测的年变曲线,得出德令哈地温观测的正常动态特征为趋势型;同时对德令哈地温观测的映震能力进行了初步探讨,表明德令哈地温对于100 km内ML≥4.0级的地震有一定的映震能力.     

关于地震观测环境保护问题的探讨

本文从地震观测环境的概念入手，具体阐述了地震观测环境保护范围的划定；地震观测环境保护的重要性、现状以及加强地震观测环境保护的建议。     

银川台小口子泉水氡对比观测实验研究

本文以小口子泉模拟水氡观测为基础进行日常观测实验.通过加密观测、升高鼓泡水温和降低鼓泡水温实验,认为小口子泉水氡与泉点气温、鼓泡水温变化有关;不同的鼓泡水温对观测氡值有一定影响,但是影响幅度不大.通过不同的观测仪器对比实验,发现不同的观测仪器之间存在系统误差,但不影响观测资料的正常变化形态和幅度.两次实验可以为台站观测人员和分析预报人员掌握观测资料动态变化的影响因素、剔除非地震异常干扰提供帮助.     

小集水区酸化过程观测研究

在贵阳市近郊一封闭的小集水区设置了环境酸化过程试验场.本文介绍了试验场中观测点的布置、各项观测的方法和要求、经过长时间的观测和试验,取得了从酸沉降开始,穿过树冠,渗入土壤,最后进入地面水的全过程中各个环节化学行为和互相影响的可靠数据,由此得知贵州省酸性黄壤对酸化的缓冲能力不强,即容易发生酸化,并且有毒铝离子容易释放等重要信息.     

数字地震仪器的管理维护及在观测应用中的几点体会

“九五”期间 ,我国建立了数字地震观测台网。在模拟地震观测向数字地震观测的转变中 ,从仪器的管理维护到地震的观测分析有许多地方需要不断地改进与完善。我台用数字地震仪观测一年多来 ,积累了一定经验 ,摸索了一些排除故障解决问题的方法。总结于此 ,以便于借鉴。     

Relationship between variations of Be, Pb and Pb concentrations and sub-regional atmospheric transport: Simultaneous observation at distant locations

In order to investigate the applicability of ²¹²Pb as a tracer for atmospheric transport in the sub-regional scale (few hundred kilometers in horizontal direction and up to ∼1 km by height), we measured the air concentrations of the short-lived radionuclide ²¹²Pb along with the long-lived ⁷Be and ²¹⁰Pb near the ground surface. For this purpose, simultaneous observations were continued for several days at three locations: a reference point representative for standard land surface atmosphere conditions, a second location at an altitude 650 m near the reference point, and on a solitary island ∼180 km from the reference point. Measurements of radioactivity in aerosol particle samples collected at intervals of 2-3 h with a high-volume air sampler were performed by extremely low background gamma-ray spectrometry with the use of Ge detectors located at the Ogoya Underground Laboratory. Concentration of ⁷Be or ²¹⁰Pb and their variation patterns was found to be similar among the three points during the whole observation period except for moment of the passage of a cold front. The results indicate that distributions of concentrations of the long-lived nuclides were uniform in this range. On the other hand, concentration levels and the variation patterns of the short-lived ²¹²Pb differed greatly from one location to another, reflecting differences in geographical location and altitude of the observation points. Additionally, there were certain indications that observed concentration of ²¹²Pb contained two components: an autogenous component from sources nearby and a heterogenous one from faraway sources carried by atmospheric horizontal transport. Results of this study provide experimental proof that ²¹²Pb can be used as a tracer of sub-regional atmospheric transport.     

秦皇岛探测环境变化对气象要素的影响

为分析秦皇岛地面气象探测环境变化对气象要素的影响,采用距平百分率和线性倾向估计及趋势系数等方法,对秦皇岛气象站（54449）新、旧站址搬迁前后1989—1998、1999—2008年各10年,与没有迁站的昌黎站做同期资料比较,结果表明：秦皇岛探测环境变化对气象要素有显著影响：年平均气温、年极端气温较迁站前显著下降,相对湿度增大,日照时数明显减少,雾日增多。指出气象要素变化除具有随时间变化的共同差异外,主要受探测环境变化的影响。     

风险评价模式在HSE管理中的应用

根据《中印石油管道项目HSE手册》,对项目进行风险模块划分,以盾构施工模块为例,对其施工过程进行模块综合评价,得到系统安全级数为0.7077,处于中等安全与较安全之间,基本满足要求,为项目的安全环保进行提供了科学依据。     

How decisions about fitting species distribution models affect conservation outcomes

Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly used in conservation and land-use planning as inputs to describe biodiversity patterns. These models can be built in different ways, and decisions about data preparation, selection of predictor variables, model fitting, and evaluation all alter the resulting predictions. Commonly, the true distribution of species is unknown and independent data to verify which SDM variant to choose are lacking. Such model uncertainty is of concern to planners. We analyzed how 11 routine decisions about model complexity, predictors, bias treatment, and setting thresholds for predicted values altered conservation priority patterns across 25 species. Models were created with MaxEnt and run through Zonation to determine the priority rank of sites. Although all SDM variants performed well (area under the curve >0.7), they produced spatially different predictions for species and different conservation priority solutions. Priorities were most strongly altered by decisions to not address bias or to apply binary thresholds to predicted values; on average 40% and 35%, respectively, of all grid cells received an opposite priority ranking. Forcing high model complexity altered conservation solutions less than forcing simplicity (14% and 24% of cells with opposite rank values, respectively). Use of fewer species records to build models or choosing alternative bias treatments had intermediate effects (25% and 23%, respectively). Depending on modeling choices, priority areas overlapped as little as 10–20% with the baseline solution, affecting top and bottom priorities differently. Our results demonstrate the extent of model-based uncertainty and quantify the relative impacts of SDM building decisions. When it is uncertain what the best SDM approach and conservation plan is, solving uncertainty or considering alterative options is most important for those decisions that change plans the most.     

关于石油管道企业HSE管理体系、环境管理体系和职业安全健康管理体系的整合探讨和建议

石油管道企业已经建立了HSE管理体系。为了提高企业的管理水平 ,适应企业的发展和参与国际石油管道建设市场的竞争 ,在近几年内 ,石油管道企业计划建立ISO140 0 0和职业安全健康管理体系。为了提高企业管理效率 ,便于 3个体系的运行和操作 ,笔者提出了企业在建立体系中将EMS、HSEMS、OSHMS整合的思路 ,并对整合的可能性作了探讨 ,提出了体系整合后的基本框架。