臭氧-混凝交互作用对水体有机物的影响

研究臭氧在纯水和混凝剂[Al_2(SO_4)_3]溶液中残余浓度的变化;采用差异吸收分析(differential absorbance,DA)、三维荧光(three dimensional fluorescence excitation-emission matrix spectroscopy,3D-EEM)和气相色谱(gas chromatograph,GC)、总有机碳分析(total organic carbon analyser,TOC)等研究水体有机物(富里酸)光谱特征、有机物和消毒副产物(DBPs)生成量在预臭氧、预臭氧-混凝(POC)以及臭氧-混凝联用(OC)后的差异;研究臭氧和混凝联合作用对有机物氧化程度及其对DBPs生成的影响.结果表明POC与OC作用存在明显差别,臭氧与混凝剂Al_2(SO_4)_3存在交互作用.交互作用主要体现在:(1)臭氧-混凝联用时臭氧降解速率加快;且臭氧降解中自由基产量相对增加.当臭氧投量2 mg·L~(-1),Al3+含量为1 mg·L~(-1)、3 mg·L~(-1)时,自由基捕获量比单独臭氧分别高15.2%和23.9%.(2)联用和预臭氧-混凝对有机物反应的差异,体现在OC有机物去除率低于POC,二者对有机物的反应途径不同;进而导致有机物与消毒剂反应的差异以及DBPs生成的差异.联用对DOC的去除能力明显强于单独臭氧和单独混凝,但弱于预氧化-混凝.当O3浓度为1 mg·L~(-1)、Al3+1 mg·L~(-1)时POC处理后二氯乙酸生成势(DCAAFP)和三氯乙酸生成势(TCAAFP)分别为47μg·L~(-1)和20.5μg·L~(-1),三氯甲烷生成势(CFFP)为97.8μg·L~(-1),较原水分别降低51%、64.6%和41.5%;而相应臭氧-混凝处理后DCAAFP和TCAAFP分别为48.4μg·L~(-1)和21.4μg·L~(-1),CFFP为117.3μg·L~(-1);较原水分别降低49.6%、63%和29.5%.同等臭氧投量下,增加混凝剂的剂量,POC和OC处理效果的差异进一步扩大.为保证用水安全和处理效率,臭氧和混凝联用时对臭氧的浓度、投加位置、混凝剂的种类等都需要进一步的研究论证,慎重选择.     

新乡冬季PM2.5中金属元素与水溶性离子年际变化及其来源解析

为了探究新乡地区年际间冬季PM_(2.5)组分的变化特征和污染来源,于2015年冬季和2016年冬季分别在新乡市区进行连续1个月的膜采样,测定PM_(2.5)质量浓度、金属元素含量及其水溶性离子成分含量,并结合气象因素进行分析.结果表明,新乡地区2015年和2016年冬季采样期间PM_(2.5)的质量浓度日均值分别为226μg·m~(-3)和224μg·m~(-3),污染水平较高.观测期间,新乡冬季PM_(2.5)中Cd和Pb金属元素富集明显,富集因子超过1000.且与2015年相比,2016年金属元素(除Ag和Ni)浓度下降约7. 83%～73. 33%,富集程度均趋于降低.水溶性离子以SO_4~(2-)、NO_3~-和NH_4~+这3种为主,2016年在PM_(2.5)中占比上升25. 1%.综合两种成分分析,新乡地区的PM_(2.5)污染呈现出金属污染向二次水溶性离子污染转移的趋势.综合PCA和PMF源解析结果显示,新乡市冬季有4种主要排放源,即尘土、二次源、工业源和化石燃料燃烧源,2015年冬季主要来源是土壤和建筑扬尘混合源,贡献率37. 46%,2016年主要来源是交通及工业生产中的二次气溶胶污染源,贡献率为34. 94%.     

机械原因飞行事故诱因的分析与预测研究

为更好地预防机械原因飞行事故,提高安全管理和决策的水平,提出机械原因飞行事故诱因的分析与预测方法。首先借鉴"瑞士奶酪"模型的思想,建立了机械原因飞行事故诱因分析分类体系;而后构建了事故的二进制矩阵,通过进行比例矩阵分析和单一聚类分析来辨识重要的单诱因、两两诱因组合和事故主要诱发模式;最后采用Bootstrap方法对其进行预测。结果表明:所提出的方法能够辨识出机械原因飞行事故中的重要单诱因、两两诱因组合和主要诱发模式,并对其做出较为准确的预测,进而对制订事故防控预案,预防此类事故的发生具有重要意义。     

航空事故调查中人的因素安全建议框架研究

对航空事故中人的不安全行为进行了系统分析,将失误划分为感知失误、记忆失误、决策失误、技能失误4个类别,将违章划分为习惯性违章和偶然性违章。将人的因素干预维度确定为组织管理、人/团队、技术、任务和环境。针对不安全行为制定相应的初步改进措施后,还需从措施的可行性、可接受性、经济性和有效性4个方面进行综合评估和取舍。实证研究表明,人的因素干预矩阵是制定安全建议的有效工具,该框架具备良好的适用性。     

改进的HAZOP风险评价方法

HAZOP方法是一种使用简单却高度专业化、系统化,能够覆盖过程工业安全评价各个环节的危险辨识与评估方法。但是,HAZOP方法作为一种定性风险分析方法,仅仅是从定性方面分析装置中是否存在的潜在风险,对于存在的潜在风险,不能量化其严重度和可能性,HAZOP定量/半定量化分析成为本研究领域的发展趋势。本文从三个方面提出了改进HAZOP分析方法。首先,由于工艺参数和引导词构成偏差,根据工艺参数的分类,将偏差划分为数值型和逻辑型,进行了一步半定量化;其次,引入了毒性参数,对后果严重等级重新划分为五级;最后根据风险矩阵理论,运用风险矩阵C=X＋Y规则,计算出风险矩阵,按照风险评价的需要并且根据生产的实际安全管理状况,划分风险等级为四级,得到了新的风险矩阵,从而把HAZOP分析法从一种定性的方法改进为一种半定量的方法。     

Dynamic floodplain vegetation model development for the Kootenai River, USA

The Kootenai River floodplain in Idaho, USA, is nearly disconnected from its main channel due to levee construction and the operation of Libby Dam since 1972. The decreases in flood frequency and magnitude combined with the river modification have changed the physical processes and the dynamics of floodplain vegetation. This research describes the concept, methodologies and simulated results of the rule-based dynamic floodplain vegetation model "CASiMiR-vegetation" that is used to simulate the effect of hydrological alteration on vegetation dynamics. The vegetation dynamics are simulated based on existing theory but adapted to observed field data on the Kootenai River. The model simulates the changing vegetation patterns on an annual basis from an initial condition based on spatially distributed physical parameters such as shear stress, flood duration and height-over-base flow level. The model was calibrated and the robustness of the model was analyzed. The hydrodynamic (HD) models were used to simulate relevant physical processes representing historic, pre-dam, and post-dam conditions from different representative hydrographs. The general concept of the vegetation model is that a vegetation community will be recycled if the magnitude of a relevant physical parameter is greater than the threshold value for specific vegetation; otherwise, succession will take place toward maturation stage. The overall accuracy and agreement Kappa between simulated and field observed maps were low considering individual vegetation types in both calibration and validation areas. Overall accuracy (42% and 58%) and agreement between maps (0.18 and 0.27) increased notably when individual vegetation types were merged into vegetation phases in both calibration and validation areas, respectively. The area balance approach was used to analyze the proportion of area occupied by different vegetation phases in the simulated and observed map. The result showed the impact of the river modification and hydrological alteration on the floodplain vegetation. The spatially distributed vegetation model developed in this study is a step forward in modeling riparian vegetation succession and can be used for operational loss assessment, and river and floodplain restoration projects.     

Characterization of dissolved organic matter as N-nitrosamine precursors based on hydrophobicity, molecular weight and fluorescence

It is very important to identify the dominant precursors for N-nitrosamine formation from bulk organic matter, to enhance the understanding of N-nitrosamine formation pathways in water treatment plants and allow the development of practical treatment technologies. In this study, dissolved organic matter (DOM) from two source waters was fractionated with XAD resins and ultra- filtration membranes. The N-nitrosamine formation potential (FP) (ng of N-nitrosamines formed per mg of dissolved organic carbon (DOC)) from raw water and each fraction were measured and correlated with the fluorescence excitation-emission matrix (EEM), molecular weight (MW) and other assays. The results showed that the hydrophilic fraction had N-nitrosamine FP 1.3 to 3.5 times higher than the hydrophobic fraction from both source waters. The DOM fraction with low MW was the dominant fraction in these two source waters and contributed more precursors for N-nitrosamine formation than the larger MW fraction. The EEM spectra indicated there were notable amounts of soluble microbial products (SMPs) and aromatic proteins in the two studied rivers, which probably originated from wastewater discharge. The SMPs tended to be more closely correlated with N-nitrosodimethylamine formation potential than the other DOM components. Higher N-nitrosamine FP were also related to fractions with lower DOC/DON ratios and lower SUVA 254 values.     

山东省人力资本空间结构的分形研究

本文试圈将分形理论及方法引入到区域人力资本空间结构的研究之中，首先利用马尔柯夫转移矩阵对山东省人力资本等级结构进行了预测，在这一基础上，计算出了1992年、1997年和2002年山东省人力资本空间结构的分维数。并对2007年的分维数进行了模拟，结果表明这一分维数不断下降。最后总结了山东省人力资本空间结构的特点。     

离子色谱法中高浓度盐基体对无机阴离子分析影响规律的研究

本文首次研究高浓度盐基体中，大量盐的存在对无机阴离子的保留时间，峰高峰面积等参数的影响规律，并对其影响机理进行了初步探讨，实验证明，在样品中离子总浓度不超过柱容量孤情况下，虽然由于某些离子的浓度过高，使待测离子的保留时间变短，峰形改变，但用峰面积和标准加入外推法计算，仍可得到较即的结果。