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791.
Adult sea lampreys (Petromyzon marinus) migrating upstream to spawn follow a pheromone released by instream larvae. The size (i.e. flow) of a tributary dilutes the concentration of this pheromone, such that the downstream propagation pattern of larval pheromone must be influenced by patterns in the relative sizes and numbers of confluent tributaries. We developed an individual-based model to explicitly test the resulting hypothesis that river network structure influences the migration decisions of adult lampreys following the larval pheromone, and in turn the distribution of larvae. First, we initialized the model using randomly generated river networks, and found a strong positive relationship between network diameter and larval aggregation. Larvae aggregated over time, and the degree and rate of this aggregation depended on network diameter. Second, we initialized the model using a river network based on the Muskegon River, Michigan, and compared model-generated larval distribution to available field survey data. We found a significant correlation between model-generated larval abundance and field-measured larval densities (r2 = 0.54; p < 0.0001). We also found an inverse relationship between subwatershed area and the degree to which path-dependent effects influenced larval abundance in that subwatershed. Our results overall suggest that larval distribution across a watershed results from a system of context-dependent interannual feedbacks shaped by network structure and the past migratory and spawning behavior of adults. 相似文献
792.
793.
794.
Simple analytical models are derived to assess how a series of cattle animal farms affect the transport and fate of an indicator organism (Escherichia coli) and a zoonotic pathogen (Campylobacter) in a stream. Separate steady-state mass-balance models are developed and solved for the ultimate minimum and maximum concentrations for the two organisms. The E. coli model assumes that the organism is ubiquitous and abundant in the animals’ digestive tracts. In contrast, a simple dose-response model is employed to relate the Campylobacter prevalence to drinking water drawn from the stream. Because faecal indicators are commonly employed to assess the efficacy of best management practice (BMP) interventions, we also employ the models to assess how BMPs impact pathogen levels. The model provides predictions of (a) the relative removal efficacy for Campylobacter and (b) the prevalence of Campylobacter infection among farm animals after implementation of BMPs. Dimensionless numbers and simple graphs are developed to assess how prevalence is influenced by a number of factors including animal density and farm spacing. A significant outcome of this model development is that the numerous dimensional input and parameter variables are reduced to a group of just four dimensionless Campylobacter-related quantities, characterizing: animal density; in-stream attenuation; animal-to-animal transmission; and infection recovery. Calculations reveal that for some constellations of these four quantities there can be a greater-than-expected benefit in that the proportional reduction of stream Campylobacter concentrations post-BMP can substantially exceed the proportional reduction of concentrations of E. coli in that stream. In addition, a criterion for system sterility (i.e., the conditions required for the farm infection rate to decrease with downstream distance) is derived. 相似文献
795.
变化环境下北江下游年径流量的加权马尔可夫链预测 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
在气候变化和人类活动的影响下,西北江的水文环境发生了重大变化,导致北江下游的来水条件发生变化。采用斯波曼检验(Spearman’s rho test)和Mann-kendall法系统地分析了北江下游的年径流量的变化趋势和变异情况,在此基础上建立了北江下游变化环境下年径流量的加权马尔可夫链预测模型。结果表明:西北江近50年来的大规模联围筑闸、大规模无序采掘河床泥沙等剧烈的人类活动,导致北江下游三水水文站年径流量在1990年左右发生了变异;所建立的加权马尔可夫链预测结果表明,从变异后的序列中统计出来的状态"转移概率"矩阵,能准确地反映出环境变化后年径流量之间的关系,所建立的加权马尔可夫链法预测变化环境下的年径流量是可行的,预测效果也比较好;按文章确定的分级标准,依现有的资料信息推断,环境发生变化后,在未来长期过程中,北江下游出现平水年的机会最大,但年际间的丰枯波动概率也不小。这一结果值得水资源管理部门注意。 相似文献
796.
黄河口潮间带表层沉积物重金属和营养元素的分布特征 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
于2010年5月采集了5个断面的黄河口潮间带高、中和低潮滩的表层沉积物样品,对沉积物的理化性质、重金属和营养元素的空间分布特征进行了研究,并采用单因子污染指数法和综合潜在生态风险指数法,参考加拿大安大略省环境和能源部关于沉积物质量指南,对黄河口潮间带沉积物质量进行了评价。结果表明,除Cu和Pb外,其它重金属和营养元素质量分数均表现为河口北侧高于南侧;除Hg外,高、中和低潮滩的表层沉积物重金属和营养元素质量分数无显著差异,没有表现出成熟潮滩明显的垂岸分带特征。Pb质量分数高于渤海表层沉积物的高值,是该区域的首要污染因子;Hg在河口北侧近河口的两个站位低潮滩质量分数达到海洋沉积物质量一类标准的1.7和1.8倍,存在一定的潜在生态风险;TN和TOC质量分数范围在安全级别,TP质量分数在20%的站位超过最低安全级别,存在一定的安全风险。与国内其它潮滩相比,黄河口潮间带重金属Zn、Cd、Hg和As的质量分数处于较低水平,Cu和Pb质量分数处于中等水平,TOC和TP质量分数与长江口潮间带相当,TN质量分数较低。研究结果将为黄河三角洲地区生态保护、环境管理和污染治理提供基础数据。 相似文献
797.
Simon Marsden 《Environmental Impact Assessment Review》2011,31(6):593-601
China's EIA Law does not require transboundary proposals to be assessed, despite recognition of this globally, for example in the Espoo Convention and Kiev Protocol, and in the European EIA and SEA Directives. In a transboundary context assessment within a state is unusual, as regulating these effects is primarily about the relationship between states. However where a state has more than one legal system such as in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) Region of southern China, transboundary effects should also be addressed. Yet despite the geographical connections between Guangdong Province in mainland China (where the EIA Law applies) and the Hong Kong and Macau Special Administrative Regions (which have their own provisions, neither of which requires transboundary assessments), EIA and SEA are carried out separately. Coordinated or joint approaches to transboundary assessment are generally absent, with the legal autonomy of Hong Kong and Macau a major constraint. As a result institutional responses at the policy level have developed. The article considers global experiences with regulating transboundary EIA and SEA, and analyses potential application to land use, transport and air and water planning in the PRD Region. If applied, benefits may include prevention or mitigation of cumulative effects, broader public participation, and improvements to environmental governance. The PRD Region experience may encourage China to conduct and coordinate EIA and SEA processes with neighbouring states, which has been non-existent or extremely limited to date. 相似文献
798.
799.
澜沧江流域梯级水库建设下水体营养盐和叶绿素a的空间分布特征 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
澜沧江梯级水库群建设对流域水生态环境产生了一定的影响,将流域水体划分为自然河道段和水库段.为了探究梯级水库建设后澜沧江流域不同类型水体氮、磷营养盐和叶绿素a浓度的空间变化规律以及叶绿素a浓度与环境因子之间的关系,于2017年6月对澜沧江流域生态环境进行了调查分析.结果表明,澜沧江水体总氮质量浓度变化范围为0.37~1.22 mg·L-1,均值为0.70 mg·L-1;总磷质量浓度变化范围0.01~0.19 mg·L-1,均值为0.04 mg·L-1.单因素ANOVA分析表明,总氮空间差异显著,表现为支流段 > 水库段 > 自然河道段;但总磷没有明显的空间差异.澜沧江水库段水体叶绿素a浓度变化范围为2.6~10.2μg·L-1,均值为5.8μg·L-1.Pearson相关性分析结果显示,水体叶绿素a浓度与总磷浓度、水温和真光层与混合层之比(Zeu/Zmix)等具有显著相关性,其中与Zeu/Zmix的相关性最高(R2=0.689,P=0.001),表明水温分层驱动下的Zeu/Zmix是影响澜沧江水库水体中浮游植物生长的关键性指标. 相似文献
800.
全球气候变暖极大地影响了地表侵蚀过程,但影响机制尚无统一定论.河流悬浮物是示踪地表侵蚀的常用手段.本文通过分析青海湖流域最大河流布哈河2008?—?2015年的日径流量、悬浮物浓度、气温及降雨数据,讨论了该流域在日、月以及季节尺度下土壤侵蚀对气候变化的响应特征.结果表明:降雨是半干旱布哈河流域土壤侵蚀的主要控制因素,气温通过影响冻融作用控制侵蚀行为.此外,该流域的土壤侵蚀具有明显的季节性差异,大部分的侵蚀发生在雨季.最重要的是,冻融作用导致春季解冻期/雨季前期产生额外的沉积物累积,表现为在相同流量下,沉积物输出明显高于雨季后期.上述结果对深刻认识全球变暖背景下侵蚀的响应机制具有重要的作用. 相似文献