基于PMF模型的九龙江流域农田土壤重金属来源解析

选取九龙江流域农田土壤为研究对象,运用电感耦合等离子体质谱(ICP-MS)和原子荧光光谱(AFS)测定了土壤中重金属含量,通过正定矩阵因子分析模型(PMF)解析农田土壤中重金属的主要来源.结果表明,研究区域农田土壤中大部分金属相对福建省土壤环境背景值已存在一定程度的富集,部分土壤中Cd、Zn、Pb和Cu含量超过农用地土壤污染风险筛选值(GB15618-2018),且各金属在研究区不同区域(北溪流域、西溪流域和河口区)分布存在中等变异.Cr、Ni、Cu、Zn和Cd的含量在北溪流域的龙岩区域较高,Pb的含量在西溪流域较高,而Co、Hg和As的含量在河口区域较高.正定矩阵因子分析模型(PMF)得出的源成分谱和源贡献率具有非负性质,土壤中重金属实测值与模型预测值拟合曲线呈现较好相关性,结果相对合理,能满足研究需要.正定矩阵因子分析模型(PMF)解析得出:研究区农田土壤中重金属主要来源有自然源、农业活动、燃煤释放和工业活动,其对农田土壤中重金属的综合贡献率分别为37. 0%、26. 7%、17. 6%和18. 7%.     

基于两种再分析资料的一次四川盆地大气污染过程气象要素数值模拟研究

利用ECMWF-ERA5和NCEP-FNL再分析资料作为中尺度气象模式WRF(The Weather Research and Forecasting)初始场,对四川盆地2018年1月一次大气污染过程气象要素进行了模拟,对比分析了气温、风速、风向、相对湿度、边界层高度、温廓线的模拟效果,并结合大气超级站观测数据对模拟结果进行评估.结果表明:两种资料均能较好地模拟出气象要素的变化情况,但由于两套资料时空分辨率、采用的模式、同化方案、数据来源和质量控制方案存在一定区别,导致各要素模拟效果并不一致.与NCEP-FNL相比,ECMWF-ERA5模拟的平均相对湿度(59.23%)与观测值差异更小,且均方根误差、偏差较小,分别为9.83%和-0.83%,但NCEP-FNL模拟的平均气温(8.99℃)更接近观测值,且偏差值较小,为-0.04℃.两组模拟结果均显示盆地内部为模拟区域的低风速区,相对湿度模拟值在60%以上,气温高于西部山地地区.NCEP-FNL模拟的盆地内部气温、相对湿度、风速小于ECMWF-ERA5模拟值,但边界层高度模拟值较大.ECMWF-ERA5模拟的逆温强度相比较小,且温度露点差...     

Rapidly assessing cobenefits to advance threat-management alliances

Conservation strategies aimed at reducing threats to biodiversity can have significant implications for multiple sectors in a socioeconomic system, but these cobenefits are often poorly understood. For example, many of the threats to native species also impede agricultural production, yet agriculture is typically perceived as in competition with conservation objectives. Although a comprehensive, multiobjective decision analysis is usually beyond the scope and capacity of conservation decision makers, failing to incorporate key socioeconomic costs and benefits into conservation decision-making processes can result in missed opportunities for diversifying outcomes and creating cost-sharing multisectoral partnerships. We devised a straightforward and readily interpretable approach to incorporate cobenefits into a threat-management prioritization approach. We used it to analyze the agricultural cobenefits of implementing 9 invasive animal management strategies designed to ensure the persistence of 148 threatened species across Australia's Lake Eyre Basin over 50 years. A structured elicitation process with 24 participants (scientists, land managers, agriculturalists, and other stakeholders) was used to collect information on each strategy, including costs, technical and social feasibility, benefits to native threatened species, and cobenefits to agricultural production systems. The costs of targeted invasive animal management to save threatened species across the basin (AU$33 million/year) outweighed the overall benefits to the agricultural industry (estimated AU$226 million/year). The return on investment for these management strategies varied substantially when agricultural cobenefits were considered alongside threatened species benefits and showed synergies and challenges. Our approach demonstrates the value of incorporating cobenefits of conservation actions into cost-effectiveness analyses to guide potential investment and partnerships and to diversify implementation pathways.     

吐鲁番盆地水资源持续利用研究

吐鲁番盆地是中国陆地最低的山间盆地，也是新疆水资源量最少的地区之一。其水资源开发利用及其引起的环境变化，是关系到该区持续发展的关键问题。本文从合理利用水资源的角度着重分析了吐鲁番地区水资源开发模式及带来的环境问题，并提出了今后水资源持续利用的途径。     

四川盆地农业自然环境质量综合评价研究

本文用一种综合定量的方法,评价了四川盆地130个县的农业自然环境质量,获得了比传统的定性描述更直观、确切的结果。分析显示,四川盆地农业自然环境的自然潜力质量、生态质量和综合质量均属“一般”质量等级,并非通常所言“农业自然条件优越”:生态质量和自然潜力质量因盆地地形引起的各种质量因子的变化,有明显的区域差别。文中各种参评因子的量化及评价模型,可为农业自然环境质量评价研究提供参考。     

USING GROUND WATER BASINS AS STORAGE FACILITIES IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA1

ABSTRACT: Southern California, now in its fifth consecutive year of drought, has always relied heavily on imported water from the Owens Valley, the State Water Project, and the Colorado River. For various reasons, these sources are now decreasing and water suppliers are being forced to look for new sources. One possible alternative is to store water obtained during peak supply periods for use during dry periods in ground water storage basins. The Santa Ana River Basin in Orange County has already been developed, and is being used to provide water to 25 cities in Orange County. The San Juan Basin, also in Orange County, is being studied as a possible future storage basin. This paper examines some of the positive and negative aspects of developing and using ground water storage basins in Southern California.     

四川盆地海相三叠系硫同位素组成及其地质意义

系统整理研究了四川盆地海相三叠系硬石膏和卤水的硫同位素组成、演化特点及其地质意义。这对促进四川和全球海相三叠系硫酸盐硫同位素的研究有重要参考价值。     

海拉尔盆地乌9井煤含水热模拟生烃实验研究

通过对海拉尔盆地乌 9井煤进行含水热模拟实验 ,结果反映出煤在早期阶段产气率较小 ,且以生成非烃气为主 ,35 0℃后产气率明显增大 ,随模拟温度的增加烃类气体的组分碳同位素序列由正碳序列变为同位素序列倒转 ,说明了温度对天然气的组分碳同位素序列有影响。热模拟煤中可溶有机质表现出低饱和烃和高非烃、沥青质的特点 ,色谱上具有较高的Pr/Ph。煤具有两次生油高峰 :即未熟 低熟油生油高峰 ,对应Ro =0 5 % ,产油率为 0 .85 % ;第二次生油高峰Ro为 0 .85 % ,产油率 0 .93%。煤显微组分组成特征决定了煤的生油特征。     

松辽盆地三肇地区低渗透油田构造裂缝特征

松辽盆地主要经历了伸展构造期和反转构造期两个构造时期,形成了复杂的构造裂缝组系。裂缝以垂直和高角度倾斜缝为主,力学性质表现为张性缝。虽然存在多组裂缝方向,但以东西向裂缝占优势,其次为北东和南北向裂缝。裂缝形成时期主要在反转构造期的挤压应力作用下形成,裂缝的发育主要受岩性、岩层厚度和构造部位的控制。在现今地应力作用下,东西向裂缝有效程度高,成为影响三肇地区注水开发的主要裂缝组系。     

川西前陆盆地流体的跨层流动

本文讨论了川西前陆盆地气田区上三叠统和侏罗系地层水K+ +Na+ 、Ca2 + 、Mg2 + 、Br-与Cl-离子、矿物 (胶结物和充填物 )碳氧同位素和水的氢氧同位素成分组成以及相互关系。气田区上三叠统流体来源以地层海陆相沉积物质为主 ,并与渗流水混合 ,形成“下部流体”。有气藏的侏罗系内流体 (称“上部流体”)与“下部流体”的水化学和同位素组成相近 ,且具有同一演化趋势 ,表明它来源于下部流体并与侏罗系层内的渗流水发生过混合作用。本文提出该气田流体具跨层流动、二次混合演化特征 ,认为大规模的流体对流混合促进了上三叠统内天然气的运移聚积 ,在三叠系内有利构造圈闭中形成原生或残留气藏并向上运移 ,在侏罗系内有利圈闭中形成“次生”气藏。