青海省循环经济发展的思考与对策——以柴达木盆地循环经济试验区为例

发展循环经济是青海省加快经济增长方式转变、实现可持续发展的重要举措。本文从矿产资源的合理开发利用、工业化健康发展和经济社会全面发展三方面深刻剖析了青海省发展循环经济的重大意义。通过柴达木盆地循环经济试验区的实践和发达国家成功经验的借鉴,分析青海省发展循环经济的有利因素及限制条件,提出了青海省发展循环经济的有效对策,可为青海省及其他省市建立合理的循环经济发展体系提供科学的参考。     

山东省沂沭河流域水环境容量研究

根据沂沭河流域的水文特征和水质状况，建立了沂沭河流域河流水环境容量数学模型和计算方法，依据该流域水环境功能区划，计算出流域内各水功能区和各河流的环境容量及最大允许排污量，从而为沂沭河流域实施水污染物总量控制和南水北调东线工程山东段水质达标提供基础数据。     

湘江流域洪水灾害综合风险评价

依据灾害系统理论,在综合考虑致灾因子、孕灾环境和承灾体的基础上,从致灾因子、孕灾环境的自然属性和承灾体的社会属性两方面出发,以县级行政单元为基本评价单元,进行了湘江流域洪水灾害的综合风险评价。在综合考虑降雨量、地形以及历史上洪水灾害发生频次等自然因素的条件下,利用地图代数分析得到了湘江流域洪水灾害危险性评价图;在综合考虑人口密度、耕地面积百分比、人均GDP和单位面积水库和塘坝容量等社会经济指标的基础上,利用模糊综合评判法得到了湘江流域洪水灾害脆弱性评价图。在此基础上采取“乘”模型的计算公式,即风险=危险性×脆弱性,将湘江流域洪水灾害风险划分为高风险、较高风险、中等风险、较低风险和低风险5个等级,并借助地理信息系统软件编制了湘江流域洪水灾害综合风险等级评价图。     

GROUND WATER IN PERSPECTIVE1

ABSTRACT. Owing to their enormous capacity, ground-water reservoirs are at least equal in importance to the ground water itself. As regulators of water movement in the hydrological cycle, these reservoirs surpass all lakes combined, natural and manmade. While many aquifers are not well understood, data on many others are adequate for long-range broad-scale planning. An example is the basalt aquifer of the Snake River Plain in Idaho. However, the area has managerial problems which concern the time, the place and the feasibility of manipulations of water. All continents of the world contain great aquifers. For every huge aquifer, however, hundreds of smaller ones occur, and even these contain astonishing amounts of water. Aquifers in the Ohio River Basin of the United States are good examples. Management of total water resources is a difficult problem at many places. But many problems could be met and many water shortages alleviated or eliminated by use of aquifers, not merely as sources of water, but as reservoirs for management of water.     

试论长江文化生态的主要特征

大自然孕育了万物,人类又在自然的基础上创造了文化。久远深厚、异彩纷呈的长江文化,正是得益于广阔的发展舞台、优越的生态环境条件。因此探讨长江文化系统与生态环境系统的耦合关系－文化生态,就具有十分重要的意义。着重论述了长江文化生态的主要特征：（1）整体性－－长江文化生态系统的各组成部分是彼此联系、相互作用的统一,它能反映整体的特征和活动方式,它孕育了长江多元文化。（2）开放性－－长江流域是一个庞大的、开放的外流水网系统,该系统不从外部输入物质、能量和信息,吸收并累积负熵流,维持其有序性。长江文化具有悠久的开放传统和宽广的心态。（3）动态性－长江文化生态系统的动态特征,既有周期性变化也有非周期性变化。（4）人地相关性－长江文化生态民是人地关系相互作用的统一体,回顾长江文化的发展史,人与自然关系经历了“强烈依赖－－被动顺序－－主动征服－－相互和谐”几个阶段。     

MESOSCALE ATMOSPHERIC 2XCO2 CLIMATE CHANGE SIMULATION APPLIED TO AN OREGON WATERSHED1

ABSTRACT: A 2xCO2 climate and runoff in the Upper Deschutes Basin in central Oregon is simulated using a mesoscale atmospheric model and a watershed model that incorporates spatial variability of the runoff process. A nine‐year control climate monthly time series provides a benchmark for assessing changes related to a warmer and wetter 2xCO2 climate. Potential evapotranspiration is increased by 23 percent and snow water equivalent is reduced by 59 percent in the 2xCO2 climate. Annual runoff increases by 23 percent, while November runoff increases by 55 percent. The average maximum monthly runoff is in May for both the control climate and 2xCO2 climate, but in five of the nine years the monthly maximum runoff for the 2xCO2 climate occurs two to five months earlier than for the control climate. The minimum runoff month is one to five months earlier in the 2xCO2 climate in seven of the nine years, and the month of average minimum runoff is March in the control climate and November in the 2xCO2 climate. Since precipitation is greatest in December in both the control climate and 2xCO2 climate, the earlier maximum and minimum runoff for a 2xCO2 climate indicates greater watershed sensitivity to temperature than to precipitation.     

UTILIZING INDUCED RECHARGE FOR REGIONAL AQUIFER MANAGEMENT1

ABSTRACT: The deep aquifers of the Portland Basin are used as a regional water supply by at least six municipalities in Oregon and Washington. Maximum continuous use of the aquifers in 1998 was 13 mgd and peak emergency use was 55 mgd. Continuous use of the deep aquifers at a rate of 55 mgd has been proposed and inchoate water rights have been reserved for expansion of pumping to 121 mgd. A study was completed, using a calibrated ground water flow model, to evaluate the role of induced recharge from the Columbia River in mitigating aquifer drawdown from continuous‐use and expanded pumping scenarios in the center and eastern areas of the basin. The absolute average residual was less than 3.6 feet for steady‐state model calibrations, and less than 8.0 feet for transient calibration to a 42 mgd pumping event in 1987 with 170 feet of drawdown. Continuous use of the aquifers at a rate of 55 mgd is predicted to increase drawdown to 210 feet. Expansion of pumping to 121 mgd in the center basin is predicted to cause 400 feet of drawdown. However, expansion of pumping in the east basin is predicted to result in only 220 feet of drawdown because of induced recharge from the Columbia River.     

新疆塔里木河流域生态脆弱带的环境质量综合评价

塔里木河流域是我国生态环境脆弱地区之一,流域内的不同区域,由于物质及能量匹配上不够协调,宏观上表现出不同的脆弱性特征.依据生态环境质量评价的有关原则,结合塔河流域生态环境的实际情况,筛选出20个指标,建立生态环境综合评价的指标体系.通过构建生态脆弱性指数,综合地反映了塔河流域生态环境质量的优劣程度.结果表明,阿克苏河流域属于生态环境改善区,叶尔羌河流域及塔河上游属于生态环境基本平衡区,和田河流域及塔河中游属于生态环境失调区,而塔河下游属于生态环境严重受损区,评价结果符合实际情况,对指导流域生态环境建设具有重要意义.     

漓江流域典型岩溶生态系统的自然特征差异

对漓江流域两种典型岩溶生态系统---典型峰林平原与典型峰丛洼地的自然特征研究对比表明,两者的差异集中体现在岩溶形态(包括石峰与洞穴)、地势分布、水文网、土壤与植被、洪水灾害与系统输入输出功能等方面,其中岩溶形态、地势分布、可开发利用的水资源与土地资源是两种系统存在显著差异的关键因素。典型峰林平原地势平坦开阔,外源水来源丰富,地下水分布均匀,土层成因多、分布广,具有城市发展、人群集聚的良好基础条件,但洪水灾害、枯季缺水、地面塌陷是影响社会发展的自然环境问题;典型峰丛洼地山地多,地势高,缺乏外源水,地下水埋藏深,土地资源贫乏,导致生境条件恶劣,不适于人群集聚,自然村落发展条件处于明显劣势。     

CLIGEN生成干旱半干旱地区降水相关参数的验证

选用黄河上中游地区无定河流域为中心的15个气象站1959~1999年的降水日值资料,对随机天气发生器CLIGEN在干旱半干旱地区再现降水的能力进行了验证。结果表明:CLIGEN模型较好地模拟了该区域的降水发生概率;很好地再现了年、月、日降水总量平均值,平均相对偏差分别为2.4%、2.4%和2.1%;CLIGEN再现了96.4%的日降水变率、95.9%的月降水变率和84.1%的年降水变率。对年降水变率估计稍差,表明CLIGEN在模拟降水变率方面还有改进的必要。从降水极值看,年降水最大值的平均相对偏差为11.1%,偏差最大的是干旱区的临河站（39.1%）;年降水最小值的平均相对偏差为20.5%,偏差最大的是临河站（-30.7%）;月最大降水量除两站稍低外,其它站平均偏高20.2%;日降水最大值除临河站偏低3.4%外,其余各站平均偏高43.2%。总体上讲,CLIGEN在干旱地区的模拟能力比在半干旱区稍差。鉴于CLI-GEN模拟的极大值绝大部分都偏高,因此利用CLIGEN模型生成的降水资料运行径流和土壤侵蚀模型有高估径流量和土壤侵蚀量的可能,需要进一步利用自计雨量计的资料对CLIGEN生成次降水的参数进行验证,以确保径流和土壤侵蚀预测的精度。