Incentive compatibility tests of choice experiment value elicitation questions

This paper uses laboratory experiments with induced values to address fundamental issues related to the incentive compatibility of choice experiment value elicitation questions. In particular, we compare two- versus three-option choice sets and the effect of using alternative provision rules, including one where the outcome is influenced by both participant and “regulator” votes. We find the overall proportion of choices that are inconsistent with induced preferences is rather low. However, there are more deviations from induced preferences for two-option choice sets, and for alternatives to a simple plurality vote implementation rule. A multinomial probit analysis of choices in tandem with a mixed logit welfare analysis suggests there is a statistically significant but modest degree of bias towards selecting the status quo option.     

Simulating dynamic and mixed-severity fire regimes: A process-based fire extension for LANDIS-II

Fire regimes result from reciprocal interactions between vegetation and fire that may be further affected by other disturbances, including climate, landform, and terrain. In this paper, we describe fire and fuel extensions for the forest landscape simulation model, LANDIS-II, that allow dynamic interactions among fire, vegetation, climate, and landscape structure, and incorporate realistic fire characteristics (shapes, distributions, and effects) that can vary within and between fire events. We demonstrate the capabilities of the new extensions using two case study examples with very different ecosystem characteristics: a boreal forest system from central Labrador, Canada, and a mixed conifer system from the Sierra Nevada Mountains (California, USA). In Labrador, comparison between the more complex dynamic fire extension and a classic fire simulator based on a simple fire size distribution showed little difference in terms of mean fire rotation and potential severity, but cumulative burn patterns created by the dynamic fire extension were more heterogeneous due to feedback between fuel types and fire behavior. Simulations in the Sierra Nevada indicated that burn patterns were responsive to topographic features, fuel types, and an extreme weather scenario, although the magnitude of responses depended on elevation. In both study areas, simulated fire size and resulting fire rotation intervals were moderately sensitive to parameters controlling the curvilinear response between fire spread and weather, as well as to the assumptions underlying the correlation between weather conditions and fire duration. Potential fire severity was more variable within the Sierra Nevada landscape and also was more sensitive to the correlation between weather conditions and fire duration. The fire modeling approach described here should be applicable to questions related to climate change and disturbance interactions, particularly within locations characterized by steep topography, where temporally or spatially dynamic vegetation significantly influences spread rates, where fire severity is variable, and where multiple disturbance types of varying severities are common.     

Experimental study of recirculating flows generated by lateral shock waves in very large channels

Due to the lack of data on hydraulic-jump dynamics in very large channels, the present paper describes the main characteristics of the velocity field and turbulence in a large rectangular channel with a width of 4 m. Although a hydraulic jump is always treated as a wave that is transversal to the channel wall, in the case of this study it has a trapezoidal front shape, first starting from a point at the sidewalls and then developing downstream in an oblique manner, finally giving rise to a trapezoidal shape. The oblique wave front may be regarded as a lateral shockwave that arises from a perturbation at a certain point of the lateral wall and travels obliquely toward the centreline of the channel. The experimental work was carried out at the Coastal Engineering Laboratory of the Water Engineering and Chemistry Department of the Technical University of Bari (Italy). In addition to the hydraulic jump formation, a large recirculating flow zone starts to develop from the separating point of the lateral shock wave and a separate boundary layer occurs. Intensive measurements of the streamwise and spanwise flow velocity components along one-half width of the channel were taken using a bidimensional Acoustic Doppler Velocimeter (ADV). The water surface elevation was obtained by means of an ultrasonic profiler. Velocity vectors, transversal velocity profiles, turbulence intensities and Reynolds shear stresses were all investigated. The experimental results of the separated boundary layer were compared with numerical predictions and related work presented in literature and showed good agreement. The transversal velocity profiles indicated the presence of adverse pressure gradient zones and the law of the wall appears to govern the region around the separated boundary layer.     

氯氟烃化合物对臭氧层的影响---浅谈制冷剂R22替代R502的价值与技术

从保护臭氧层,保护环境的角度出发,介绍了氯氟烃化合物对环境的影响。阐述了用制冷剂R22代替R502在低蒸发温度应用时需要解决的问题和如何解决。     

脱水污泥薄层干燥特性及动力学模型分析

采用薄层干燥方式进行脱水污泥热干燥的研究,考察了污泥的干燥特性,并引入薄层干燥模型进行数值分析.结果表明, Logarithmic模型比其他模型更适合薄层污泥干燥分析.应用Fick扩散模型,得到80~150℃条件下薄层污泥干燥的有效扩散系数的变化范围为8.486′10-10~4.386′10-9m2/s,并根据Arrhenius经验公式建立温度与扩散系数的关系,得到污泥干燥时水分扩散的活化能为29.56kJ/mol.     

合成水滑石治理水体阴离子染料污染研究

利用不同层电荷的合成水滑石（层状双氢氧化物）和它们的焙烧态为吸附剂，系统考察了此类材料对于甲基橙染料的吸附保留行为，通过粉末X射线衍射，傅立叶红外和扫描电镜测试说明经水热处理得到的合成水滑石具有良好的结晶度和相纯度．水滑石及其焙烧态对于甲基橙阴离子染料的吸附研究主要采用间歇平衡法实验，吸附体系的电导率变化显示了水滑石的记忆效应，并有可能是焙烧态水滑石再生的动态过程反应低浓度甲基橙在焙烧态水滑石上的吸附实验说明，水滑石层电荷密度对于其焙烧态氧化物吸附低浓度阴离子具有显著的影响。     

城区与郊区PM2.5污染及传输特征差异性

基于云高仪激光雷达、飞机AMDAR数据和常规站点等多源观测数据,并与数值模拟（CAMx-PSAT模型）相结合,以京津冀典型城市——北京城区与郊区（密云）和石家庄城区与郊区（平山）为案例研究区域,对城区和郊区边界层高度差异（ΔPBLH）、地面PM_2.5浓度差异（ΔSurf_PM_2.5）、高空PM_2.5浓度差异（ΔVert_PM_2.5）和传输通量强度及高度分布特征差异进行分析.结果表明,由于人为热源、短波辐射和热力湍流等因素,导致城区年均边界层高度（PBLH）较郊区高8%~29%,且不同季节下城区PBLH月均较郊区高2%（石家庄4月）~47%（北京7月）.由于人为排放、逆温和大气湍流等共同作用,在0~1260 m之间等高度城区年均ρ（PM_2.5）较郊区高0.1（石家庄）~29.7（北京）μg ·m^-3,随高度增加而减小.城区年均总净通量强度远大于郊区,城区表现为流出,郊区表现为流入,是由于城区低压和郊区高压,形成城郊热力环流.北京城区和郊区与周边的年均总净通量强度之和（44.77 t ·d^-1）大于石家庄（34.44 t ·d^-1）.受风速和PM_2.5浓度的影响,在0~1260 m之间,城区和郊区与周边的净通量随离地高度的增加通量强度呈现明显增大趋势,其中1月城区和4月郊区与周边的传输交换对环境影响最为明显.不同季节下城区和郊区最大净通量的强度差异明显,两者相差2.23~4.48倍;但最大净通量强度的高度特征差异较小,主要位于611~1260 m.     

气象激光雷达的城市边界层探测

为了研究城市边界层结构变化特征,2005年7月利用气象激光雷达在南京城区做了城市边界层探测试验,就此次观测试验作了简要叙述并选取部分观测资料为示例,着重对气象激光雷达确定城市边界层高度垂直分布及逐时变化以及地面气象环境对边界层的日变化影响进行了初步分析.结果表明,主要由近地层对流混合形成的城市边界层高度具有典型的日变化特点,早晚比较低,日间有一个从低到高再到低的变化过程.提出了一种由边界层混合状态确定边界层高度的方法.分析结果表明,由气溶胶消光系数确定城市边界层高度比较准确.将MSL探测结果与同步的低空无线电探测仪的温度探测结果进行比较,结果表明,两者获得的实际廓线分布相当吻合,线性良好.就地表温度、辐射、湿度及云等气象要素对边界层垂直分布及时间变化的影响做了分析.结果表明,这些气象要素的分布对城市边界层高度的垂直分布及其逐时变化有明显影响.     

南京地区一次灰霾天气的微脉冲激光雷达观测分析

利用微脉冲激光雷达(MPL)对2012年10月南京地区的一次灰霾天气进行了不间断观测,结合地面气象要素和PM10、PM2.5质量浓度资料分析了此次污染过程颗粒物质量浓度、气象要素、气溶胶垂直方向光学特性和混合层高度(MLH)日变化趋势以及相关性并与11月11~12日非灰霾天气做了消光系数和MLH的比较.结果表明,本次灰霾天气颗粒物浓度与近地面消光系数日变化较相似,基本上呈现夜间高午后低的趋势;灰霾期间MLH峰值滞后于地面温度峰值2h,MLH与PM2.5呈现负相关关系,两者相关系数为-0.57;霾天MLH远低于非灰霾天;霾期间近地面消光系数大部分时刻大于1.0km-1,远大于非霾日0.1~0.25km-1范围的消光系数.