Mercury distribution around the Spolana chlor-alkali plant (central Bohemia, Czech Republic) after a catastrophic flood, as revealed by bioindicators

The current mercury concentrations in moss Hypnum cupressiforme, in forest floor humus and in oak and pine bark were determined in a 10-km radius around a chlor-alkali plant affected by a flood in 2002. Similar distribution patterns of Hg had accumulated in four bio-indicators, irrespective of different Hg concentrations in the analysed biological matrices. No accumulation of extremely Hg-contaminated materials was found in the flooded parts. The bio-indicators, used alone or in combination, can be recommended for effective and reliable determination of Hg contamination levels around Hg sources.     

基于岗位(群)的高职《森林培育技术》课程内容改革探索

林业是生态建设的主力军,是生态保护的重要载体。《森林培育技术》教学内容不能满足社会的需求,跟不上时代发展的需要,迫切需要改革。以就业导向等为原则,采取优化课程内容,突出实用性等措施,对高职生态环境保护专业的骨干课程《森林培育技术》的教学内容、教学方法、考试方法进行改革探索。     

Optimal Policies for Aggregate Recycling from Decommissioned Forest Roads

To mitigate the adverse environmental impact of forest roads, especially degradation of endangered salmonid habitat, many public and private land managers in the western United States are actively decommissioning roads where practical and affordable. Road decommissioning is associated with reduced long-term environmental impact. When decommissioning a road, it may be possible to recover some aggregate (crushed rock) from the road surface. Aggregate is used on many low volume forest roads to reduce wheel stresses transferred to the subgrade, reduce erosion, reduce maintenance costs, and improve driver comfort. Previous studies have demonstrated the potential for aggregate to be recovered and used elsewhere on the road network, at a reduced cost compared to purchasing aggregate from a quarry. This article investigates the potential for aggregate recycling to provide an economic incentive to decommission additional roads by reducing transport distance and aggregate procurement costs for other actively used roads. Decommissioning additional roads may, in turn, result in improved aquatic habitat. We present real-world examples of aggregate recycling and discuss the advantages of doing so. Further, we present mixed integer formulations to determine optimal levels of aggregate recycling under economic and environmental objectives. Tested on an example road network, incorporation of aggregate recycling demonstrates substantial cost-savings relative to a baseline scenario without recycling, increasing the likelihood of road decommissioning and reduced habitat degradation. We find that aggregate recycling can result in up to 24% in cost savings (economic objective) and up to 890% in additional length of roads decommissioned (environmental objective).     

Forest Value Orientations in Australia: An Application of Computer Content Analysis

This article explores the expression of three forest value orientations that emerged from an analysis of Australian news media discourse about the management of Australian native forests from August 1, 1997 through December 31, 2004. Computer-coded content analysis was used to measure and track the relative importance of commodity, ecological and moral/spiritual/aesthetic forest value orientations. The number of expressions of these forest value orientations followed major events in forest management and policy, with peaks corresponding to finalization of Regional Forest Agreements and conflicts over forest management. Over the time period analyzed, the relative share of commodity value orientation decreased and the shares of the ecological and moral/spiritual/aesthetic value orientations increased. The shifts in forest value orientations highlight the need for native forests to be managed for multiple values and the need for continued monitoring of forest values. Research carried out while employed by the Bureau of Rural Sciences, Department of Agriculture, Fisheries, Forestry, Canberra, Australia.     

基于随机森林算法的滁州市空气质量预报研究

利用2017—2019年滁州市6种空气污染物质量浓度和AQI资料、气象要素及ECMWF数值预报作为输入参数,构建基于随机森林算法的污染物质量浓度和AQI预报模型,其中AQI预报按季节划分为4个模型。结果表明：6种污染物中O3的预报效果最好,相关系数为0.84,PM2.5、PM10和NO2相关系数分别为0.76、0.72和0.72,SO2和CO预报效果略差;基于分季节模型AQI的24 h预报结果TS评分为0.77,空报率（FAR）和漏报率（PO）分别为15%和12%,相较于非季节模型预报效果更好;春季和秋季的TS评分分别为0.88和0.86,相较于冬季和夏季预报效果更好。     

森林火灾重灾年(季)灾变原理和机制的研究

根据辩证逻辑和唯物哲学“联系的普遍性和多样性”、“物质运动规律性”及“量变 -质变”原理和13年来对森林火灾与太阳黑子活动异常、海温异常、海陆气压异常、大气环流异常、强地震活动、地球自转速度变化等地球各圈层重大异常变化关系的研究结果和经验积累 ,以及近年来国内外自然灾害研究界共识的“许多自然灾害具有群发性、相关性和连锁性规律”观点 ,研究并提出了一个林区发生大规模森林火灾以至最终形成森林火灾重灾年 (季 )的基本原理———四因素轨迹交叉论理论 ,并同时提出了大规模森林火灾及森林火灾重灾年 (季 )的灾变机制和逻辑过程理论 ,为林火长期管理和科学地预防、控制森林火灾灾害提供了一种全新的理念 ,为森林火灾长期预报和防治决策提供了重要理论和基础     

现代控制理论在河流水质系统状态估计中的应用

本文基于导出的河流水质系统随机状态空间模型，提出了以能够即时测定的ＤＯ浓度实时估计不易测定的ＢＯＤ浓度的塔穆勒滤波方法。通过仿真实例，证明了该滤波方法能在较大范围内适用于河流水质系统的状态估计，用ＤＯ估计ＢＯＤ是可行的。     

帽峰山森林土壤碳氮随雨季月及土壤深度的时空变化特征

采用森林生态系统定位观测及对比试验方法,对广州帽峰山常绿阔叶林和杉木人工林（16年）土壤（0~90 cm）有机碳、无机碳、总氮及有机氮的雨季月（5—10月）含量动态、垂直梯度变化特征及土壤湿度影响进行了对比观测研究。结果表明：常绿阔叶林及杉木林土壤有机碳、无机碳雨季月的剖面权均含量变化趋势均为倒S型,常绿阔叶林土壤有机碳剖面权均质量分数较相应杉木林大0.14%、土壤无机碳则小0.12%。常绿阔叶林土壤表层0~10、10~30 cm有机碳雨季月含量变差较杉木林分别高出1.83%、0.61%,土壤30~90 cm雨季月含量变差相对较小;常绿阔叶林土壤70~90 cm无机碳含量在5—8月份较高、杉木林则以土壤30~50 cm在5、6及10月含量较高;常绿阔叶林群落土壤0~20 cm的总氮雨季月含量均大于相应杉木林,植被吸收作用影响使土壤20 cm以下层的雨季各月总氮相对较低;常绿阔叶林土壤剖面雨季月无机氮含量随土层深度递减变化显著,即表层0~30 cm受矿化作用影响较大、深层30~90 cm则受植被吸收作用影响较大;而杉木林土壤剖面层无机氮含量则随雨季的月变化显著,5—7月份含量相对较小、8—10月份含量相对较大。常绿阔叶林土壤有机碳、总氮含量随土壤深度的增加均呈幂函数规律的递减,而杉木人工林土壤有机碳随土壤深度的增加呈对数函数规律的递减、土壤总氮含量则随土壤深度的增加呈二次函数规律的递减。在0~10 cm处,土壤有机碳和有机氮含量与土壤湿度呈负相关。     

基于随机森林算法的长江三角洲地区PM2.5浓度模拟研究

PM_(2.5)影响人们的生活,危害城市居民的健康,因而在大范围、连续空间上精准预测PM_(2.5)的浓度对于降低居民暴露在大气污染环境中的风险意义重大。基于空气中PM_(2.5)浓度对气象因子、社会经济因子和下垫面条件因子的响应关系,利用皮尔逊相关分析、PCA分析和随机森林模型RF构建了长江三角洲地区浓度的预测模型。研究发现:(1)PM_(2.5)浓度大小分布与夜间灯光指数NLI、国内生产总值GDP、降雨量PRE、温度TEP、相对湿度RH、植被指数EVI以及土地利用覆被LUCC呈显著相关(P0.05),其中NLI和GDP与PM_(2.5)浓度呈正相关,PRE、TEP、RH与PM_(2.5)浓度呈负相关。(2)主成分数量为4时,方差累积贡献率达到86.7%,PRE、RH、GDP、NLI和EVI是影响长三角地区PM_(2.5)浓度空间变化的最重要的5个因子。(3)PCA-RF模型对于PM_(2.5)浓度的预测具有较好的表现且在长三角中西部的城市预测效果好于东南部沿海城市。相对于逐步回归SR模型,PCA-RF模型验证数据集上的均方根误差RMSE降低12.7%,决定系数R2提高12.1%,平均绝对误差MAE降低8.3%。     

Audience segmentation to improve targeting of conservation interventions for hunters

Audience segmentation could help improve the effectiveness of conservation interventions. Marketers use audience segmentation to define the target audience of a campaign. The technique involves subdividing a general population into groups that share similar profiles, such as sociodemographic or behavioral characteristics. Interventions are then designed to target the group or groups of interest. We explored the potential of audience segmentation for use in defining conservation target groups with a case study of hunters in Liberia. Using 2 data sets describing households (n = 476) and hunters (n = 205), we applied a clustering method in which infinite binomial mixture models group hunters and households according to livelihood and behavior variables and a simple method to define target groups based on hunting impact (hunting households and high-impact hunters). Clusters of hunters and households differed in their experiences with confiscation of catch at roadblocks and participation in livelihood-support programs, indicating that these interventions operate unevenly across subsets of the population. By contrast, the simple method masked these insights because profiles of hunting households and high-impact hunters were similar to those of the general population. Clustering results could be used to guide the development of livelihood and regulatory interventions. For example, a commonly promoted agricultural activity, cocoa farming, was practiced by only 2% (out of 87) of the largest hunter cluster of nonlocal gun hunters but was prevalent among local trappers, suggesting that assistance aimed at cocoa farmers is less appropriate for the former group. Our results support the use of audience segmentation across multiple variables to improve targeted intervention designs in conservation.