Inverse uncertainty characteristics of pollution source identification for river chemical spill incidents by stochastic analysis

Identifying source information after river chemical spill occurrences is critical for emergency responses. However, the inverse uncertainty characteristics of this kind of pollution source inversion problem have not yet been clearly elucidated. To fill this gap, stochastic analysis approaches, including a regional sensitivity analysis method, identifiability plot and perturbation methods, were employed to conduct an empirical investigation on generic inverse uncertainty characteristics under a well-accepted uncertainty analysis framework. Case studies based on field tracer experiments and synthetic numerical tracer experiments revealed several new rules. For example, the release load can be most easily inverted, and the source location is responsible for the largest uncertainty among the source parameters. The diffusion and convection processes are more sensitive than the dilution and pollutant attenuation processes to the optimization of objective functions in terms of structural uncertainty. The differences among the different objective functions are smaller for instantaneous release than for continuous release cases. Small monitoring errors affect the inversion results only slightly, which can be ignored in practice. Interestingly, the estimated values of the release location and time negatively deviate from the real values, and the extent is positively correlated with the relative size of the mixing zone to the objective river reach. These new findings improve decision making in emergency responses to sudden water pollution and guide the monitoring network design.

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东太湖水质污染特征研究

2008年8月至2009年7月研究了江苏东太湖网围养殖区、东茭咀、油车港等12个典型湖区的水环境特征,运用主成分分析法研究东太湖水质的空间异质性及主控因素.结果表明,东太湖水质在各区域存在显著差异,季节变化明显,主要表现为丰水期水质优于枯水期. 12个水质指标简化成2个主成分,主成分I代表水体的总磷、溶解性总磷和磷酸盐水平,是东太湖水域最主要的污染因子;主成分II主要反映水体的有机污染状况,叶绿素a和高锰酸盐指数的贡献率较大.利用主成分得分进行聚类分析,将12个采样点分为4类,北部由于受东山镇生活污水影响,各入湖河道口污染较为严重,特别是油车港;网围养殖区由于人工栽植的水草较为茂盛,水质较好,同东茭咀、太浦河口等水域的水质一样.     

5个腰果无性系株形研究初报

比较了5个腰果无性系株形之间的差异,分析了各株形性状之间及其与产量性状之间的相关性。结果表明：5个无性系之间的主干高度、主干直径、2级枝梢长度、3级枝梢直径、4级枝梢长度、4级枝梢直径均存在显著差异,1级枝梢长度、1级枝梢直径、2级枝梢直径以及3级枝梢长度之间的差异均不显著;5个无性系之间的结果枝叶片数量、叶片长度、叶片宽度、株高、结果枝条数、结果数以及株产量均存在显著差异,冠幅之间的差异不显著。5个无性系的2、3、4级枝梢直径以及主杆直径之间的相关性达显著或极显著水平;株高与2、3级枝梢直径以及主杆直径之间具有显著的相关性;1级枝梢长度与1级枝梢直径之间呈显著的负相关关系;叶片长度和宽度之间呈极显著的正相关关系。产量与结果枝条数、结果数以及冠幅之间呈显著或极显著的正相关关系。5个无性系中,HL2-21、FL30分别适宜作抗风固沙、水土保持的生态经济林优良树种。     

区域声环境质量污染水平预测方法评价与对比研究

为完成北京市“十二五”城市区域的主要声污染防治工作目标,全面提高北京市声环境质量水平,科学预测区域内在“十二五”期间噪声污染水平和发展趋势,本文以北京市某典型区域作为研究对象,在收集大量相关资料与实测历史噪声数据的基础上,运用指数平滑法与灰色模型GM（1,1）对所选定研究区域的噪声污染水平与发展趋势进行预测与分析。研究结果表明：运用指数平滑法与灰色模型对研究区域声环境噪声污染预测是可行的,北京市在“十二五”期间声环境质量水平符合《声环境质量标准》（GB3096—2008）中的一类区域标准。     

区域开发建设环境污染防治措施的探讨

区域开发具有较大的不确定性,并且占地面积大、开发的内容广、性质复杂、建设周期长,通常的区域开发都有可能涉及到工业、城建、商业、人居、市政等多个领域的开发活动,所以区域开发必须结合区域开发的特征,准确识别其可能对区域内及其周边的空气环境、地下水质量、地表水水质及水文条件、声环境、土壤、植被、地形地貌等自然环境和人口、交通、经济结构等社会环境等产生的影响,并采取发展循环经济,减少污染生成的源头控制措施;科学规划产业结构,合理布局的预防性措施;源内达标、区域集中控制的污染治理措施;实施清洁生产、总量控制,推进区域环境与经济的持续发展。     

基于主体功能区划的环境政策框架设计

“十一五”时期,国家在区域协调发展上的新亮点就是创新的提出了“主体功能区”概念,主导这一战略决策的实施需要配套各类专项政策。针对环境问题尝试在主体功能区划条件下设计区域差异化的环境政策,整个政策框架遵循区域差异、综合协调、可操控和环境优先四个原则分区域构建,各区环境政策都沿着政策定位、政府作为和重点政策三条思路充分拓展,对于各项环境政策在不同主体功能区实施的力度也进行了详细描述。本政策框架将为深入研究环境政策和启发其他配套政策的研究思路提供一定的参考。     

Optimization of the recovery of plastics for recycling by density media separation cyclones

Material recovery processes are presented as the optimum option for recycling plastic wastes as a means of recovering hydrocarbon resources. There exist a large variety of automated material recovery processes for recycling of such wastes but each with significant limitations. Of these, the separation based on differences in densities is advocated as the optimum process either for producing recycled products or preparing wastes for subsequent recovery processing.Density separation processes based on cyclone type density media separation (DMS) is presented as an important, potential method for increasing plastics recycling process capacities. It is demonstrated to have the capacity to separate a significantly larger range of particle sizes than those presently processed industrially. The mathematical relationship for the prediction of quality of typical LARCODEMS type density media separations by particle size and density as expressed by the Ecart Probable is presented.A proposed device configuration is presented for density media separation to optimize the recovery and purity of both density fractions produced. It is also suggested that to be economically viable, a large scale of operation is required for industrial plastics recycling operations recovering and producing a number of different plastics with a purity to be used as a substitute for virgin material.     

开车前安全审核（PSSR）的理解及运用

PSSR是基于对安全要求不断提高,对过程安全控制不断完善的目标下发展和建立起来的,其目的在于判定新改扩建项目及停运再投运的设备能否安全启动,是国外大多数高危行业过程管理中的一个必须的要素。本文通过对独石化公司1000万吨/年炼油及120万吨/年乙烯改扩建工程项目成功实施开车前安全审核（PSSR）进行总结,阐明了与以往开工前竣工验收的区别,运用中应注意的问题,以及成功实施PSSR的因素。为今后的其它新改扩建项目的顺利开工提供参考。     

环渤海地区海洋经济发展及地域空间差异分析

环渤海地区海洋资源丰富,地区经济的发展壮大在很大程度上依赖于对海洋资源的开发利用.概述了环渤海地区海洋经济的发展现状,应用区域空间差异的定量分析方法与模型(标准方差、加权变差系数、集中化指数、最小方差法等)分析了环渤海四海市主要海洋产业的空间集聚与扩散程度,总结出它们发展海洋经济的民同,提出了促进环渤海地区海洋经济发展的建议.     

17份腰果种质萌生特征比较

对17份腰果种质进行截干处理,测定截干后萌生新梢的总数、长度、直径和叶片数,分析不同腰果种质萌生能力之间的差异,同时对植株大小与萌生能力之间的相关性以及新梢各性状之间的相关性进行分析。试验结果表明：不同腰果种质的萌生能力有差异,在新梢总数、长度、直径和叶片数上均存在不同程度的差异;植株的萌生能力与截干前冠幅以及被截一级枝条直径大小有关,新梢长度、直径、叶片数、新梢总数与截干前植株冠幅和被截一级枝条直径之间均呈极显著的正相关关系;新梢总数、长度、直径、叶片数等性状中,除新梢总数与新梢叶片数之间的相关性不显著外,其余各性状彼此间的相关性均达极显著水平。