生物质环保能源产业链发展探讨

简述了生物质概念及生物质利用技术的概况,介绍了生物质(竹、木剩余物)气、炭、液、油四联产生物质能源利用产业链的发展思路,对生物质利用的市场应用及发展进行了分析预测。     

基于GFI模型的工业能源强度变动因素分解研究

在前人研究的基础上,核算了2001-2010年天津市34个工业行业的能源强度,利用GFI(Generalized Fisher Index)模型将能源强度的变动分解为技术进步、能源结构和产业结构3个因素.结果表明,从逐年各因素效应的累积值来看,产业结构对天津市能源强度变动的影响最大,其次是能源结构,技术进步的影响较小;在各因素效应值的波动方面,能源结构与技术进步对能源强度变动的影响波动较小,产业结构的影响效应值波动较大.从产业结构的角度来看,天津市2001-2010年重工业产值的增加快于轻工业,二者的差距逐渐加大,这种态势抑制了能源强度的降低;从技术进步的角度来看,由于绿色生产技术的广泛使用,天津市重工业与轻工业的单位产值能源消耗都呈下降趋势.因此,天津市进一步降低能源强度的重点还应该放在产业结构调整方面,发展绿色产业,促进产业升级;同时,不能忽视能源结构和技术进步因素的作用,大力发展绿色能源和新能源,推广清洁生产技术.     

Golden Eagle fatalities and the continental‐scale consequences of local wind‐energy generation

Renewable energy production is expanding rapidly despite mostly unknown environmental effects on wildlife and habitats. We used genetic and stable isotope data collected from Golden Eagles (Aquila chrysaetos) killed at the Altamont Pass Wind Resource Area (APWRA) in California in demographic models to test hypotheses about the geographic extent and demographic consequences of fatalities caused by renewable energy facilities. Geospatial analyses of δ²H values obtained from feathers showed that ≥25% of these APWRA‐killed eagles were recent immigrants to the population, most from long distances away (>100 km). Data from nuclear genes indicated this subset of immigrant eagles was genetically similar to birds identified as locals from the δ²H data. Demographic models implied that in the face of this mortality, the apparent stability of the local Golden Eagle population was maintained by continental‐scale immigration. These analyses demonstrate that ecosystem management decisions concerning the effects of local‐scale renewable energy can have continental‐scale consequences.     

Process analysis of an industrial waste-to-energy plant: Theory and experiments

Thermal conversion is fundamental in an integrated waste management system due to the capability of reducing mass and volume of waste and recovering energy content from unrecyclable materials. Indeed, power generation from industrial solid wastes (ISW) is a topic of great interest for its appeal in the field of renewable energy production as well as for an increasing public concern related to its emissions. This paper is based on the process engineering and optimization analysis, commissioned to the University Campus-Biomedico of Rome by the MIDA Tecnologie Ambientali S.r.l. enterprise, ended up in the construction of an ISW thermo-conversion plant in Crotone (Southern Italy), where it is nowadays operating. The scientific approach to the process analysis is founded on a novel cascade numerical simulation of each plant section and it has been used initially in the process design step and after to simulate the performances of the industrial plant. In this paper, the plant process scheme is described together with the values of main operating parameters monitored during the experimental test runs. The thermodynamic and kinetic basics of the mathematical model for the simulation of the energy recovery and flue gas treatment sections are presented. Moreover, the simulation results, together with the implemented parameters, are given and compared to the experimental data for 10 specific plant test runs. It was found that the model is capable to predict the process performances in the energy production as well as in the gas treatment sections with high accuracy by knowing a set of measurable input variables. In the paper fundamental plant variables have been considered such as steam temperature, steam flow rate, power generated as well as temperature, flow rate and composition of the resulting flue gas; therefore, the mathematical model can be simply implemented as a reliable and efficient tool for management optimization of this kind of plants.     

Are policy incentives for solar power effective? Evidence from residential installations in the Northeast

State incentives for solar power have grown significantly in the past several years. This paper examines the effectiveness of policy incentives to increase residential solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity. We use county-level panel data and control for demographic characteristics, solar resources, and pro-environmental preferences. Results show that among financial incentives, rebates have the most impact with an additional $1 per watt rebate increasing annual PV capacity additions by close to 50%. Factors that affect financial returns to solar PV such as electricity price and solar insolation are also found to be significant. Results also point to a significant positive relationship between hybrid vehicle sales and residential PV capacity growth, indicating the importance of pro-environmental preferences as a predictor of solar PV demand. Back of the envelope calculations suggest that the cost of carbon mitigation through rebates is around $184 per ton of CO₂.     

多情景视角下中国能源消费和碳达峰路径

准确预测能源消费及碳排放量对于科学有序落实我国"2030年前碳达峰,2060年前碳中和"目标有重要现实意义.提出了一种融合位置扰动和模拟退火的改进粒子群算法（IPSO）优化基于两层"分解-集成"策略的预测方法：首先利用趋势分解（TD）将原始能源消费时序分解成趋势项和非趋势项,继而使用经验模态分解（EMD）将非趋势项分解成若干本征模态函数（IMFs）和一个残差项,然后对上述趋势项、IMFs和残差项分别建模预测,利用IPSO优化多元线性回归模型（MLR）预测趋势项,采用长短期记忆神经网络（LSTM）预测非趋势项的本征模态函数IMFs和残差子序列,最后通过相加集成求取最终能源消费预测值.实证分析表明,基于TD-EMD两层"分解-集成"策略的IPSO-MLR-LSTM模型融合了TD、EMD、IPSO和LSTM的优点,更全面地捕捉了趋势项和非趋势项演化规律,提升了预测性能,将其应用于能源消费领域是可行且有效的.最后,预测了在不同能源消费结构、经济增长、人口数量、能源效率和人均生活能源消费水平情景下的我国2021~2035年能源消费和碳排放量,并给出相关政策建议.     

热能（火用）平衡在芳烃分离装置清洁生产审核中的实践

运用热能（火用）平衡理论于芳烃分离装置清洁生产审核中,建立了芳烃分离装置热能（火用）平衡。热能（火用）平衡测算结果表明：此芳烃分离装置的热能利用效率（实际）为61．65％、热（火用）利用效率（实际）为59．77％、热力学第一定律效率和热力学第二定律效率分别为23．93％和7．76％。依据清洁生产审核思路,对此芳烃分离装置的热能（火用）利用效率进行了原因分析并提出了预防对策,可为提出清洁生产方案提供定量化依据。     

温度对干化污泥水蒸气气化产气特性的影响

采用固定床气化装置,在水蒸气流量为0.32 kg/h条件下进行了污泥水蒸气气化实验。研究了温度对污泥气化气体产率、氢气产率、气体成分与低位热值、气体能源转化率的影响。结果表明:随着反应温度从700℃上升到1 000℃;气体产率从0.39 m3/kg升至0.61 m3/kg;氢气产率从0.18 m3/kg升至0.34 m3/kg;气体能源转化率从54%升至88%;产气的低位热值从10 688.1 kJ/m3提高至11 168.9 kJ/m3。同时产气中H2和CO含量随着温度的升高而增加,CH4、CO2和CnHm含量随温度的升高而减少。因此,为了获得更多的可燃气体,建议在污泥水蒸气气化工艺中,气化温度必须大于800℃。     

秸秆替代煤高炉喷吹的能源消耗及环境影响比较

以秸秆替代部分煤进行高炉喷吹,对收集、运输、破碎和喷吹等过程进行了能源消耗和环境影响的差异性比较。考虑到碱负、荷对高炉顺行的影响,秸秆在煤中的混入比最大应在10%左右。秸秆喷吹的能耗较高,与煤相比,原煤消耗量增加了1倍以上,原油消耗量增加了4倍左右。从秸秆的收集到破碎,污染物排放量都比煤高,尤其在破碎过程,各种污染物的排放量是煤的7倍左右。在高炉喷吹利用过程中,秸秆与煤的CO_2、CO和高炉渣的排放量相差不大。由于秸秆生物质的碳循环特点,冶炼1 t铁水可减少CO_2排放量23kg。根据我国排污费标准和国际CO_2排放指标交易市场价,用秸秆替代煤喷吹,生产1t铁水可降低环境成本2.23元。对于一座2 500 m³高炉,每年可减排CO_2 5.63万t,总环境成本可以降低550万元。     

采用移动电极法提高机械脱水污泥电动脱水能效的试验研究

采用一种能移动阳极的电动脱水模型试验装置,对机械脱水污泥开展了固定间距电极和移动电极的电动脱水试验,比较分析了这2种方法的脱水效果及对应的能耗.试验结果表明:固定间距电极法脱水处理过程中,阳极附近已脱水污泥的阻抗增加,消耗的电压和电能上升;而后面未脱水污泥分得的电压下降,导致其脱水效果从阳极至阴极衰减.移动电极法通过移动阳极逐步越过已脱水污泥部分,将电压作用在未脱水的污泥,避免了电能消耗在高阻抗的脱水污泥,显著提高了能效,脱水过程中电渗流量稳定,脱水效果均匀.采用移动电极法进行脱水处理时能耗随加载电压梯度的增加而上升,随试样长度的缩短而降低.当采用8 V·cm-1电压梯度的移动电极处理5 cm长度的污泥时,污泥含水率可由初始的82.1％降至62.2％,所需要的能耗约为89.8 kW·h·m-3.