用灰色系统理论GM(1,1)建立大气降水中酸雨pH值的预测模型

本文用灰色系统理论GM(1,1)建立了大气降水中pH值的预测模型。经三种不同方法检验。对我市1990—1993年大气降水中酸雨pH值进行了预测,结果令人满意。     

Applications of fuzzy faulty tree analysis and expert elicitation for evaluation of risks in LPG refuelling station

A method is presented for analysis of reliability of complex engineering systems using information from fault tree analysis and uncertainty/imprecision of data. Fuzzy logic is a mathematical tool to model inaccuracy and uncertainty of the real world and human thinking. The method can address subjective, qualitative, and quantitative uncertainties involving risk analysis. Risk analysis with all the inherent uncertainties is a prime candidate for Fuzzy Logic application. Fuzzy logic combined with expert elicitation is employed in order to deal with vagueness of the data, to effectively generate basic event failure probabilities without reliance on quantitative historical failure data through qualitative data processing.The proposed model is able to quantify the fault tree of LPG refuelling facility in the absence or existence of data. This paper also illustrates the use of importance measures in sensitivity analysis. The result demonstrates that the approach is an apposite for the probabilistic reliability approach when quantitative historical failure data are unavailable. The research results can help professionals to decide whether and where to take preventive or corrective actions and help informed decision-making in the risk management process.     

生态农业的内涵及其可持续发展探讨

以可持续怅的理论为评价标准，从生态农业的内涵来分析其可持续发展的特征。认为生态农业的可持续发展的前景是良好的，中国的生态农业建设举世瞩目，正在从生态村一级水平向生态乡镇和县市一级水平发展，在时空规模上更体现了其可持续发展的深度和广度。     

旋转拉伸弯管法

弯管工艺是指将平直的管子按选定的半径和弯曲角度弯曲成形。管子冷弯的方法有好几种,此文讲述的是旋转拉伸弯管法。文章主要介绍旋转拉伸弯管法的原理,所用的基本工具及其功能,弯管的操作步骤等等。对如何生产合格的冷弯管子有一定的参考作用。     

试论生态系统管理和森林效益

本文回顾了生态系统管理的进程,简述了生态系统管理的内容,提出了生态系统管理的目标,论述了森林生态系统管理的效益。森林是一种再生资源,它既具有社会环境效益,又具有经济价值;而且前者往往超过后者。     

可持续发展论析

阐述了可持续发展的基本理论，基本思想和评价标准，提出了实现可持续发展的着急于科技进步。     

邓小平理论课教学中对人格教育的思考

本文提出邓小平人格教育在邓小平理论课教学中的重要性。主要从邓小平同志对待人生态度的修身进取精神,对革命建设实践中的探索创新精神,道德情操的无私无畏精神三方面进行论述,以此提高邓小平理论课的教学效果。     

基于扎根理论的琼北火山地区传统村落新业态发展探讨——以海口市美孝村为例

农村新业态发展是激发农村经济活力和推进乡村振兴的重要举措。海南省琼北火山地区传统村落历史悠久、分布面广、资源丰富、形态特异,然而传统古村落发展较为缓慢,产业单一、业态发育不足,农民增收困难。在乡村振兴、国际旅游岛建设及海南自贸试验区建设等战略实施的宏观背景下,琼北火山传统村落迎来农业深度发展和产业融合发展的新机遇。本文以海口永兴镇美孝村为例,运用扎根理论质性研究方法,通过半结构化访谈,广泛采集村民的新业态发展意愿和建议,构建了美孝村新业态发展框架模型,因地制宜提出尊重农户意愿的新业态发展类型,以期为美孝村经济社会转型和琼北火山地区传统村落的新业态发展提供实践参考。     

Implementing Sustainable Development Strategies

Abstract

China's national sustainable development strategies were drafted under the guidance of Deng Xiaoplng's theory on socialist construction with Chinese distinguishing features and, the theory and practice of sustainable development has further enriched and perfected Deng Xiaoping's theory. An in-depth study of Deng Xiaoplng's theory is significant if we are to accurately understand our sustainable development program and how to best implement the strategies.     

Unified correlations for vent sizing of enclosures at atmospheric and elevated pressures

Innovative vent sizing technology is presented for explosion safety design of equipment at atmospheric and elevated initial pressures. Unified correlations for vent sizing are suggested. They are modifications of previously reported correlations verified thoroughly for experimental data on vented gaseous deflagrations under different conditions but only at initial atmospheric pressure. Suggested correlations are based on experimental data on vented deflagrations of quiescent and turbulent propane–air mixtures at initial pressures up to 0.7 MPa. Typical values of turbulence factor and deflagration–outflow interaction number are obtained for experimental vented deflagrations at initial pressures higher than atmospheric.

“Blind” examination of new vent sizing technology on another set of experiments with methane–air and propane–air mixtures has shown that predictions by suggested vent sizing technology are better than by the NFPA 68 guide for “Venting of Deflagrations”.

In the development of recently reported results for initial atmospheric pressure it has been concluded that the innovative vent sizing technology is more reliable compared to the NFPA 68 guide at elevated initial pressures as well. Moreover it is crucial that the calculation procedure remains the same for arbitrary deflagration conditions.