Modelling spatial and temporal variability in a zero-inflated variable: The case of stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) cone production

Modelling masting habit, i.e. the spatial synchronized annual variability in fruit production, is a huge task due to two main circumstances: (1) the identification of main ecological factors controlling fruiting processes, and (2) the common departure of fruit data series from the main basic statistical assumptions of normality and independence. Stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) is one of the main species in the Mediterranean basin that is able to grow under hard limiting conditions (sandy soils and extreme continental climate), and typically defined as a masting species. Considering the high economical value associated with edible nut production, the masting habit of stone pine has been a main concern for the forest management of the species. In the present work we have used annual fruit data series from 740 stone pine trees measured during a 13 years period (1996-2008) in order: (a) to verify our main hypothesis pointing out to the existence of a weather control of the fruiting process in limiting environments, rather than resource depletion or endogenous inherent cycles; (b) to identify those site factors, stand attributes and climate events affecting specific traits involved in fruiting process; and (c) to construct a model for predicting spatial and temporal patterns of variability in stone pine cone production at different spatial extents as region, stand and tree. Given the nature of the data, the model has been formulated as zero-inflated log-normal, incorporating random components to carry out with the observed lack of independence. This model attains efficiencies close to 70-80% in predicting temporal and spatial variability at regional scale. Though efficiencies are reduced according to the spatial extent of the model, it leads to unbiased estimates and efficiencies over 35-50% when predicting annual yields at tree or stand scale, respectively. In this sense, the proposed model is a main tool for facilitating decision making in some management aspects such as the quantification of total amount of cones annually supplied to nut industry, design of cone harvest programs or the optimal application of seedling felling.     

平原圩区治涝与内湖综合利用问题

本文对长江中下游平原圩区洪涝灾害进行了分析，指出内湖在治涝中有重要作用。文中总结了我国10多年来内湖综合利用的经验，强调内湖综合治理必须以治涝为主，以充分有效地发挥圩区内湖的经济效益、社会效益和环境效益。     

国内外辛醇生产中废水处理方法探讨

探讨了国内外辛醇生产中废水处理方法，对于较先进的酸化萃取法和厌氧曝气吸附法作了细致的介绍，并对各种处理方法进行对比分析，为我国辛醇生产废水处理提供有价值的技术信息。     

FORUM: The Converging Dynamics of Interest Representation in Resources Management

/ The role of the public in resource management has undergone aprofound transformation over the past two decades. Public input has evolvedfrom the enthusiasm for the widespread emergence public participation in theearly 1970s, through the realization of the relative effectiveness and costsof lobbying activities in the 1980s, to the emergence of environmentaldispute resolution (EDR) as a promising new alternative for the 1990s.Throughout this changing dynamic, there has been little attention tofundamental conception. This paper addresses this lack of conceptualization.A model of convergence is proposed to explain this transformation and as thebasis for an improved understanding of effective interest representationstrategies. The defining characteristics of lobbying, public participation,and environmental dispute resolution in resources management are outlinedrelative to the publics they involve, interest activity, organization,influence on policy, participatory features, and empowerment. Knowledge ofthese aspects will further aid in the identification and implementation ofeffective strategies to interest representation on a context-specific basis.KEY WORDS: Interest representation; Public participation; Disputeresolution; Lobbying; Resource management     

A COMPREHENSIVE STUDIES ON THE BORDER OF THE EASTERN PARTS OF AREOGRAPHY OF MICHELIA YUNNANENSIS

This paper studies the morphological taxonomy, origination,ecological environment, floristic geography, community, regeneration,biomass.seed character,breeding and their biomass.and the relationship of the relative growth in the yearing seedling of Michelia yunnunensis, especially in the border of the eastern parts of the areography of Michelia vannanensis.     

中国舰船消防现状及发展趋势

本文从体制、装备、消防教育等方面简略介绍了中国舰船消防体系，对目前舰船火灾及消防形势进行了分析，提出了舰船消防面临的任务和主要课题，并对中国舰船火灾及其防治前景进行了探讨．     

中国地理资源期刊集群微信融平台经营的实践与经验

随着官媒时代的终结,以微信公众号为代表的新媒体的盛行,强烈地冲击着传统纸媒。微信公众号能够增加期刊与读者群之间的“粘性”,从而扩大期刊的学术影响力和社会知名度。在中国地理资源期刊网微信公众号的运行实践基础上,系统总结期刊微信融平台经营的实践与经验,并以《地理研究》等数据为例,阐述微信推送对期刊产生的综合作用,以期为科研微信融平台的运行提供指导和借鉴意义。研究结果表明：（1）科研微信融平台上生产好微推需遵守十四条原则、十一条创意要求;（2）坚持不懈地在微信公众号上发送消息,可以增加编辑与读者之间的交流、拓展读者范围、增加文章的下载量和被引量,从而树立学术期刊的品牌形象,提升期刊的学术影响力;（3）集群化的科研微信融平台的运行,一定要注意共同维护平台形象、谁制作谁负责、合理安排发文量和发文时间、个刊微平台实现互补等。持续地创意和推出微推,需要长期坚持,把期刊编辑和学术研究、移动互联时代、全媒体手段等积极“融”起来,实现期刊由传统纸质出版向富媒体出版、期刊由文献生产者向学科与社会集成型知识服务提供平台的两大根本性转型,才是期刊的根本出路。     

Silver recovery as Ag0 nanoparticles from ion-exchange regenerant solution using electrolysis

Many silver(Ag)containing consumer-products(e.g.textiles)release Ag into the environment,posing ecotoxicological risks.Ag recovery mitigates environmental hazards,recycles Ag,and leads to sustainability.In the present work,Ag has been recovered as Ag~0nanoparticles from the spent solution(thiourea(TU)～0.5 mol/L pH～1.1–1.2,and Ag～550 mg/L)obtained from the regeneration of an Ag-loaded resin using a simple undivided electrolytic cell.The reclaimed regenerant solution has been recycled and reused in a closed-loop scheme over multiple cycles.The process parameters,i.e.,current(0.05 A)and stirring speed(600 r/min),have been optimized for Ag recovery of～94%and TU loss of～2%.The reclaimed regenerant solution has been shown to regenerate Ag-loaded resin samples with90%regeneration efficiency over 4 cycles of consecutive extraction and regeneration.The recovered Ag~0nanoparticles are monodisperse,consistently spherical in shape,and have a mean diameter of～6 nm with standard deviation of the Gaussian fit as～2.66 nm.     

我国气象灾害综合区划

对于区域气象灾害的研究,以往多侧重单一灾种或气象灾害系统中某一子系统的研究,缺乏对区域多灾种气象灾害综合分析。本文采取“中国主要气象灾害分析”的十种气象灾害资料,首先通过春、夏、秋、冬各季主导气象灾害的频率分布,构成各季节气象灾害地域组合类型,再依据综合区划原则,制定出各季综合灾害区:春季划分成6个综合灾害区,夏季划分成5个综合灾害区,秋季划分成4个综合灾害区,冬季划分成3个综合灾害区。     

云南省农业自然灾害区划指标之探讨

自然灾害区划是防灾减灾和灾害科学研究的重要内容，而正确地选取区划指标是进行区划工作的关键环节。本文作为《云南省农业自然灾害区划研究》课题的一部分，在探讨各单项灾害（干旱、洪涝、低温霜冻、风雹、水土流失）区划指标的基础上，提出了综合农业自然灾害区划的基本指标－即“综合农业自然灾害指数”，并对指标进行了分级，为区划工作提供了依据。