Sustained dynamic transience in a Lotka-Volterra competition model system for grassland species

Theoretical approaches, such as the Lotka-Volterra framework, enable predictions about long term species coexistence based on stability criteria, but generally assume temporal constancy of system equations and parameters. In real world systems, temporal variability may interfere with the attainment of stable states. Managed grassland ecosystems in Northwestern Europe experience structural periodic fluctuations in environmental conditions: the seasons. In addition, periodic disturbances such as cutting are very common. Here we show, using a Lotka-Volterra system applied to grassland species with empirically derived parameters, that seasonal variability can result in a time dependent equilibrium and redirection of displacement processes.Parameter estimates differed between species and - in most cases - between the seasons. As a result, five of the fifteen tested species combinations had different outcomes of species interactions between seasons. This indicates that systems remain in dynamic transience over the year as the equilibrium changes and the species composition of the system follows the equilibrium without ever attaining it. The non-attainment of the steady state enables coexistence of species even if there is competitive exclusion in one of the seasons. For three of the fifteen species combinations, cutting frequency affected the long-term coexistence patterns. Cutting resets the biomass of competing species and favours during regrowth those species that have a high growth rate, which can alter species coexistence in comparison to a Lotka-Volterra model without cutting. The Lotka-Volterra framework with seasonally changing empirical parameters predicts coexistence as a possible outcome of systems that in component seasons are characterised by exclusion, and vice versa.     

Regional differences in behaviour in bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus): dyadic encounters

North Scandinavian bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus) differ from south Scandinavian conspecifics both in population dynamics and in activity, social behaviour, density-related sensitivity in sexual maturation and in reproduction. Some ecologists think that cyclically fluctuating rodents are particularly aggressive, at least in certain cycle phases. This hypothesis was tested in dyadic encounters between animals from southern and northern Sweden, respectively. Univariate analyses showed significant differences between regions in four separate behavioural traits, but not in behaviour related to aggression. Laboratory breeding for several generations did not affect the level of aggressivity. Multivariate analyses revealed two main components of activity and sociability, both with regional variation. Activity components (also including “freezing” behaviour) were chiefly related to age while sociability showed mainly regional variation. Differences observed may be due to the geographic location or earlier cyclicity, as the cyclic pattern was weak at the time when the test animals were sampled. An adaptation to high-density situations appears likely as the sympatric field vole (Microtus agrestis) shows similar regional differences although it lives in a different habitat. Cyclic animals appear to disperse at increasing densities while non-cyclic animals show clumped distributions. Received: 19 February 1996/Accepted after revision: 17 August 1996     

商丘市包河沉积物中正构烷烃的分析

采集了商丘市包河6个位点的表层沉积物,用色谱-质谱对正构烷烃进行了分析,利用正构烷烃碳数分布特征和CPI指标等,对该市区的正构烷烃来源进行初步探讨。结果表明,正构烷烃碳数分布范围多数在nC13-nC31之间,分布类型只有一种,即高分子碳范围,碳优势指数为nC29,1相似文献   

我国南北方城市空气环境质量对比分析

依据国家环境监测部门公布的空气环境质量日报,对27个省会城市、4个直辖市城市的2004年-2006年空气质量数据进行分析。结果显示：我国城市空气污染指数（API）时空差异明显,冬、春季节API值高于夏季和秋季,北方城市的API均值高于南方城市;PM10是大气环境的主要污染物,作为首要污染物出现所占比例南、北方城市分别是66．64％和83．97％;SO2为首要污染物所占比例南、北方城市分别是7．28％和6．19％;北方城市平均Ⅰ级和Ⅱ级天数所占百分比之和为77．00％,重污染级天数所占比例达到1．02％;南方城市平均Ⅰ级和Ⅱ级天数所占百分比之和为87．24％,重污染天数所占百分比是0．04％;城市空气质量优、良天数呈增加趋势。     

城市浅水湖泊沉积物磷形态分布及其与间隙水磷的关系

研究了典型城市浅水湖泊莫愁湖沉积物中磷形态及间隙水中TDP、PO43--P含量的垂向分布情况,沉积物中IP是TP的主要组成部分,与湖泊富营养化密切相关的Fe-P占IP的30%左右,Or-P占TP的30%左右。柱状沉积物中磷形态的垂向分布规律比较复杂,但基本上随深度先增后减的趋势。沉积物中TPI、P、Or-P、Ca-P、Fe-P、DP之间都具有极显著的正相关关系,但与Al-P、Oc-P的相关关系不明显,间隙水中TDP、PO43-P浓度与沉积物中Or-P含量具有显著的正相关关系,但相关程度并不高,与其他形态则没有明显的相关关系。     

CFB锅炉多点排放二氧化硫污染预测

循环流化床锅炉（CFB）多点排放时,直接测量分析对环境的影响较为困难。为了确定其中SO2对环境的影响,通过对鼢在CFB锅炉生产过程中的生成、转化和大气中的扩散分析,建立了多点排放的SO2污染预测正态分布模型。模型结果表明,多点排放时大气SO2的浓度分布仍满足正态分布特征,并较好地反映了最大落地浓度及位置,这对于依据区域大气SO2总量控制,确保和提高设备与工艺系统的清洁生产能力提供了可行依据。     

Assessment of temporal stability in risk factors of crashes at horizontal curves on rural two-lane undivided highways

Introduction: Safety of horizontal curves on rural two-lane, two-way undivided roadways is not fully explored. This study investigates factors that impact injury severity of such crashes. Method: To achieve the aim of this paper, issues associated with police-reported crash data such as unobserved heterogeneity and temporal stability need to be accounted for. Hence, a mixed logit model was estimated, while heterogeneity in means and variances is investigated by considering four injury severity outcomes for drivers: severe injury, moderate injury, possible injury, and no injury. Crash data for the period between 2011 and 2016 for crashes that occurred in the state of Oregon was analyzed. Temporal stability in factors determining the injury severity was investigated by identifying three time periods through splitting crash data into 2011–2012, 2013–2014, and 2015–2016. Results: Despite some factors affecting injuries in all specified time periods, the values of the marginal effects showed relative differences. The estimation results revealed that some factors increased the risk of being involved in severe injury crashes, including head-on collisions, drunk drivers, failure to negotiate curves, older drivers, and exceeding the speed limits. Conclusions: The hypothesis that attributes of injury severity are temporally stable is rejected. For example, young drivers (30 years old and younger) and middle-aged drivers were found to be temporally instable over time. Practical applications: The findings could help transportation authorities and safety professionals to enhance the safety of horizontal curves through appropriate and effective countermeasures.     

Severity of emergency natural gas distribution pipeline incidents: Application of an integrated spatio-temporal approach fused with text mining

The transportation of natural gas often relies on pipelines which require constant monitoring and regular maintenance to prevent spills or leaks. Pipeline incidents could pose a huge adverse impact on people, the environment, and society. Numerous efforts have been invested to identify contributing factors to pipeline incidents so that countermeasures could be developed to proactively prevent some incidents and reduce incident severities or impacts. However, the countermeasures may need to vary for different incidents due to the potential heterogeneity between incidents, and such heterogeneity is likely related to the geology, weather, and built environment which vary across space and time domain. The objective of this study is to revisit the correlates of pipeline incidents, focusing on the spatial and temporal patterns of the correlations between natural gas pipeline incident severity and contributing factors. This study leveraged an integrated spatio-temporal modeling approach, namely the Geographically and Temporally Weighted Ordered Logistic Regression (GTWOLR) to model the natural gas pipeline incident report data (2010–2019) from the U.S. Pipeline and Hazardous Material Safety Administration. Text mining was performed to extract additional information from the narratives in reports. Results show several factors have significant spatiotemporally varying correlations with the pipeline incident severity, and these factors include excavation damage, gas explosion, iron pipes, longer incident response time, and longer pipe lifetime. Findings from this study are valuable for pipeline operators, end-users, responders to jointly develop localized strategies to maintain the natural gas distribution system. More implications are discussed in the paper.     

南京城市夜间景观照明的城市生态学分析

选取了南京市4个典型的功能区,根据实地观测与文献资料分析及问卷调查相结合的方法,分析了各个区域景观照明的亮度、美观程度、存在的不利影响和突出问题等.并计算出南京市民对4个区域景观照明的亮度满意度、美观满意度和综合满意度得分,结合区域的功能和特点对其各项得分进行解析.最后针对实地踏看和数据分析所发现的区域景观照明在能源分...     

辽河盘锦段与河口海域水体氮素分布特征及其与溶解氧的关系

选取辽河盘锦段至河口近岸海域区域进行研究水体中氨氮、硝酸盐氮和亚硝酸盐氮的分布特征及其与溶解氧的关系进行研究。结果表明水中氮素含量高于海水,且氨氮表现尤为突出,可能与水体中溶解氧含量和微生物环境、海水的稀释和迁移有很大关系;河水中氮素与溶解氧的呈显著负相关,而海水中氮素与溶解氧的关系不明显。这可能与海水的质化作用有关。