防灾减灾系统工程的国际对比分析及建议

针对我国现存的灾害状况,本文通过国际对比的方法,对其他国家已有的减灾系统工程作了简单介绍,并结合我国实际,对未来建立减灾系统工程中应着重加强的薄弱环节作了分析,提出了加强立法工作,增加减灾投入,建立全国统一的减灾通讯系统的建议。     

水泥厂生料库底除尘系统的改造

分析了原设计中存在的问题,提出了改造措施和方案,并介绍了改造后的结果。     

上海市防灾救灾系统管理存在的问题及对策

对上海当前防灾救灾系统管理中存在的问题进行了分析，并且提出了相应的对策，对上海及其它城市的防灾救灾系统管理体系的改进与完善有一定的借鉴作用。     

洪水的等级划分及其减灾意义

根据地震,风力等级的数学结构,提出一种洪水等级划分公式;对用等级表示洪水大小的减灾意义作了初步分析。     

浙江省灾害预防与经济协调发展的系统动态学模型

本文运用系统工程原理和系统动态学方法,构造了浙江省灾害预防与社会经济协调发展的系统动态学模型,并运用该模型对浙江省进行了初步的仿真研究,以寻求适宜的防灾政策。     

地理信息与减灾工作

对自然灾害的深入认识是进行减灾工作的思想基础，这种认识必须依靠专题地理信息的分析结果。灾害往往伴随在人类与自然系统的交互作用中。利用ＧＩＳ能帮助人们更好地实现对环境数据的分析与综合能力，并提供制定减灾工作所需的决策依据。     

DEVELOPMENT OF A NONDEGRAIATION POLICY FOR HIGH QUALITY WATERS1

ABSTRACT: The development of a nondegradation policy for high quality waters is a complex and often controversial process. This paper discusses the development of a nondegradation policy for two components of the National Wild and Scenic Rivers System. Water quality in these reaches of the Delaware River is threatened by rapid growth and development and the cumulative impacts from numerous wastewater discharges and nonpoint sources of pollution. The Delaware River Basin Commission, with assistance from its member states and the National Park Service, conducted a highly public, six-year planning process to develop a nondegradation policy that protected existing water quality without impinging upon local and state economic development objectives. The resulting non-degradation policy includes such features as numeric definitions of existing water quality and measurable change; stringent point source requirements; nonpoint source requirements including watershed planning requirements; and other water quality management policies.     

Lessons in logistics from Somalia

By February 1981 the refugee relief operation in Somalia was close to breakdown. The Governor of Somalia and the United Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) contracted the agency CARE to manage the logistics of the operation. By August 1981 over 99 % of food received at Mogadishu was reaching the camps. Here we describe this apparent success, and attempt to diagnose the contributing factors. Chief among these are dynamic leadership, 'systems' management, adaptability of personnel, the use of professional Indian food monitors in the camps, and the support given by the Government. The chief qualification on the success of the operation has been the continued dependency on expatriate expertise.
General conclusions are offered relating to the management of logistics in relief operations. The most important conclusion is that there is a prime need for logistics to be centralized in a single organization at the start of major emergencies. We point to the current inadequacy in an international relief system which fails to ensure this, and suggest that a new or existing part of the United Nations family be given a 'brief for in-country logistics' to become a UN Emergency Logistics Office.     

区县级环境地理信息系统的建立与应用

本文结合某区县级环境地理信息系统（Environmental Geographical Information System简称EGIS）开发的实际体会，对地理信息系统（GIS）技术在区县级环境地理信息系统建设中的应用进行了有益的探讨，对系统及系统的结构进行了分析，并阐述了建立区县级环境地理信息系统的意义、应用实例以及前景。     

网络路由信息安全应用研究——基于流量预测的路由选择新算法

根据灰色系统的预测理论 ,笔者提出了一种关于网络数据流量变化发展的预测方法 ,并为其建立了基于网络流量变化趋势的预测模型。依据该模型对网络中各结点未来流量的预测结果 ,可用实时动态来确定最佳的路由选择策略 ,从而在根本上解决网络拥塞现象的发生 ,大大地提高了网络数据通信时的安全可靠性。