浅埋型矿井涌水量预测预报的灰色模型

矿井涌水量预测 ,对矿井安全及正常生产都至关重要。矿井涌水量预测采用的常规方法对各含水层的水文地质参数依赖性较大 ,而对各因素之间的影响程度难以区分和把握 ,因此 ,在预测预报中的精度较差 ;而采用灰色理论则具有高度的概括性 ,可以把各种不确定因素 ,统统用一个简单的“灰数”来表示 ,并且预测精度高而简单实用。笔者在分析浅埋型矿井涌水量的构成要素的基础上应用灰色系统理论对其涌水量进行了预测 ,其方法与结果对推动矿井水文地质工作有一定的现实意义和指导作用。     

Long-Term Effects of Fertilization on Soil Organic Carbon Changes in Continuous Corn of Northeast China: RothC Model Simulations

Soil organic C (SOC) content can increase by managing land use practices in which the rates of organic C input exceed those of organic C mineralization. Understanding the changes in SOC content of Black soils (mainly Typic Halpudoll) in northeast China is necessary for sustainable using of soil resources there. We used the RothC model to estimate SOC levels of Black soils under monoculture cropping corn in a long-term fertilization trial at Gongzhuling, Jilin Province, China. The model outputs for the changes in SOC were compared with measured data in this long-term fertilization/manure trial. The sound performance of model in simulating SOC changes suggests that RothC is feasible with Black soils in the temperate climatic region of northeast China. The modeled and measured results indicated that the treatment without fertilizer/farmyard manure (FYM) addition led to a continuous decline in SOC during the study period and N and NPK fertilization were inadequate to maintain the SOC levels in the plow layer (upper 20 cm) unless FYM was added under the current conventional management associated with no above-ground crop residues returning into the soil. Soil organic carbon could follow the same path of decline if the same management practices are maintained. Model results indicate that returning above-ground crop residues to the soil from 2002 to 2022 would increase SOC by 26% for the treatment without fertilization addition, 40% for N treatment, 45% for NPK treatment, and 38% and 46% for N and NPK treatments with FYM addition, compared to the levels in the corresponding treatments in 2002. The simulation results suggest that the RothC model is a feasible tool to assess SOC trend under different management practices, and returning above-ground crop residues into the soil would lead to a remarkable increase in SOC of Black soils in the region.     

城市综合减灾规划模式研究

根据城市规划的基本原理和城市灾害的特点，提出了城市综合减灾规划模式。     

Ecosystem modeling with GIS

Management of natural resources is becoming a complex problem. To ensure sustainability of the resources, the manager must have better tools with which to make decisions. The development of simulation models that make use of GIS data bases is an emerging area of resource management. This paper examines several grid-based models and addresses the use of GIS programs to construct spatial dynamic models. Some considerations for the implementation of modeling using GIS data bases are provided. The capability to simulate ecosystem processes such as fire, erosion, and other factors will allow the resource manager to make more informed decisions by evaluating potential consequences on the computer.     

Use of a generalized linear model to evaluate range forage production estimates

Interdisciplinary teams have been used in federal land planning and in the private sector to reach consensus on the environmental impact of management. When a large data base is constructed, verifiability of the accuracy of the coded estimates and the underlying assumptions becomes a problem. A mechanism is provided by the use of a linear statistical model to evaluate production coefficients in terms of errors in coding and underlying assumptions. The technique can be used to evaluate other intuitive models depicting natural resource production in relation to prescribed variables, such as site factors or secondary succession.     

水质变化趋势的综合评价模型

采用模糊集对分析方法，综合评价了某自来水厂1982年—1987年水质动态变化趋势，评价结果与密切值法得出的结论基本一致，实例分析表明，模糊集对模型的评价信息量多，评价结论合理、可靠，是一种简单而实用的评价方法。     

高职数学课程改革探讨

本文通过对高职教育特点、高职数学的教学任务和高职数学课程设置的必要性的分析,提出了高职数学课改革的设想,并结合环境管理专业的实际对数学课的教学进行了分析。     

Monod模型在潜流式人工湿地中的应用探讨

本文对一阶模型和零阶模型进行了比较，提出将Monod模型用于潜流式人工湿地的设计和运行之中。通过模型的动力学分析，表明负荷率和零阶去除率常数是决定潜流式人工湿地去除效果的基本参数，特别是在应用Monod模型时，可以得出湿地的最大去除率，从而避免在设计时引起尺寸过小。这有很重要的意义，说明湿地的负荷率有一个上限(这在一阶模型中是得不到的)。另外，本文还引进了一个新的无量纲参数无量钢参数Ω——湿地去除效率因子，作为比较湿地运行效果的有效方式。     

基于遗传神经网络模型的大气环境质量评价方法

设计了用遗传算法训练神经网络权重的新方法，实验结果显示了遗传算法快速学习网络权重和全局搜索的能力，有效地解决了BP算法的局部收敛问题。误差反向传播的遗传——神经网络(GA—BP)模型用于大气环境质量综合评价，具有简便、准确、客观和适应性强等优点。     

城市生活垃圾在热解处理中的产气特性研究

通过对沈阳市皇姑区内的3个垃圾排放点进行实地采样并分类称量,得出其组分含量,得到了生活垃圾的主要物料组份.在此基础上在外加热固定床式热解试验台上,用热解实验的方法对8种城市生活垃圾中的主要物料中的典型成分进行热解试验.通过数据分析总结出不同工况下产气特性和热解气体的组分含量、热值,并建立热解气体析出模型进行产气量预测.