基于GIS的乡镇洪涝灾害风险评估与区划技术——以山东省淄博市临淄区为例

基于乡镇气象资料历史序列的构建,利用AHP决策分析法和加权综合评价法,结合GIS空间分析技术,对山东省淄博市临淄区洪涝风险进行评估与区划。结果表明,临淄区洪涝危险性主要受洪涝频率影响,总体趋势是东北部高于西南部;洪涝灾害暴露性风险分布区域性较强,西部明显高于东部;脆弱性风险分布相对较分散,总体上北部地区脆弱性高于南部地区;防灾减灾能力北部地区强于南部。临淄区洪涝风险综合指数普遍较高,高值集中在人口、经济密度较高的临淄市区以及危险性较高的西北地区;风险指数受危险性影响较大;全区中、高风险的面积占总面积的69.2%。     

城市新区都市旅游开发实证研究——以宁波市鄞州新城为例

我国城市化日益加快,但众多城市新区在建设和发展过程中其旅游功能尚未完全发挥出来。城市新区在建设过程中会创造众多的旅游资源,如商贸街区、标志性建筑或景观、文化场馆、体育场馆等,它们对本地市民和外来游客均具有一定的观赏、游憩、商贸和文化价值。鄞州新城作为我国东南沿海城市新区建设的代表,具有发展都市旅游得天独厚的资源和区位条件。对其都市旅游的现状及存在问题进行了细致分析,提出打造都市RBD、引入低碳旅游、植入文化元素、增加购物比重等对策与措施。     

Experimental research on recolonisation with <Emphasis Type="Italic">Anemone nemorosa</Emphasis> of the beech forests of the Ruhr district (Germany) floristically impoverished by air pollution

BACKGROUND, AIM, AND SCOPE: High SO(2) concentrations as have been observed over decades in the Ruhr district lead to a remarkable reduction of leaf area in the majority of the characteristic broad-leafed herbs of the Central European beech forests even after only a few months of experimental fumigation. Thus, it is no wonder in the time of high SO(2) pollution, e.g., in the town of Herne (centre of the Ruhr district), that there was not a single beech forest hosting, for instance, Viola reichenbachiana or Anemone nemorosa. As air quality has improved very much over some decades in the Ruhr district, one can expect a recolonisation of the beech forests by the species of former time characteristic for the herb layer. However, one has to consider that only the air pollution was reduced, while soil acidification and contamination with heavy metals and PAH are, on the short run, irreversible. That is why experiments were carried out, considering the question as to whether recolonisation of the forests of the Ruhr district by the aforementioned species is possible and why such a recolonisation up to now has not occurred. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The experiments were carried out in a beech forest situated in the centre of the Ruhr district in the City of Herne. The wood anemone (A. nemorosa) was chosen as test plant because of its high frequency in beech forests on loess soils outside the Ruhr district, and its absence in beech forests in the Ruhr district. The experiments with A. nemorosa were carried out in three variants with different soils: (a): soil of the local forests (R); (b): soil of the local forests whose soot layer was removed (r); (c): imported soil from a clean air region far away from the Ruhr district (Odenwald). RESULTS: Survival of rhizomes of A. nemorosa is possible for some years in the soils of the Ruhr district; however, the establishment of a population could not be achieved. The results obtained by the imported soil show that it is no longer air pollution, but the soil which prevents the establishment of a population. Sexual reproduction is rather impossible because of the thick litter layer with which all of the Ruhr district's beech forests are covered. DISCUSSION: With respect to the unfavourable chemistry of the soil of the Ruhr district and in consideration of the unfavourable attributes of the soot layer, the author expected the following order of the development of shoot numbers: O > r > R. However, the result is: O > R > r. In contrast to the expected result, the soot layer has no negative but slightly positive effects on the implanted rhizomes. A possible explanation is that the soot layer, which is situated immediately below the top soil, prevents the top soil from drying up and thus even protects the rhizomes from desiccation. Also, the possibility has to be considered that the soot layer functions as a nutrient storage area. CONCLUSIONS: At present, a survival of the rhizomes of A. nemorosa in the soils of the Ruhr district is temporarily possible but does not lead to the establishment of a permanent population. This only can be achieved by additional sexual reproduction. However, the thick litter layer present in all beech forests of the Ruhr district prevents the establishment of seedlings, i.e., it does not allow sexual reproduction to contribute to the population. The soot layer situated below the litter layer represents a second hindrance for germination. Other than seedlings, rhizomes are not negatively affected by the soot layer but even a slight stabilisation has to be stated. As a reason for this slightly positive effect, a protection of the upper mineral soil from desiccation by the hydrophob soot layer has to be considered. Secondly, the soot layer may serve as a nutrient storage which is of particular importance in acid soils, because acidification generally leads to a leeching of nutrients. To answer these questions, detailed further research is necessary. RECOMMENDATIONS AND PERSPECTIVES: In order to restore the formerly rich herbaceous layer of the forests of the Ruhr district, experiments (removal of the litter layer; liming; ploughing) should be carried out at broad-scale to solve the question of how the strong negative effects of the established thick raw humus layer can be reduced or even be avoided. When the problem of the humus layer is solved, the beech forests of the Ruhr district today highly impoverished in species will become a vivid ecosystem, rich in flowering herbaceous species and thus much more attractive for the people of the Ruhr district than at present.     

基于项目双分解结构的区域应急动态网络计划研究

为解决区域性突发事件应急管理计划的一致性及时效性问题,提出基于区域应急任务分解结构和区域应急组织分解结构的分级动态网络计划方法。构建了应急任务分级网络模型及组织分层网络结构及资源列表模型。诠释任务分解规则及应急组织结构特征,最后整合双分解网络结构,推导出区域性应急管理分级动态网络计划生成模型。为区域性应急预案体系的编制提供了技术方法指导,对提高应急计划的实际可操作性具有现实意义。     

米东区居民生活垃圾分类收集及处理调查分析

随着城市的快速发展,城市生活垃圾对环境的危害越来越大,已经成为影响城市居住环境的重要污染源,如何进行城市生活垃圾的收集与处理显得至关重要。米东区作为乌鲁木齐市新型工业城区的代表,其经济虽然取得了飞速发展,但其城市居住环境却未得到足够地重视。鉴于此,围绕乌鲁木齐市新型工业城区的生活垃圾分类收集和处理现状展开了社会调查,选取乌鲁木齐市米东区作为靶区,随机选取70户人家进行了入户问卷调查,对调查结果进行了统计分析,得出了乌鲁木齐市米东区家庭生活垃圾分类收集及处理的特点,进而指出了新型工业城区垃圾分类工作存在的主要问题,根据影响城市家庭生活垃圾产生量的因素,针对如何更好的实现垃圾的分类收集工作提出了相应的建议。     

生态文明视角下的“多规”空间优化布局研究—以泰州市姜堰区为例

本文结合国家新型城镇化、生态文明建设战略,从生态文明的视角探讨"多规合一"的空间优化布局体系。在分析生态文明与"多规合一"关系、姜堰区城乡空间发展现状与存在问题的基础上,从发展与保护协调、布局与功能配套、集约与生态并重等方面指出生态文明对"多规"空间布局的要求,进而提出生态导向的"多规合一"空间布局的总体思路,从资源环境承载力、社会经济发展评价、发展趋势与区域协调等方面分析空间发展条件,进而确定空间管控分区和要素布局体系,以及其他规划与"多规合一"空间的衔接。以姜堰区为例,探索可持续的城乡空间格局构建、城镇建设用地集约利用、生态底线控制等具体策略。     

基于SWAT模型的金属矿区雨水径流中锰污染负荷分析

通过改进林玉环的汞迁移转化一维模型,并在一定的基本假设下,得到了锰的一维迁移转化动力学模型,利用Fortran语言编程嵌入SWAT模型源程序,在参数敏感性分析后进行改进模型的率定与校正以及敏感性参数的调节分析后,得到金属矿区雨水径流中锰污染负荷分析的SWAT改进模型。运行结果表明,SWAT改进模型能够对雨水径流中锰污染负荷进行较高精度的模拟,其中回归系数(r2)、Nash-Sutcliffe效率系数(Ens)分别为0.88、0.91,符合回归系数和Nash-Sutcliffe系数的评价标准(r2≥0.6,Ens≥0.5),获得锰矿区的污染关键区,与实际矿区污染相符合,为锰矿区及其他金属矿区雨水径流中重金属污染的评测和控制、治理与修复等提供科学依据。     

秦皇岛市海港区土地生态环境保护和整治

当前土地生态环境安全是土地资源可持续利用的基础。近年,由于经济快速发展以及土地的不合理利用与高强度开发,秦皇岛市海港区局部出现了水土流失、土地质量退化、土地污染等土地生态环境问题,导致土地生态平衡的失调,甚至出现经济发展与土地生态环境破坏的恶性循环。通过分析海港区的土地利用现状、自然生态特征等,在充分认识土地生态环境现状及存在的问题的基础上,提出采取管护与保育并重,以生态经济和生态环境建设为重点等土地生态环境保护与整治措施。     

Land-Use Planning in the Chaco Plain (Burruyacú, Argentina): Part 2: Generating a Consensus Plan to Mitigate Land-Use Conflicts and Minimize Land Degradation

The Burruyacú district (Tucumán province, Northwest Argentina) has been traditionally an area with rural activities based on the exploitation of the Chaco forest for timber and livestock browsing. Since the 1960s, local institutions started promoting soybean due to favorable land conditions and good market prices. Soybean extension, as from the 1970s, has resulted in important reduction of the Chaco forest and also caused physical soil degradation, especially soil compaction and erosion. A land-use-planning exercise was carried out using the Land-Use Planning and Information System (LUPIS) as a spatial decision support system. LUPIS facilitates the generation of alternative land-use plans by adjusting the relative importance attributed by multiple stakeholders to preference and avoidance policies. The system leads to the allocation of competing land uses to land map units in accordance with their preferred resource requirements, conditional upon the resource base of the area and the stakeholders' demands. After generating a land use plan for each stakeholder category identified in the study area, including commercial farmers, conservative/conventional farmers, and conservationists, a consensus plan was established to address the land-use conflicts between mechanized agriculture, traditional agriculture and forest conservation, and to mitigate soil degradation caused by extensive dry-farming. Although the planning exercise did not directly involve the stakeholders, the results are sufficiently practical and realistic to suggest that the approach could be extended to the entire Chaco plain region.     

港口发展与广州南沙地区的开发

当今世界 ,而港口功能的多元化发展 ,赋予了港口以及港口城市新的发展动力和机遇。广州南沙地区开发应顺应这种发展变化 ,以港口建设为动力 ,以港口经济开发为重点 ,形成广州新的经济增长极和新的滨海城市中心区 ,使广州由只有“云山珠水”的内河港口城市向拥有“山、城、田、海”的滨海城市转变 ,并进一步奠定其华南地区中心城市和珠江三角洲城市群核心城市的地位。