Modeling the spatial pattern of farmland using GIS and multiple logistic regression: a case study of Maotiao River Basin, Guizhou Province, China

Land use change is an important topic in the field of global environmental change and sustainable development. Land use change modeling has attracted substantial attention because it helps researchers understand the mechanisms of land use change and assists regulatory bodies in formulating relevant policies. Maotiao River Basin is located in the province of Guizhou, China, which has a developed agricultural industry in the karst mountain areas. This paper selected biophysical and social–economic factors as independent variables, and constructed a multiple logistic regression of farmland spatial distribution probability by random sampling. Then, by using GIS technology and integrating the 2000 data, this study predicted the farmland spatial pattern. When the predicted map was compared with the actual farmland map for 2000, we noted that 71% of the simulation is in accordance with the 2000 farmland pattern. The result satisfactorily proves the reasonability and applicability of our model.     

博斯腾湖水质矿化度模型及预测研究

根据博斯腾湖１９８５～１９９５年水质监测数据和出入湖水量等水文数据观测值，采用水质扩散模型和盐量平衡关系推导出博斯腾湖大湖区（简称博湖）水质矿化度模型，并预测了几种情况下博湖水质矿化度及近几年变化趋势，分析了影响博湖水质矿化度的主要因素，为博湖的近期和远期环境保护规划、环境管理等提供科学依据．     

“引江济太”对太湖北部底质及水质总磷的影响

应用GIS技术研究了"引江济太"对太湖北部底质与水质总磷(TP)浓度的影响。研究结果表明,2014—2019年,调水北部沿线4个点位底质TP浓度降幅为59.8%～80.5%;不同点位的水质TP浓度变化存在差异,入湖口点位下降14.1%,沿线其他点位分别上升37.4%、38.6%和45.0%。从空间分布来看,太湖水质TP始终呈明显的"西高东低"分布特点,但底质TP的分布未显示出该类规律。望亭水利枢纽调水情况与入湖口5#点位底质TP浓度呈一定程度的正相关,在调水入湖水量大于出湖水量的年份,5#点位底质TP浓度会偏高。"引江济太"会对太湖北部调水沿线,特别是入湖口附近水域的TP含量产生较大影响,并通过水流迁移与底质再悬浮释放影响下游水域。如何降低望虞河及周边支流的入湖泥沙量将是今后开展科学调水、保障贡湖水源地水质安全的重点研究方向之一。     

黄河宁夏段80年代汞污染对经济鱼类的影响及变化趋势

80年代初和80年代末对黄河宁夏段的经济鱼类的含汞水平进行了监测,结果表明:这段河道的汞污染对经济鱼类的影响起来越严重,超标率由32％～38％发展到100％,1988年鲶鱼含汞达2.47mg/kg,超标7.2倍.     

Monitoring of diazinon concentrations and loadings,and identification of geographic origins consequent to stormwater runoff from orchards in the Sacramento River watershed,U.S.A

Diazinon contamination of California's rivers has resulted in placing several rivers on the federal Clean Water Act § 303d list of impaired waterways. Impaired water body listing requiresthe development of Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDL). Previous studies identified stormwater related diazinon pulses in California rivers. This study was conducted to monitor diazinonconcentrations in the Sacramento River watershed after rainfallevents, to ascertain whether pulses could be identified and, ifconcentrations of concern were observed, to estimate loadings anddetermine geographic origins of the insecticide. TMDL developmentrequires knowledge of contaminant sources, loadings, and geographic origins. Flow and diazinon concentrations peaked in the Sacramento River at Sacramento after the three largest stormsduring January and February 1994. Diazinon concentrations peakedconsequent to each of three storms. Diazinon concentrationsmeasured in the Sacramento River at Sacramento exceeded theCalifornia Department of Fish and Game acute and chroniccriteria for protection of aquatic life during January andFebruary for nine and nineteen days, respectively. Multipleexceedances were observed throughout the watershed. Diazinon loading and geographic origin differed with each of the three storms. The design of this study provides a useful template for others attempting to identify loadings and sources of contaminants in surface waters and to rectify aquatic ecosystemcontamination from various land use practices.     

入海河流对近岸海域海湾影响分析

利用污染指数法及相关系数法对盘锦市境内的河、海水质进行对比分析，从而得出近岸海域海湾水质主要受入海河流水质影响的结论。     

苏州河干流水质模型的开发研究

对《苏州河水质模型的开发》课题完成的大部分内容进行了介绍，包括水质模型的选择及其原理、模型研究的内容与开发方法、干流水质模型的率定与验证，并据此给出了关于苏州河水环境特性的一些参数值，计算的基准时间为1999年夏季苏州河第3次调水试验时期。需要指出的是，苏州河正处于动态的综合整治过程中，模型中有关参数也会随其相应改变。     

浑河(抚顺段)水生生物多样性及资源管理

对浑河中、上游水生生物多样性现状与变化态势进行了评述,分析了水生生物多样性丧失的原因,认为水体环境污染、围河筑堤、乱捕、大量施用化肥农药和不合理开发荒山等是造成水生生物减少的主要威胁,提出了一系列的保护对策.     

长江口滨岸潮滩沉积物中磷的环境地球化学特征

研究了长江口滨岸潮滩表层沉积物中磷的分布、形态等环境地球化学特征。结果表明该地区表层沉积物中磷的含量水平在18．0-31．4μmol/g之间，最大值出现在浦东白龙港污水排放口附近，长江口滨岸潮滩沉积物中磷的分布呈现明显的空间和季节性变化规律，这主要与潮滩不同地段磷的来源、沉积物质地的差异，以及水动力、环境介质条件和生物作用的时空变化密切相关。此外，沉积物中磷的形态分级研究表明大部分沉积磷以无机磷形式存在，其中无机磷又以钙结合磷为主；有机磷比例较少。其次，潮滩沉积物表层上覆水中可溶磷的浓度一般都大于沉积物间隙水，沉积物-水界面中磷主要以累积作用过程为主。     

黄河中游主要重金属污染物的迁移转化

探讨了内蒙古自治区黄河水体中微量有毒重金属汞、镉、铅、砷在水体中的迁移、转化。对于控制重金属污染物在水体中的形态分布、迁移转化及归宿具有重要的作用。