改进灰色系统模型在城市噪声预测中的应用

把城市噪声作为一个灰色系统,分别通过GM(1,1)模型和改进灰色系统模型GM'(1,1),对城市噪声进行预测,并进行精度检验.改进的灰色系统模型GM'(1,1)在精度上均优于GM(1,1)模型,但是GM'(1,1)在计算上比较复杂,需要通过计算机迭代来实现.     

辽宁沿海地区旅游资源评价研究

海滨浴场、海滨风光和历史遗迹是辽宁沿海旅游资源的主体。文章用层次分析法对辽宁沿海主要旅游景区 (点 )进行了评价 ,并提出了其旅游资源开发的框架思路。     

广西桂林旅游资源的可持续利用

桂林正在由国际性观光型旅游目的地向观光度假型旅游目的地转型。在实现转型的过程中,桂林应进一步优化旅游资源的空间结构,建构旅游资源开发的核心区、联动区与辐射影响区,促进旅游产品质量升级与结构调整,提高桂林在国际旅游市场上的竞争力,实现旅游资源的可持续利用。     

农业资源利用模式间的转换及案例分析

目前我国农业仍然属于资源高耗低效型农业，而农业自然资源是非常有限的，为此必须实现农业资源的高效利用。本文从中观区域尺度上研究了农业资源利用模式及不同利用模式间的转换，通过案例分析认为，农业资源利用模式处于不断演替过程中，其演替具有明显的层次性；在演替过程中，物化资源投入水平不断增加，农业资源利用效率不断提高；与农业资源利用模式相适应的农业资源利用技术体系也具有多样性和层次性。     

Climatic change and urbanization effect in China

Climatic change and urbanization effect in China during the last 39 years were investigated. It is found that a warming of about 0.23℃ for the annual temperature has been noticed from 1951 to 1989. The warmings of about 0.78 ℃ in winter and 0.34 3℃ in spring have been shown. It is also presented that a cooling of about -0.27℃ in summer has been indicated. The bigger cities are warmer than smaller cities in China. The dried trends in the annual precipitation during the last 39 years were presented. The precipitation decreased obviously in summer all over China. The bigger cities were drier than smaller cities.     

Sensitivity experiments and assessment of climatic changes in China induced by greenhouse effect

Climatic changes can be separated into two parts: natural changes -and human activity influenced on climatic changes. The observed data could not only show the effects caused by human activity. Several simulated results as simulated by the GCMs induced by the greenhouse effects in China .have been analysed. It is shown that an obvious warming of about 3-6℃ in winter and 2-5℃ in summer in China as simulated by the GCMs induced by doubling CO2 have been found. There are getting drier or wetter regions in China due to doubled CO2 as simulated by most of models. Comparing the simulated results with the observed data in China, some simulated results are able to be believed. The GCMs should be improved, especially in the regional areas.     

对产生环境问题的根源探析

从多维、多学科的视角，就环境问题产生的原因进行了比较系统，全面的研究和探讨。具体包括环境问题产生的哲学根源、宗教根源、伦理根源、技术根源和经济根源。从表面上看，环境问题是一个技术问题、经济问题；但从深层次考察，环境问题则也是哲学问题、宗教问题和伦理问题。环境问题的根本解决，不仅有赖于技术进步和经济法律制度的变革，更有赖于人类文明的转型和伦理观念的觉悟。     

资源环境约束下的西北农业结构调整与产业化发展对策

西北地区农业资源有5个优势和水资源短缺、生态环境脆弱、区位偏僻、社会资源贫瘠四大制约因素。在资源约束下,农业结构调整与优化的3个主导方向是强化农牧结合,大力发展食草性畜牧业;发展高附加值、创汇型园艺植物;扩大农业空间,稳步发展沙漠农业。同时强调农业产业化,一要扩大产业化门路,二要延长产业链,三要提高档次。并提出改善、保护生态环境,发展生态经济型农业等5个方面的对策。     

Influence of conservation tillage on winter bird use of arable fields in Hungary

Bird use of conservation tillage-established (CT—seedbed preparation without soil inversion) crops was assessed at two adjacent sites in western Hungary, in comparison with conventionally established (mouldboard ploughed—P) fields. Bird abundance was assessed in a typical rotation of spring-sown maize and winter wheat in three consecutive winters. In the first winter, several species and the guild of seed-eating passerines were significantly more abundant on CT established plots, in both crop types. In the second winter, only starlings were more abundant on CT plots. In the third winter, only skylarks favoured CT over P plots. In combination with agri-environment scheme measures designed to provide resources for biodiversity, conservation tillage could play a role in softening the impact of agriculture on farmland birds in Hungary and elsewhere in Eastern Europe, in addition to its potential for reducing soil erosion and diffuse pollution.     

陡坡地灌桑垄槽栽培研究

陡坡地灌桑垄槽栽培研究结果,免除土壤侵蚀的危害,其５０ｃｍ、１００ｃｍ土壤中,比对照区持水量高１０.２０％～３３.６７％、８.２７％～６５.３７％,含全氮率为对照的９０％,含全磷率高２.９％、２６.２％,含全钾率高３.１８％、８.０１％,而水解氮均为对照的６１.５％,速效磷高较对照３９.０２％、９７.７２％,速效钾为对照的９１.４８％、９２.５４％。公顷产桑叶量和蚕茧量均较对照高５～１０倍,经济效益较对照高１１.８８倍。