结合历史大震的反演探讨砖石古塔的抗震变形能力

通过对1604年泉州海外721级大震进行反演,得到该次地震在泉州东、西塔塔址的基岩水平峰值加速度和基岩水平加速度反应谱;然后,结合试验测定的场地岩土力学性能,采用一维等效线性化波动法计算土层地震动反应,得到塔址地表水平加速度时程;接着,基于MATLAB平台,结合地震危险性分析结果,采用Wilson-θ法自编程序,对东、西塔进行结构弹性时程动力分析,并根据史料记载的东西塔在这次地震中的破坏状况,得到东、西塔的弹性层间位移角限值。与相关文献的结果相比,两者数值上相差不大,但本文的分析方法更符合当前的认知水平。本文结果可供古石塔抗震变形验算和震害预测参考。     

社会资本与农村环境保护

社会资本是农村生态环境保护的基石,它可以打破生态环境保护中的“囚徒困境”,促使人们遵守生态环境保护的相关规则,解决人们在生态环境保护中的利益冲突,以及抵御外来污染转嫁。     

Poverty and the Deterioration of Natural Soil Capital in the Peruvian Altiplano

The Peruvian altiplano is a marginal agricultural region with limited infrastructure, climate constraints, and high levels of poverty. Data were collected from 265 farms in four different agricultural regions, and data from three of those regions are analyzed here. Regressions were run with soil nutrient loss, soil depth loss, and yield loss over the past 20 years, as perceived by farmers. Location, topographical and management factors were considered. Additional regressions were run to examine the determinants of two agricultural management practices which were found to affect soil quality, namely fallowing and ploughing vertical furrows. Use of traditional fallowing (aynoca) was associated with helping to preserve soil quality, and was practiced by households with more education, with higher non-farm income, and in villages which had benefitted from natural resource development projects. Vertical furrowing similarly was associated with helping preserve soil quality, and was practiced by households with fewer unmet basic needs. These results have implications for the agricultural and development strategies to be followed in the region.     

生态资本与经济增长模型研究

改革开放以来,中国依靠“高投入-高消耗”的发展模式,保持了20多年的经济高速增长。但由于长期忽视生态因素,导致了日益严重的生态破坏。为了建设和谐社会,如何将生态资本引入经济增长模型,并突出其在经济增长中的重要地位已成为当务之急。在综合分析大量文献的基础上,理清了生态资本的概念和特征。选择了合适的经济增长模型,并将生态资本作为内生变量嵌入其中,构建了新的模型。依据新模型,进一步分析了生态资本与经济增长之间的关系,并提出了相关的政策建议。     

Impact of climatic shocks on child human capital: evidence from young lives data

This study attempts to assess the impact of two different climatic shocks, drought and excessive rainfall/flood, as perceived by households on child human capital across four countries: Ethiopia, India, Peru and Vietnam – countries with diverse socio-economic backgrounds. Human capital, in this context, subsumes both child learning and health outcomes. The data source is the Young Lives Study and cross-sectional household data on the older cohort of children (between 14 and 16 years of age) are utilized, for the year 2009. The enrolment rate, Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test, Cloze test and Math test scores are used as proxies for child learning outcomes. The health outcome variables being studied are the WHO-defined Body Mass Index z-scores and Height for Age z-scores. The overall objective is to study heterogeneity in responses to shock in terms of the development of human capital across the set of countries considered. Additionally, the study elaborates on the role of institutional help, during crisis, and the role of household characteristics in buffering these climatic shocks.     

Study on Human Capital Valve Quantity Model and Investment Featuers

Abstract

In this paper, human capital is considered a kind of goods in terms of investment. Basic consumption and profit margin are the two important components of human capital goods value. Compared with that of the material capital, the human capital consumption has the following features. The importance of human capital investment determined by the supply-demand mechanism, is growing gradually; The course of investment and return takes a long period of time; Human capital is characterized by strong technicality and weak negotiability; The investment profit margin is changeable and discriminating.     

Beyond strong sustainability

Since the Brundtland Commission's delineation of the term sustainable development in 1987, virtually every country has incorporated the terms sustainability and sustainable development into their planning vocabulary and criteria for decision-making. However, many issues remain unresolved. Broad and sweeping references to sustainability and sustainable development do not necessarily translate into implementable policies to achieve these goals. In particular, unresolved issues include developing an understanding of how one sector of the economy can contribute to the sustainable development of the economy as a whole and the role of ecological resources in sustainable development. Our paper provides an initial conceptual examination of these questions by folding mining and ecological quality into the sustainability discussion. We use the Brazilian Amazon as an application of our sustainable development model.     

村域社会资本与环境影响的关系——基于甘肃省村域调查数据

社会资本作为改善生态环境的先决条件,已引起了全社会的广泛关注,当前急需辨明社会资本与环境影响之间的关系,并依次寻求解决生态环境问题的对策措施。研究基于甘肃省20个村域的调查数据,以网络、信任、规范为指标测度社会资本,以生态足迹为指标测度环境影响,利用计量经济模型分析了村域层面社会资本与环境影响的关系。结果表明:①社会资本差异有助于解释村域之间的环境影响差异;②社会资本的普遍信任维度、制度信任维度与环境影响呈显著正相关,规范维度与环境影响呈显著负相关,网络维度虽与环境影响呈负相关,但统计上不显著;③劳动力受教育程度、非农就业水平与环境影响呈显著负相关,人口规模虽与环境影响呈正相关,但在多数模型中不显著。最后,指出了社会资本对环境影响作用研究中需进一步关注的问题。     

外企HSE管理探讨

通过在外企从事HSE管理工作的实践,探讨外企HSE工作的先进性,从思想、教育和培训、个人防护用品、物质激励、防火培训、环境保护、事故管理、设备管理等方面进行论述。并通过个人的实际工作,交流HSE工作的体会,以进一步提高企业HSE管理工作的水平。     

古运河(镇江段)沉积物酶活性及其与氮磷阴离子的相关性

以古运河镇江段为研究对象,研究了表层沉积物中碱性磷酸酶活性、硝酸还原酶活性和亚硝酸还原酶活性的时空变化以及3种酶活性与河流表层沉积物中氮磷阴离子浓度及上覆水水质的相关性。结果表明,镇江古运河表层沉积物中碱性磷酸酶活性、硝酸还原酶活性和亚硝酸还原酶活性具有显著的时间和区域性差异,枯水期(12月)各酶活性较高,分别介于0.29~0.32 mg/(g·24 h)、0.13~0.19 mg/(g·24 h)、3.05~5.21 mg/(g·24 h);丰水期(5月)各酶活性较低,变化范围分别为0.18~0.29 mg/(g·24 h)、0.08~0.14 mg/(g·24 h)、2.95~3.64 mg/(g·24 h)。冗余分析结果显示,古运河表层沉积物酶活性在枯水期差异较大,丰水期差异较小,各酶活性与其相关离子浓度呈显著正相关(P0.05),硝酸还原酶和亚硝酸还原酶与上覆水的水质呈正相关。3种酶活性可被作为判断古运河镇江段沉积物富营养化负荷的参考性指标,硝酸还原酶和亚硝酸还原酶还可作为评价古运河镇江段水质的参考性指标。