Control Strategy Optimization for Attainment and Exposure Mitigation: Case Study for Ozone in Macon, Georgia

Implementation of more stringent 8-hour ozone standards has led the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to designate nonattainment status to 474 counties nationwide, many of which had never previously violated air quality standards. As states select emission control measures to achieve attainment in these regions, their choices pose significant implications to local economies and the health of their citizens. Considering a case study of one such nonattainment region, Macon, Georgia, we develop a menu of potential controls that could be implemented locally or in neighboring parts of the state. The control menu offers the potential to control about 20–35% of ozone precursor emissions in most Georgia regions, but marginal costs increase rapidly beyond 15–20%. We link high-order ozone sensitivities with the control menu to identify cost-optimized strategies for achieving attainment and for alternative goals such as reducing spatially averaged or population-weighted ozone concentrations. Strategies targeted toward attainment of Macon ozone would prioritize local reductions of nitrogen oxides, whereas controls in the more densely populated Atlanta region are shown to be more effective for reducing statewide potential population exposure to ozone. A U.S. EPA-sanctioned approach for demonstrating ozone attainment with photochemical models is shown to be highly dependent on the choice of a baseline period and may not foster optimal strategies for assuring attainment and protecting human health.     

对有机磷农药敏感的海鱼脑AChE筛选研究

以10种海洋鱼类:鲅鱼、黄花鱼、鲈鱼、黄鱼、美国红鱼、真鲷、黑鲷、面包鱼、黑头鱼和鳗鲡为实验材料,采用半抑制浓度(IC₅₀)和双分子速率常数(K_i)为指标,通过体外抑制作用比较了这10种海鱼脑AChE对马拉硫磷和甲基对硫磷的敏感性,并分析了海鱼脑AChE作为监测海水中有机磷农药指示酶的可行性,由此筛选出适于制备海水有机磷农药酶传感器的指示酶.实验表明:10种海鱼脑AChE的基础活性在4.62～35.65μmol/(min·g)之间,面包鱼的酶活性最高,黄花鱼的酶活性最低.对马拉硫磷,由IC₅₀所得到的AChE敏感性为:鲅鱼、黄鱼、鲈鱼、真鲷>黑鲷>黑头鱼、鳗鲡>美国红鱼、黄花鱼>面包鱼;由Ki所得到的AChE敏感性为:鲅鱼>黄鱼、鲈鱼、真鲷>黑鲷、黑头鱼、鳗鲡>美国红鱼、黄花鱼>面包鱼.对甲基对硫磷,由IC50所得到的AChE敏感性为:鲅鱼>鲈鱼>黄鱼、黄花鱼、真鲷、黑鲷、黑头鱼、鳗鲡>美国红鱼>面包鱼;由Ki所得到的AChE敏感性为:鲅鱼>鲈鱼、黄鱼、黄花鱼、黑鲷、黑头鱼、鳗鲡>真鲷>美国红鱼>面包鱼.鲅鱼脑AChE对2种有机磷农药都较为敏感.影响鱼脑AChE对有机磷农药敏感性的主要因素为生物来源、农药种类和抑制方式,而与酶的基础活性无关.海鱼脑AChE活力抑制作用与水体中的有机磷农药具有良好的剂量-效应关系,在1～50mg/L浓度范围内,两者间呈现较好的线性相关性(r²≥0.93).根据AChE的敏感性及其对有机磷农药的线性响应程度,鲅鱼脑AChE适于作为监测马拉硫磷和甲基对硫磷酶传感器的指示酶.     

2种海水轮虫对UV-B辐射敏感性的比较

运用生态毒理学方法研究了褶皱臂尾轮虫(Brachionus plicatilis)和壶状臂尾轮虫(B.urceolaris)对UV-B辐射的敏感性。结果表明:UV-B辐射对轮虫有较大的伤害作用,且当辐射强度达一定阈值会对其产生急性致死作用。UV-B辐射对褶皱臂尾轮虫24、48和96 h的半致死剂量分别为4.393、2.694和1.720 kJ/m2,对壶状臂尾轮虫24、48和96 h的半致死剂量分别为5.856、4.516和1.730 kJ/m2;而UV-B辐射对2种轮虫的急性致死强度阈值均为(50±10)μW/cm2。由此可以看出,在实验所用的UV-B辐射强度剂量范围内,褶皱臂尾轮虫在UV-B辐射处理后的24和48 h对UV-B辐射的敏感性要大于壶状臂尾轮虫,而在处理后的96 h,2种轮虫对UV-B辐射的敏感性则无显著差别。     

基于SPA法的盾构隧道施工邻近桥梁安全评价

为实现盾构隧道施工邻近桥梁安全评价,基于大量的文献研究和工程实践,从地质水文条件、盾构施工参数、隧道工程条件、桥梁自身条件和组织管理风险5方面构建涵盖16个因素的评价指标体系,并确定各指标的分级标准,提出1套基于集对分析理论(SPA)的安全评价方法;通过构建各指标等级间的联系度隶属函数,基于G1-CRITIC法确定综合...     

典型喀斯特河流溶解性有机质生物降解特性及其温度敏感性研究

喀斯特河流受特殊生物地球化学过程影响,其溶解性有机质(DOM)变化具有显著的区域特征.然而,当前对其DOM空间变化规律,特别是生物降解特性的研究十分有限,急需相关内容的补充.以我国典型喀斯特河流—芙蓉江为研究对象,探索了 DOM光学参数(a254、a350、E2/E3、S275～295、BIX、FI、FRI和HIX)的...     

基于二级近似的航天器结构的模型修正方法

目的基于航天器结构自由度数大且结构复杂,直接对有限元模型修正计算效率低的问题,利用二级近似方法来提高有限元模型修正的计算效率。方法根据特征向量建立Ritz空间推导出频率响应及其敏度的一级近似计算公式,利用近似函数二级近似计算结构参数变化后的动刚度矩阵,通过多重优化流程消除近似计算引入的误差。结果通过两个数值算例进行验证,该方法提高了结构模型修正的计算效率。结论该方法适用于航天器结构的模型修正。     

南方土壤酸沉降敏感性研究Ⅶ——盐基淋溶与缓冲机理

研究了模拟酸雨对我国南方主要土壤类型盐基离子淋溶的影响,结果表明,ＰＨ低于３．０或３．５时,盐基离子淋溶总量明显增加,但ＰＨ高于３．５时,则影响不明显。     

菌渣施肥对土壤—作物体系重金属污染及迁移特征评价

为研究抗生素制药菌渣施肥对土壤—作物体系中重金属的污染及迁移特征的影响,选取新疆伊宁县某试验田作为研究对象,运用单因子污染指数和内梅罗综合污染指数评价抗生素施加后农田土壤重金属污染状况,采用富集系数(BCF)来表示重金属在土壤—作物体系间的迁移性能.研究表明:大豆和玉米在苗期、开花期和成熟期所有地块的重金属含量均达到标...     

龙门山区震后山地灾害地质因素敏感性评价

从与山地灾害关系密切的地质环境条件入手,选择了岩性和断裂带大指标,以龙门山区为典型区,根据灾害发生学原理,建立敏感性评价模型,定量分析了岩性、断裂带等对山地灾害的敏感性,并根据敏感性指标对研究区进行了敏感性区分。结果表明:岩性对山地灾害的敏感性从大到小依次为次硬岩硬岩软岩层极软岩层;断裂带对山地灾害的敏感度主要集中在距离断裂带0~2 km范围内。     

Bulgarian emergency response models–validation against ETEX first release

In the paper, the performance of two Bulgarian dispersion models is tested against European Tracer Experiment (ETEX) first release data base. The first one is the LED puff model which was the core of the Bulgarian Emergency Response System during all releases of ETEX. The second one is the newly created Eulerian dispersion model EMAP. These models have two important features: they are PC-oriented and they use quite a limited amount of input meteorological information. First, a number of runs with various source configurations are made on meteorological data produced by ECMWF. The aim of these runs is to verify the models’ ability to simulate reliably ETEX first release. To this end, a set of statistical criteria selected in ATMES (Atmospheric Transport Models Evaluation Study, see Klug et al., 1992 are used. The best runs for both models are obtained when the source is presented as a column towering from the ground to heights of 400–700 m. These runs took part in the second phase of ETEX (ETEX-II), the so called ATMES-type exercise where EMAP ranked ninth and LED - fourteenth among 34 models. Here, additional sets of EMAP are presented where in the first run the value of the horizontal diffusion coefficient is varied and in the other runs different meteorological data sets are tested. The results obtained from the first run show that the values of K_h=4–6×10⁴ m² s^-1 produce fields which fit experimental data best. The other sets of runs show that the higher the frequency of the meteorological data, the better the simulation. The results can be improved by linear interpolation of the meteorological parameters with time, the best fitting obtained with interpolation at each time step.