Atmospheric Change and Biodiversity

Strategies to conserve biodiversity need to include the monitoring, modelling, adaptation and regulation of the composition of the atmosphere. Atmospheric issues include climate variability and extremes; climate change; stratospheric ozone depletion; acid deposition; photochemical pollution; suspended particulate matter; and hazardous air pollutants. Coarse filter and fine filter approaches have been used to understand the complexity of the interactions between the atmosphere and biodiversity. In the first approach, climate-based models, using GIS technology, helped create future biodiversity scenarios under a 2 × CO₂ atmosphere. In the second approach, the SI/MAB forest biodiversity monitoring protocols helped calibrate the climate-forest biodiversity baseline and, as global diagnostics, helped identify where the biodiversity was in equilibrium with the present climate. Forest climate monitoring, an enhancing protocol, was used in a co-location approach to define the thermal buffering capacity of forest ecosystems and their ability to reduce and ameliorate global climate variability, extremes and change.     

天然针阔混交林优势种群间联结关系

运用２ ×２ 联列表,通过方差分析、χ２ 检验、联结系数Ｃ、Ｏｃｈｉａｉ 系数、Ｃｚｅｋａｎｏｗｓｋｉ 系数和Ｊａｃｃａｒｄ 系数等系列方法,测定了天然针阔混交林１５ 个优势种群间的总体联结关系,各种对间联结显著性和关联系数．研究表明：中亚热带针阔混交林的种间联结测定使用上述系列技术效果很佳．运用方差分析揭示出多物种整体间的联结关系;χ２ 检验揭示出成对物种间联结的性质和程度;Ｏｃｈｉａｉ、Ｃｚｅｋａｎｏｗｓｋｉ 和Ｊａｃｃａｒｄ 系数可表明种对的联结程度和相伴随出现的机率．结果表明：多物种间的整体联结关系为显著的正联结;χ２ 统计量检验了１０５ 个种对,其中９ 个种对呈现极显著的正联结;２ 个种对为显著的正联结;４ 个种对呈现显著的负联结．马尾松（ Ｐｉｎｕｓ ｍａｓｓｏｎｉａｎａ）与常绿阔叶林优势树种间的联结关系很弱,反映出天然针阔混交林的成熟性     

桂东南地区马尾松工程幼林郁闭过程的生态环境变化特征

１９９１ ～１９９６ 年,对桂东南马尾松工程幼林郁闭过程的生态环境变化进行定位观测研究．结果表明：①１ ～３ ａ 林地与灌草坡的主要气象要素无多大差别,４ ａ 后,林地逐渐显示增湿降温等良好的小气候环境,至ａ６ 基本恢复到成熟林的水平．②１～６ ａ 林地的水土流失量为３３８．５９～２１３６．９２ｔｈｍ －２ａ－１ ,径流系数２ ．１４％ ～２１．５０％ ,比灌草坡减少１２．５ ％ ～２９．４％ ,其中１ ～３ ａ 林的泥沙流失量比灌草坡增大１１２．９％ ～２１４．５ ％ ,４ ａ 后,林地泥沙流失量逐渐减少,至６ ａ 林时比灌草坡减少１８．２％ ．③６ ａ 林时的土壤物理性质比造林前有所改善,但土壤的主要养分（ 有机质、Ｎ、Ｐ、Ｋ）含量则比造林前降低４．３％ ～７．０％ ．④６ ａ 林的林木蓄积量为３６．１６ ｍ３／ｈｍ２ ,产出与投入的比值为２ ．９９ ,经济效益极为显著．     

EROSION ON LOGGING ROADS IN REDWOOD CREEK,NORTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA1

Road-related erosion was estimated by measuring 100 randomly located plots on a 180 km road network in the middle reach of R'dwood Creek in northwestern California. The estimated erosion ratn of 177 m³ km^-1 was contrasted with two earlier studies in nearby parts of the same watershed. A sizable proportion of the great reduction in erosion from that reported in the earlier studies is attributed to changes in forest practice rules. Those changes have resulted in better placement and sizing of culverts and, especially, to less reliance on culverts to handle runoff from logging roads.     

广西不同地理区域森林土壤水文物理性质研究

对广西９个不同区域森林土壤（０－１００ｃｍ）水文物理性质进行测定,结果表明,不同林型的土壤容重为０．５４～１５５ｇ／ｃｍ３;总孔隙度３９％一９６．４％;最大持水量４１１．７～７５９．６ｍｍ;通气度３．２％～２７．６％;平均渗透速度０．７９～３８．５ｍｍ／ｍｉｎ。不同土类及林型的土壤容重的大小为;黄壤＜红壤和阔叶林或针阔叶混交林＜针叶林,而总孔隙度、持水量、通气度及渗透速度则相反。     

森林火灾地面扑救的最佳路线的计算

建立了森林火灾地面扑救方式(直接扑救、间接扑救和平行扑救)的最佳扑救路线的数学模型,设计了模型的计算机数值求解算法。给出了匀速扩张的椭圆形火场的一个算例,从其计算结果中导出的一些实用的结论与以往用解析方法得到的结论是一致的,以此初步验证了模型的有效性。     

Identifying socioeconomic and biophysical factors driving forest loss in protected areas

Protected areas (PAs) are a commonly used strategy to confront forest conversion and biodiversity loss. Although determining drivers of forest loss is central to conservation success, understanding of them is limited by conventional modeling assumptions. We used random forest regression to evaluate potential drivers of deforestation in PAs in Mexico, while accounting for nonlinear relationships and higher order interactions underlying deforestation processes. Socioeconomic drivers (e.g., road density, human population density) and underlying biophysical conditions (e.g., precipitation, distance to water, elevation, slope) were stronger predictors of forest loss than PA characteristics, such as age, type, and management effectiveness. Within PA characteristics, variables reflecting collaborative and equitable management and PA size were the strongest predictors of forest loss, albeit with less explanatory power than socioeconomic and biophysical variables. In contrast to previously used methods, which typically have been based on the assumption of linear relationships, we found that the associations between most predictors and forest loss are nonlinear. Our results can inform decisions on the allocation of PA resources by strengthening management in PAs with the highest risk of deforestation and help preemptively protect key biodiversity areas that may be vulnerable to deforestation in the future.     

电脑散热风扇灰尘中多溴二苯醚的污染特征和环境健康风险评价

不同模型对土壤污染物空间分布预测精度具有重要影响,针对现有方法不能较好模拟土壤污染物较强的空间变异特征以及缺乏对影响污染物空间分布的关键环境因子识别,本研究基于随机森林（RF）模型,通过融合多源环境要素,开展了某冶炼厂周边农田土壤砷含量空间分布预测研究,并与反距离加权（IDW）和逐步线性回归模型（STEPREG）相比较.结果表明,研究区农田土壤砷污染范围较广,污染严重区域主要分布在研究区南部,3种模型模拟的砷污染空间分布虽总体趋势相似,但局部区域差异明显,IDW和STEPREG模型不能很好地反映研究区土壤污染的强空间变异特征,RF模型模拟结果较好的表达局部高污染区域的细部变化.不同环境要素对农田土壤砷含量空间分布影响的重要性不同,研究区环境变量和地形变量是影响土壤砷含量空间分布的关键环境因子.交叉验证结果表明,RF模型相对IDW和STEPREG模型具有最小的均方根误差（RMSE）、平均绝对误差（MAE）、平均误差（ME）和最大的R²,RF模型的RMSE、MAE、ME较IDW模型分别降低了10.8%、5.5%和88.1%,较STEPREG模型分别降低了17.8%、18.4%和94.7%,表明采用RF模型对研究区农田土壤砷含量预测精度最高,取得了最优的预测效果.本研究结果能够为土壤重金属污染空间分布制图提供方法学参考.     

南亚热带森林3层次物种多度之广义泊松分布模型

生物群落中物种多度分布(species abundance distribution)呈典型的倒J形,即其中存在许多稀有种、少量常见种.物种多度分布模型研究有助于解决森林生态恢复中的物种配置等实际问题.本研究考察了一种过分散(over-dispersion,或称超分布,即方差大于均值)的离散型分布,即具有λ和α两个参数...     

扑救森林火灾安全准则

从分析火场特征、危险条件出发,详细阐述了扑火队员在扑火过程中的行为准则和应注意的安全事项以及避险的方式方法。