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111.
Peter F. M. McLoughlin 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1988,24(3):599-607
ABSTRACT: Third World irrigation and drainage systems have experienced major declines recently in both capability and performance. This is due initially to working them well beyond their design capaci-capacities; scouring, sedimentation, and overtopping result. Chronic O&M underfunding then adds heavily to this worsening malaise. International donors have assisted irrigation departments with rehabilitation projects and programs to improve O&M effectiveness on a grand (billions of dollars) scale. Despite their historical propensity to examine, almost fastidiously, program economic justifications (B/C, IRR, etc), the donors apparently have glossed over two basic analytic elements for (a) more spending on O&M as distinct from an equivalent spending on other means to provide farmers with an m3 of water; and (b) different levels of O&M spending on canals and drains. Surely those different levels provide differing benefits, in total, and at the margin. Which level is most economic? This paper identifies these latter analytical issues, posits methodologies key to an O&M spending level analysis, and discusses the information base. Particular attention is paid to identifying relevant costs and benefits, and to suggesting supplementary criteria for O&M spending level selection. The paper is an exercise in delineation of an imminently practical area of irrigation engineering economics. 相似文献
112.
用固体力学化学理论研究岩土的力学化学行为——以成都龙泉紫色土为例 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
根据固体力学化学理论 ,提出用化学动力学方法研究岩土破坏及滑坡形成的机理 ,并以成都龙泉紫色土为例研究了在力与水协同作用下易滑土层的力学化学行为。实验表明 ,土长期抗剪强度降低的幅度与溶液的pH值有关 ,土的溶解速度与易溶盐含量有关 ,且溶解曲线略呈“S”型。这初步证明了龙泉紫色土破坏的力学 化学效应及其可能存在的自催化趋势。通过实验了解了力与水协同作用导致土破坏的力学化学规律 ,并将定量求解滑面长期抗剪强度与反应机理研究结合起来 ,为定量评价地下水和应力对岩土破坏机理这一滑坡学关键问题打下基础。 相似文献
113.
计算流体力学(CFD)中的迭代法及其并行计算方法 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
应用计算流体力学 (CFD)方法分析事故原因已被广泛采用 ,笔者针对事故理论分析和流体计算过程中 ,运用CFD方法所存在计算量大的问题 ,分析和讨论了几种古典迭代法及其并行计算方法 相似文献
114.
115.
内燃机曲轴系振动响应的多体系统动力学分析方法 总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9
介绍了运用多体系统动力学进行内燃机曲轴系振动响应分析的方法.通过综合运用CAD建模、有限元分析以及机械系统仿真等技术,可以建立包括曲轴柔性体以及随曲轴一起转动的零件刚性体在内的整个曲轴系的模型,计算零件间的相互作用,分析曲轴的动态变形.建立了某车用内燃机曲轴系的多体系统动力学模型,并对其振动响应进行了计算. 相似文献
116.
三论灾害研究的理论与实践 总被引:150,自引:35,他引:150
在作者分别于 1991年发表的《论灾害研究的理论与实践》和 1996年发表的《再论灾害研究的理论与实践》的基础上 ,评述了最近 6年来灾害科学研究的进展 ,提出了灾害科学的基本框架 ,进一步完善了“区域灾害系统论”的理论体系 ,提出了当前灾害科学的主要学术前沿问题。文章并就资源开发与灾情形成机理与动态变化过程进行了综合分析 ,阐述了区域灾害的形成过程 ,进一步从区域可持续发展的角度 ,就建设安全社区 (区域 )提出了“允许灾害风险水平”的区域发展对策。 相似文献
117.
喀斯特石山地区社会经济与生态环境可持续发展系统研究:以桂西北为例 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
本建立了广西西北部喀斯特石山地区可持续发展的系统动力学模型。并用DYNAMO程序预测了未来20年桂西北地区的人口、工业、农业、第三产业,生态环境,土地资源,社会总产值,人均国民收人等的动态变化趋势,结果显示,该地区由于人口,工业资产增加使物质和能源消耗增长太快,而对污染治理的投入又太少,导致桂西北地区的生存环境质量下降,因此应当加大对污染治理的投入力度,改善区域环境质量,这是实现息烽县区域可持续发展的关键,根据区域特点探讨了桂西北喀斯特贫困山区的形成演化,提出了可持续发展的途径。 相似文献
118.
For about 50 years the desertion of areas by traditional activities has led to an important evolution of landscapes and environments
on the island of Ouessant. The study of this evolution has been undertaken at different spatial and temporal scales. On one
part of the island, a scientific investigation carried out at the scale of the parcel enabled the form of the landscape in
1850 to be compared with that of 1985. On the whole island, the evolution of spatial organization and land use was compared
between 1950 and 1985. For each of three main ecological environments, vegetational successions after the decrease of agriculture
have been studied along with their future potential changes. This work highlights some considerations about the present management
of the environment in relation to the major objectives of island environmental policies. 相似文献
119.
大气中SO2的液相氧化研究 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
大气中SO2液相氧化是形成酸雨的重要途径,降雨中含有各种无机离子和有机物质,它们可能催化或抑制液相氧化反应的进行。本文根据四川酸雨样品组成,进行了SO2在模拟雨水及实际雨水中的氧化实验,考查了V,Fe,Mn等离子对SO2氧化的催化作用,H2O2对SO2的氧化以及降水中有机物质甲醛对各反应的影响。实验结果为了解酸雨的成固,研究酸雨控制对策提供了科学依据。 相似文献
120.
Numerous analyses of the possible impacts of future climatic changes on tree species composition have been published for
both lowland and high-elevation forests. Most of these studies were based on the application of forest "gap" models, and the
vast majority of them considered only changes in the average of climatic parameters over time. In this study, we use a unique
data set on reconstructed past climatic variations to analyse forest dynamics simulated by the forest gap model ForClim. This
analysis forms the basis for a systematic exploration of the ecological effects of changing means vs. changing variability
of climate on central European forests. A reconstruction of historical climate covering the last 470 years in the Swiss lowlands
(ClimIndex) is extrapolated to a transect across the alpine (cold) treeline and used to simulate the influence of climate
variations on the time scale of decades on forest biomass and tree species composition at both sites. While the simulation
at the low-elevation site shows little sensitivity to climate variations, the results from upper subalpine forests suggest
that two major dieback events would have occurred at elevations above the current but below the climatic tree line, induced
by clusters of exceptionally cold summers. The results are in agreement with available dendrochronological data and with documentary
evidence on massive negative impacts on flora and fauna at high elevations during these periods. We conclude that ForClim
is capable of capturing the effects on tree population dynamics of climate variability at these sites as reconstructed from
the ClimIndex record. A factorial design is used to address the sensitivity of ForClim to changes of the long-term averages
vs. changes of the variability of monthly temperature and precipitation data. To this end, the simulated tree species composition
of near-natural forests is examined along a climate gradient in Europe. The results indicate that there are three types of
forest response: (1) little sensitivity to both kinds of change, (2) strong sensitivity to changes in the means, but little
sensitivity to changing variability, and (3) strong sensitivity to changing variability at least in parts of the examined
climate space. Half of the cases investigated fall under the third category, suggesting that emphasis should be placed on
also assessing the sensitivity of ecosystems to future changes in climate variability rather than on changes of average values
alone.
Electronic Publication 相似文献