基于总物流分析的我国钢铁工业生态效率分析

近年来我国钢铁产量快速增长且钢铁工业规模庞大,因此有必要对我国钢铁工业的生态效率进行研究. 采用总物流分析方法对我国钢铁系统的总物流进行分析,得到了钢铁系统的总物流分析指标;对1995—2011年我国钢铁工业的生态效率(包括资源效率、能源效率、脱钩指数等)进行了分析. 结果表明:2004年资源效率(粗钢产量与铁矿原矿消耗的比值)和资源经济效率(钢铁工业增加值与铁矿原矿消耗的比值)均达到最大值,二者分别为0.54 t/t和827.66元/t;2011年能源效率(粗钢产量与钢铁工业能耗的比值)和能源经济效率(钢铁工业增加值与钢铁工业能耗的比值)均达到最大值,分别为1.53 t/t和2 976.65元/t. 基于我国钢铁系统的总物流分析结果进行了脱钩指标分析,结果显示,D_DEU(国内开采量的脱钩指数)为0.189,大于DMI(直接物质投入量)、TMR(总物质需求)及DPO(国内排放量)的脱钩指数(分别为0.115、0.084和0.061),即国内开采量的脱钩情况在该阶段达到最佳,这与我国铁矿石产量不足、钢铁生产更多依赖于进口资源密切相关. 最后提出了提高矿产资源综合利用率和重视废钢资源回收利用等相应的对策建议.      

氯气泄漏后毒害区的估算及泄漏的处置

运用毒害区计算方法对本部贮存的氯气泄漏后扩散的半径进行估算,同时以扩散的半径作参考,提出氯气泄漏的处置方法.     

Influence of slope aspect on soil physico-chemical and biological properties in the mid hills of central Nepal

This study assessed the influence of slope aspect and land use on soil physio-chemical and biological properties (soil quality indicators) on contiguous south- and north-facing slopes of the mid hills in central Nepal, having the same climate, vegetation and parent material. In each aspect, two treatments (agriculture and forest) were chosen and four replicates taken for each treatment. Soil sample collection and microarthropod extraction was done according to the standard methodology: soil core samples (10 × 10 × 5 cm) and extraction with the modified Berlese–Tullgren funnel. The investigated soil variables were temperature, moisture, faunal abundance and diversity, organic matter, organic carbon, bulk density and pH. Except in a few cases, all considered soil properties showed significant differences between aspects and land use. Soils of the north-facing slope had higher SOC content, moisture, faunal abundance and diversity, and lower temperature and pH. Variations due to topographic aspect induced varied microclimates, causing differences in faunal abundance and diversity; soil moisture, temperature and organic matter trends affected soil fertility and ultimately soil quality. Further studies are required to clarify the complex interactions between soil properties (physio-chemical and biological), vegetation and slope aspect in Nepal, as well as to develop soil biological indicators as a tool to assist in sustainable land management.     

铝土矿海上运输安全风险研究综述

基于易流态化固体散装货物的定义,将具有类似特性的铝土矿作为研究对象,通过梳理易流态化固体散装货物海上运输风险的研究现状,评述2类研究方法——船舶与海洋工程方法和系统安全工程方法,探讨货物含水量及其本质物理属性作为热点的研究脉络,研讨作为承载工具的船舶适装性及其稳性特征,论述自然环境对船舶和货物的影响,探究船舶营运的全过程风险,归纳了有关流态化机理的研究结论。铝土矿安全运输的研究和实践表明国际航运业对铝土矿船运时的流态化机理尚不清晰、研究方法不足、应对措施不强,展望未来应开展以下工作:健全铝土矿海上运输监管机制、强化铝土矿与散货船的耦合机理研究、开展铝土矿运输船舶营运的过程风险研究、推进铝土矿海运安全风险管理的智能化。     

废钻井液固化剂的筛选实验

针对目前许多废钻井液固化剂产品达不到降低污染物浓度的要求,而效果较好的产品价格昂贵,处理成本高,难以推广使用的问题,选取了9种固化剂进行固化实验,通过针入度测定仪、固化效果比对,参考相应市场价格,筛选出经济效益较高的固化剂,为同行业开展固化处理提供参考和借鉴。     

A practical real option methodology for the evaluation of farm-in/out joint venture agreements in mineral exploration

Although the “real option valuation” (ROV) methodology offers extremely valuable insights in optimising investment decisions in the face of uncertainty, its practical acceptance in the mining industry has until recently been slow because of its perceived computational complexity. Recent conceptual advances in the use of binomial lattices and software developments in the areas of decision trees and dynamic programming, have significantly simplified ROV analysis and made it of practical application in day-to-day financial evaluations and decisions involving uncertainty. This paper provides general background on the ROV methodology and an example of how a typical farm-in/out agreement, as a preliminary to the establishment of a joint venture (JV), can be valued as a series of sequential and compound real options. For illustrative and quality assurance purposes, a simple farm-in/out agreement is valued from the point of view of the party acquiring equity in the project (the farm-inee) using two distinct methods, i.e. (a) a binomial lattice and (b) a decision tree in combination with binomial stochastic processes, in both cases neutralising risk using the user-friendly “risk-neutral probability”. The fact that exactly the same ROV is obtained by both methods provides confidence in the modified decision tree approach, which opens up the capacity to value the more complex sequential/compound real options inherent in real-life farm-in/out agreements. The model is then modified to incorporate a number of realistic contractual conditions often encountered in typical exploration and mining farm-in/out deals. The paper demonstrates how the increased complexity of the model can be relatively easily addressed using a decision tree with dynamic programming capability.     

含硫油气井井控技术及管理方法

伴随着石油工业的发展,井喷、井控不可避免。为防止溢流、井喷,企业、政府投入了大量的人力、物力、财力,成果显著。但同时也产生了一些副作用,过量投资,资源浪费,地层严重污染,含硫油气井更是如此。基于含硫油气井钻完井的特点,制定了含硫油气井井控工作原则,研究了包含防爆、保证防喷器可靠、保证节流放喷相关装置可靠、保证压井相关装置可靠及保证井眼力学完整在内的含硫油气井严格防止井喷失控技术,选用合适的压井方法避免发生井喷技术,简化关井操作程序及修改钻井液密度附加值来全面限制防溢流的技术及其相应的管理方法。对含硫油气井科学、安全、高效的进行井控工作提供了理论指导,对于含硫油气井的开发具有重要的意义。     

气溶胶辐射效应对气象和环境影响的观测与模拟研究

选取2015年和2019年不同代表年份,结合外场观测和数值模拟,分析了天津地区不同季节不同天气(晴天、多云、霾)下,气溶胶辐射效应对整层大气透过率和地表入射太阳辐射的影响,以及这种影响在不同年份的差异.借助WRF-Chem模式模拟分析了重污染期间气溶胶辐射效应对垂直方向上气象要素廓线、边界层结构以及PM_2.5浓度的反馈机制.结果表明:霾污染可导致大气透过率明显下降,春、秋、冬不同季节,霾污染导致中午大气透过率分别下降0.09,0.11和0.09.全年平均霾污染可导致大气透过率降低约15.5%.云量的增多也可导致大气透过率明显下降,多云天气下大气透过率相比晴天减小约22.4%.霾和云对大气透过率的影响还与太阳高度角有关,当太阳高度角>60°时,霾污染导致大气透过率下降8.6%.随污染等级提高,气溶胶对太阳辐射的衰减作用也越强,天津地区空气质量分别为Ⅰ～Ⅰ级时,中午地表入射短波辐射呈稳定下降趋势,依次为484,446,439,342,328和253W/m².重污染期间,气溶胶辐射效应导致大气低层(250m以下)降温(0.8℃)增湿(3.8%...     

国内外储油库VOCs排放现状与标准分析

储油库大气污染物排放标准(GB 20950-2007)规定了储油库在储存和收发汽油过程中油气排放控制,不适用于原油、航空煤油和石脑油等油品.对美国和欧洲储油库油气排放标准或指令进行梳理,结合我国3个典型城市储油库油气处理装置油气排放现状分析,提出GB 20950-2007的修订建议.结果表明:①美国和欧洲储油库标准控制范围不仅包含汽油,还包含原油和其他有机液体;②GB 20950-2007的油气非甲烷总烃(NMHC)排放浓度限值分别是美国联邦标准Subpart XX、Subpart R和Subpart Y的0. 5、1. 8和8. 9倍,是美国南加州Rule 462和Rule 1142的1. 8和3. 1倍,是欧盟和德国指令的0. 7和500倍;我国一般地区油气泄漏限值是Subpart XX的0. 5倍,重点地区油气泄漏限值是Rule 462和Rule 1142的0. 7和2. 0倍.③我国3个典型城市储油库油气处理装置进口和出口NMHC排放浓度P5th～P95th数值范围分别为115～811 g·m~(-3)和0. 1～20. 0g·m~(-3),85%以上的处理装置出口NMHC排放浓度≤10 g·m~(-3).建议将GB 20950-2007的适用范围扩大为原油、汽油(含乙醇汽油)、航空煤油和石脑油,油气处理装置NMHC排放浓度限值从25 g·m~(-3)加严为20 g·m~(-3),增加特别排放限值10 g·m~(-3).     

北京城区大气金属元素干湿沉降特征

为研究北京市大气中金属元素的干湿沉降特征,评估不同观测方法的差异性,于2014年5月至2015年4月在北京城区同步采集了混合沉降和湿沉降样品.利用电感耦合等离子体质谱仪(ICP-MS)测定了样品中19种金属(Na、Mg、Al、K、Ca、V、Cr、Mn、Fe、Cu、Zn、As、Se、Mo、Cd、Sb、Tl、Th和U)的浓度.结果表明,混合沉降样品中各金属浓度[7 160.68μg·L~(-1)(Ca)～0.02μg·L~(-1)(Th)]普遍高于湿沉降样品[4 237.74μg·L~(-1)(Ca)～0.01μg·L~(-1)(Th)].两种样品中相同金属的富集因子差异较小,其中Cu、As、Tl、Zn、Cd、Se和Sb的富集因子均大于100,表明这些重金属主要来自人为污染源.气团轨迹分析表明,北京城区降水过程主要受偏南气团的影响,其中来自西南气团的降水样品中Ca、Mg、Fe、Al、Cu、Mo、U和Th等金属浓度较高,而来自南部的气团K、Zn、Mn、Sb、Cd和Tl等金属浓度较高.观测期间大气中金属元素的混合沉降通量变化于3 591.35 mg·(m~2·a)~(-1)(Ca)～0.01 mg·(m~2·a)~(-1)(Th),湿沉降通量变化于1 847.78 mg·(m~2·a)~(-1)(Ca)～0.01mg·(m~2·a)~(-1)(Th).混合沉降与湿沉降差减得到19种金属的干沉降通量变化于1 743.57 mg·(m~2·a)~(-1)(Ca)～0.01mg·(m~2·a)~(-1)(Th).大气颗粒物的粒径大小对金属的干湿沉降过程具有重要影响.