门框墙内力计算模型的比较分析

依照《人民防空地下室设计规范》对门框墙构件设计计算时,其内力采用悬臂梁结构计算模型,但是门框墙结构从结构受力特性上分析更接近于四边约束的板式结构。在相同受力条件下,分别按基于规范的悬臂梁解析模型、基于板结构的门框墙结构模型和悬臂板结构模型,计算了固定端的内力。采用有限单元方法,对门框墙结构模型和悬臂板结构模型进行了数值计算。计算结果表明,基于规范的悬臂梁模型解析计算结果与门框墙结构模型数值计算结果(实际受力)相比,计算值偏大,大约增大10%。     

民航机组人员个体与组织匹配对安全绩效的影响——基于MOA模型的定性比较分析

人为因素成为当今航空飞行安全的最大隐患,针对人的安全科学管理至关重要.为进一步探索民航机组人员安全行为路径,寻求可能的行为管理切入点,将民航机组人员作为研究对象,以MOA模型(动机-机会-能力)为理论框架,应用模糊集定性比较分析方法,探究民航机组人员个体与组织两个层面的5个条件对员工安全绩效差异的多重并发复杂机制和因果...     

对现行民用建筑防火技术体系的分析与探讨

以"处方式"为主要特征的《建筑设计防火规范》、《高层民用建筑设计防火规范》等技术规范构成了我国现行民用建筑防火技术体系,其分类标准和技术体系尚需细化,诸多防火设计与建筑功能设计的矛盾仍无法得到有效解决.由于专家论证、性能化防火设计等途径尚未完善,因此细化建筑分类标准,完善防火技术手段,加快规范体系更新,仍是促进民用建筑防火技术体系不断完善成熟的有效途径.     

中国与欧盟的航空安全信息分类法比较

为探讨中国和欧盟政府间进行航空安全信息交换的可行性,从中国和欧盟各自航空安全信息系统的信息结构和报告内容出发,对中国和欧盟的航空安全信息分类法进行比较。结果表明,两个分类法的信息结构是相同的,不同之处在于主题差异、部分差异和属性差异。笔者认为,虽然存在3种差异,但两个分类法都是基于国际民航组织航空安全信息分类法设计的,信息报告内容具有很大的相似性,因此,从信息内容上看,中欧进行航空安全信息交换是可行的。同时,对如何改进我国航空安全信息分类法提出了建议。     

民用机场空防安全的风险管理研究

主要通过对民用机场空防安全存在的风险从作业人员、设备和设施、环境、管理等4方面进行识别;以系统的观点为基础,结合相关法规,建立空防安全风险评价指标体系;运用AHP方法对民用机场的空防安全进行风险研究,并通过研究、分析计算数据,查找、预测民用机场空防系统中存在的一些不足和缺陷;针对机场保安、管理、规章制度等方面的不足,结合中国民航和民用机场的现状及实际情况提出相应的建议性措施,以期达到最低事故率、最少损失和最优的安全投资效益。     

影响我国民航飞行安全的个体与组织因素——基于HFACS框架的事件分析

主要通过民航事故征候(事件)的分析,对影响飞行安全的人的因素进行研究。数据分析主要采用编码分析的方法,结果发现:在个体层面,对事故征候影响顺序是技能差错、决策差错与知觉差错;机组内部的沟通与协调不畅在各个飞行阶段都存在;在组织层面,监督、资源管理、文化与氛围是比较有影响的组织因素;组织内部与外部的信息界面是飞行安全的隐患之一。与此同时,分析了该项目研究的不足之处,提出改善民航飞行安全的建并指出今后研究的方向。     

基于FAHP的岗位交叉培训在民航安全管理中的应用

通过分析民航岗位安全培训的现状,发现培训内容仅局限于员工自身岗位的工作内容,而忽略了对于相关岗位之间衔接内容进行系统的培训,这非常不利于不同岗位间的协调;基于此提出了民航岗位交叉培训,通过对民航岗位间的具体关系进行分析,确定出需要进行交叉培训的岗位,利用FAHP模糊层次分析法选择出具体岗位之间的交叉培训方案,从而使民航系统内的岗位交叉培训更为系统化,使得民航系统安全管理更加行之有效。     

MODIFICATION OF NEILL'S EQUATION FOR STORM‐TIDE DESIGN FLOW ANALYSIS1

ABSTRACT: Design of bridges spanning tidal estuaries or bays requires an estimate of peak tidal flow. One common approach to estimating these flows (Neill's method) uses a first‐order approximation of uniform water surface rise in the water body. For larger water bodies, the assumptions of this method are decreasingly valid. This study develops a simple modification that accounts for the spatial variability in the response of tidal waterways to storm surge flows. The peak tidal flow predicted by Neill's equation is compared to the peak flow determined by numerical simulation of estuaries with simple geometries, ranging from 1 to 25 km in length, using the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers one‐dimensional unsteady flow model, UNET. Results indicate that, under certain conditions, it may be appropriate to apply a correction factor to the peak discharge and peak velocity predicted by Neill's method. An algorithm, developed by nonlinear regression, is presented for computing correction factors based on estuary length, shape, mean depth, and storm‐tide characteristics. The results should permit the design of more reliable, cost‐effective structures by providing more realistic estimates of the potential for bridge scour in tidal waterways, especially when a full solution of the unsteady flow equations is impractical.     

Key role for nuclear energy in global biodiversity conservation

Modern society uses massive amounts of energy. Usage rises as population and affluence increase, and energy production and use often have an impact on biodiversity or natural areas. To avoid a business‐as‐usual dependence on coal, oil, and gas over the coming decades, society must map out a future energy mix that incorporates alternative sources. This exercise can lead to radically different opinions on what a sustainable energy portfolio might entail, so an objective assessment of the relative costs and benefits of different energy sources is required. We evaluated the land use, emissions, climate, and cost implications of 3 published but divergent storylines for future energy production, none of which was optimal for all environmental and economic indicators. Using multicriteria decision‐making analysis, we ranked 7 major electricity‐generation sources (coal, gas, nuclear, biomass, hydro, wind, and solar) based on costs and benefits and tested the sensitivity of the rankings to biases stemming from contrasting philosophical ideals. Irrespective of weightings, nuclear and wind energy had the highest benefit‐to‐cost ratio. Although the environmental movement has historically rejected the nuclear energy option, new‐generation reactor technologies that fully recycle waste and incorporate passive safety systems might resolve their concerns and ought to be more widely understood. Because there is no perfect energy source however, conservation professionals ultimately need to take an evidence‐based approach to consider carefully the integrated effects of energy mixes on biodiversity conservation. Trade‐offs and compromises are inevitable and require advocating energy mixes that minimize net environmental damage. Society cannot afford to risk wholesale failure to address energy‐related biodiversity impacts because of preconceived notions and ideals.     

民用低阶烟煤的半焦化洁净利用

为了降低民用劣质煤散烧造成的大气污染,采用低阶烟煤热解半焦为原料,再黏结制成半焦质民用洁净型煤。型煤性质检测结果显示:型煤收到基热值达到26.8 MJ/kg,干基全硫含量≤0.22%。半焦质民用洁净型煤在普通炉具和节能炉具测试结果显示,SO_2、NO_x和烟尘排放分别达到和接近重点地区的新建燃气锅炉排放标准。与普通烟煤在节能炉具中对比测试结果表明,烟尘浓度降低了88.14%,排放量减少86.21%;SO_2浓度降低了70.91%,排放量减少70.83%;NO_x浓度降低了83.08%,排放量减少86.08%。与其他无烟煤型煤在相同条件下的测试对比结果表明:半焦质民用洁净型煤的烟尘排放浓度与其他无烟煤相当,排放烟气成分中SO_2和NO_x的浓度远低于其他无烟煤型煤的排放浓度。