建立基于EGSS 的中国环保产业统计框架的思路

欧盟统计署制定的环境货物和服务部门(environmental goods and services sector,EGSS)统计框架是目前国际认可的专门用于环保产业统计的框架体系,具有全面性、多维性和一致性等特点。本文分析了目前中国环保产业统计概况,初步比较了通过公开的常规统计数据收集EGSS数据和环保产业调查收集EGSS数据的可行性,提出实施"分阶段渐进式"策略逐步引入EGSS统计框架较为可行。     

Arsenic, Cadmium, Lead, and Mercury in surface soils, Pueblo, Colorado: implications for population health risk

Decades of intensive industrial and agricultural practices as well as rapid urbanization have left communities like Pueblo, Colorado facing potential health threats from pollution of its soils, air, water and food supply. To address such concerns about environmental contamination, we conducted an urban geochemical study of the city of Pueblo to offer insights into the potential chemical hazards in soil and inform priorities for future health studies and population interventions aimed at reducing exposures to inorganic substances. The current study characterizes the environmental landscape of Pueblo in terms of heavy metals, and relates this to population distributions. Soil was sampled within the city along transects and analyzed for arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), mercury (Hg) and lead (Pb). We also profiled Pueblo’s communities in terms of their socioeconomic status and demographics. ArcGIS 9.0 was used to perform exploratory spatial data analysis and generate community profiles and prediction maps. The topsoil in Pueblo contains more As, Cd, Hg and Pb than national soil averages, although average Hg content in Pueblo was within reported baseline ranges. The highest levels of As concentrations ranged between 56.6 and 66.5 ppm. Lead concentrations exceeded 300 ppm in several of Pueblo’s residential communities. Elevated levels of lead are concentrated in low-income Hispanic and African-American communities. Areas of excessively high Cd concentration exist around Pueblo, including low income and minority communities, raising additional health and environmental justice concerns. Although the distribution patterns vary by element and may reflect both industrial and non-industrial sources, the study confirms that there is environmental contamination around Pueblo and underscores the need for a comprehensive public health approach to address environmental threats in urban communities.     

Nonparametric Ranked-set Sampling Confidence Intervals for Quantiles of a Finite Population

Ranked-set sampling from a finite population is considered in this paper. Three sampling protocols are described, and procedures for constructing nonparametric confidence intervals for a population quantile are developed. Algorithms for computing coverage probabilities for these confidence intervals are presented, and the use of interpolated confidence intervals is recommended as a means to approximately achieve coverage probabilities that cannot be achieved exactly. A simulation study based on finite populations of sizes 20, 30, 40, and 50 shows that the three sampling protocols follow a strict ordering in terms of the average lengths of the confidence intervals they produce. This study also shows that all three ranked-set sampling protocols tend to produce confidence intervals shorter than those produced by simple random sampling, with the difference being substantial for two of the protocols. The interpolated confidence intervals are shown to achieve coverage probabilities quite close to their nominal levels. Rankings done according to a highly correlated concomitant variable are shown to reduce the level of the confidence intervals only minimally. An example to illustrate the construction of confidence intervals according to this methodology is provided.     

数理统计方法在岷沱江水环境背景值计算中的应用

统计单元的划分，异常值的剔除，分布类型检验及背景值的表征是环境背景值计算中的四个关键环节，本文就其应用进行了较为系统地讨论。     

利用Excel软件做统计描述和方差分析的方法

对数据做统计描述和方差分析的方法很多,通过电子表格Excel软件进行统计描述和方差分析,为研究者提供了方便快捷的分析手段．Excel软件对于非统计专业人员的确是一个易学、易用、高效的好帮手．图7,表1,参5．     

共沉淀—原子吸收法分析铁强化盐中的铁

本文采用原子吸收分光光度法,测定铁强化盐中微量铁。用数理统计方法检证了方法的可靠性。     

Environmetrical interpretation of analytical data of marine organisms from the black sea

The environmetrical analysis of the benthic organisms data set from a Black sea region has revealed new information concerning the chemical content and the bioindicating abilities of polychaeta (Melina palmata), Crustacea (Aspendopsis ostroumovi) and molluscs (Mytilus gallo‐provincialis). The application of various multivariate statistical approaches like cluster and principal component analysis, linear regression and partial least square modeling, source apportioning makes it possible to understand in a better way the properties of the benthic organism as collectors of pollutants in a total and a more specific mode. It is shown that heavily polluted coastal zones are indicated in the same way by all benthic species but some specificity could be detected when moderately polluted zones are considered. In this case polychaeta accumulated preferably Co, Cr, Cu and Pb Crustacea ‐ As, Cd and Ni and molluscs ‐ Zn to a limited extent.

PCA identified three latent factors (“anthropogenic flotation”;, “anthropogenic galvanic”; and “naturally occurring") which explain about 65% of the total variance of the system and determine the data set structure. The source apportioning on the absolute principal component scores proved that none of the metals is quantitatively linked with only one anthropogenic or natural source.

The linear regression and PLS models have indicated that a reliable prognosis of the pollution on some naturally occurring chemical components (e.g. linear regression on Zn for Cr and Ni) or combination of them (PLS modeling on Mn/Zn or on Mn/Zn/Fe for the rest of the pollutants) could be achieved.     

中强地震区地震烈度统计拟合因素评估

目前地震危险性综合概率分析方法中的地震动参数衰减规律一般是由研究区地震烈度和参考区地震动参数经过映射方法得出的,而烈度统计结果依赖于不同模型和不同回归方法,因此,合理评估烈度影响因素有很大现实应用价值,它直接影响地震危险性分析结果。以我国中南地区地震烈度资料,用不同回归拟合方法研究该地区地震烈度随震中距和面波震级变化的等效圆、椭圆和综合椭圆模型分布关系,考虑震级和距离因素的相关性,比较分析已有结果,评估中强地震区烈度模型和回归方法对烈度的拟合影响,结果可供该地区地震小区划和设定地震动参数参考。     

A data-driven allocation tool for in-kind resources distributed by a state health department

Objective: The objective of this study was to leverage a state health department's operational data to allocate in-kind resources (children's car seats) to counties, with the proposition that need-based allocation could ultimately improve public health outcomes.

Methods: This study used a retrospective analysis of administrative data on car seats distributed to counties statewide by the Georgia Department of Public Health and development of a need-based allocation tool (presented as interactive supplemental digital content, adaptable to other types of in-kind public health resources) that relies on current county-level injury and sociodemographic data.

Results: Car seat allocation using public health data and a need-based formula resulted in substantially different recommended allocations to individual counties compared to historic distribution.

Conclusions: Results indicate that making an in-kind public health resource like car seats universally available results in a less equitable distribution of that resource compared to deliberate allocation according to public health need. Public health agencies can use local data to allocate in-kind resources consistent with health objectives; that is, in a manner offering the greatest potential health impact. Future analysis can determine whether the change to a more equitable allocation of resources is also more efficient, resulting in measurably improved public health outcomes.     

VENTILATORY RESPONSES OF BLUEGILL SUNFISH TO SUBLETHAL,FLUCTUATING EXPOSURES TO HEAVY METALS (Zn++ and Cu++)1

ABSTRACT Minicomputer interfaced, continuous, noncontact sensing of the ventilatory behavior of the bluegill (Lepomis macrochirus) was used to investigate the response to exposure to solutions of copper and zinc under various modes of application. The results of these studies indicate that fish respond to sublethal concentrations of these toxicants by increasing the average ventilatory rate as well as decreasing the amplitude of the ventilatory signal. Appropriate statistics for the analysis of these data are also described.