A Scenario Optimization Model for Dynamic Reserve Site Selection

Conservation planners are called upon to make choices and trade-offs about the preservation of natural areas for the protection of species in the face of development pressures. We addressed the problem of selecting sites for protection over time with the objective of maximizing species representation, with uncertainty about future site development, and with periodic constraints on the number of sites that can be selected. We developed a 0–1, linear optimization model with 2 periods to select the sites that maximize expected species coverage subject to budget constraints. The model is based on the idea that development uncertainty can be characterized by a set of scenarios, each of which is a possible second-period development outcome for the set of sites. We also suggest that our 2-period model can be used in a sequential fashion that is consistent with adaptive planning. Results are presented for the Fox River watershed in Chicago.     

Ward法在大气监测网络优化设计中的应用

在大气监测统计资料基础上,进行Ward法聚类分析,从而对宁波市的大气监测点进行优化,得到监测点位的最佳位置分布,通过检验,证明其技术路线是可行的.     

草酸、壳聚糖与CaO联合调理对污泥脱水性能的影响

为提高剩余污泥脱水性能,本文采用单因素实验确定草酸、壳聚糖和CaO各因素的影响水平范围,基于响应曲面优化法建立了污泥滤饼含水率预测模型,通过粒子群算法计算污泥滤饼含水率预测模型,优化草酸、壳聚糖与CaO联合调理污泥脱水的最佳配比,并分析了污泥调理过程中胞外聚合物（EPS）的变化特性,深入解析了污泥脱水的关键机制.结果表明,草酸、壳聚糖与CaO联合调理污泥能明显提高污泥脱水性能,调理后的污泥滤饼含水率为64.017%,最佳投加量分别为0.377,0.029,0.040g/g;模型拟合度良好（R²=0.9651）,方差分析表明草酸对于污泥滤饼含水率的影响为主要因素;草酸投加量与溶解型EPS（SL-EPS）呈显著正相关关系,而与紧密型EPS（TB-EPS）呈显著负相关关系.该研究成果可为剩余污泥脱水性能的提高提供技术与方法参考.     

景观生态学在国土空间治理中的应用

鉴于当前国土空间治理面临复杂的人类活动与自然环境相互作用而产生的生态风险与空间利用问题,基于景观生态学学科特质与生态文明建设要求,对当前国土空间治理工作进行梳理,归纳了明确的生态系统服务定位、高效的建成空间结构、适宜且多样的产业发展支撑、多等级的生态系统服务与安全保障等国土空间治理需求。同时,整合区域时空信息的理论基础与分析手段,提出景观生态学在国土空间治理中应落脚于：（1）识别并统一不同空间尺度的治理单元;（2）辨析并评估景观功能的空间分异;（3）构建基于生态风险防范的区域景观格局; （4）识别集约高效的城乡协调发展格局;（5）提出尺度联系的绿色发展架构;（6）明晰多级多样的生态保障方案。     

基于混合智能算法的多目标优化在厌氧氨氧化与反硝化协同脱氮除碳中的应用

针对厌氧氨氧化与反硝化协同实现脱氮除碳优化问题,采用UASB反应器处理不同进水条件下的氨氮废水,基于BP神经网络分别建立NH_4~+-N去除模型和COD去除模型,同时为了提高模型的鲁棒性和运算速度,使用PCA算法降低输入变量维数.仿真结果表明,基于PCA-BP的预测模型具有较好的预测能力,检验样本中模型预测值与实际真实值的相关系数分别为0.9164和0.9987,且两模型的平均预测误差都保持在在10%以内.进一步结合NSGA-II算法建立以去除NH+4-N和COD最大化的优化模型,以优化结果为条件建立的出水效果接近实际真实值,表明该模型给出的优化解决方案有效可行,可为实现厌氧氨氧化与反硝化协同脱氮除碳工艺的设计和操作提供参考和指导.     

鄱阳湖区景观格局季相变化及其优化调控研究

论文以自然属性确定的鄱阳湖区为例,基于景观生态学理论和GIS空间分析技术,定量描述和分析了鄱阳湖区景观格局的季相变化特征。研究结果表明：鄱阳湖区整体景观格局季节变化明显,枯水期较丰水期景观更加破碎,形状更加复杂,聚集程度更低,异质性水平更高;类别水平上,以滩地景观变化最为显著。枯水期和丰水期生态连通性也有较明显差异,枯水期景观生态连通性更差,景观单元间的生态阻力更大,生态流运行更加困难。在此基础上,借助最小累积耗费阻力模型和GIS空间分析模块,识别和构建了不同季相鄱阳湖区的源地、廊道（三类）、节点等生态组分,形成了“斑块-廊道-基质”模式的生态功能网络;并通过对不同季相景观格局优化组分的对比分析,辨识了年内能够持续发挥重大生态效益的景观组分,构建了更为合理的景观格局优化调控方案,以期增强鄱阳湖区景观网络的连通性,保障生态流的畅通运行,加强湖区生态系统的稳定性和可持续性,为鄱阳湖区生态规划和管理提供借鉴和参考。     

Prioritizing Stream Barrier Removal to Maximize Connected Aquatic Habitat and Minimize Water Scarcity

Instream barriers, such as dams, culverts, and diversions, alter hydrologic processes and aquatic habitat. Removing uneconomical and aging instream barriers is increasingly used for river restoration. Historically, selection of barrier removal projects used score‐and‐rank techniques, ignoring cumulative change and the spatial structure of stream networks. Likewise, most water supply models prioritize either human water uses or aquatic habitat, failing to incorporate both human and environmental water use benefits. Here, a dual‐objective optimization model identifies barriers to remove that maximize connected aquatic habitat and minimize water scarcity. Aquatic habitat is measured using monthly average streamflow, temperature, channel gradient, and geomorphic condition as indicators of aquatic habitat suitability. Water scarcity costs are minimized using economic penalty functions while a budget constraint specifies the money available to remove barriers. We demonstrate the approach using a case study in Utah's Weber Basin to prioritize removal of instream barriers for Bonneville cutthroat trout, while maintaining human water uses. Removing 54 instream barriers reconnects about 160 km of quality‐weighted habitat and costs approximately US$10 M. After this point, the cost‐effectiveness of removing barriers to connect river habitat decreases. The modeling approach expands barrier removal optimization methods by explicitly including both economic and environmental water uses.     

Multi-objective optimization of a novel crude lipase-catalyzed fatty acid methyl ester (FAME) production using low-order polynomial and Kriging models

In this paper, conventional response surface methodology (RSM) based on low-order polynomials and an alternative Kriging-based method are used for the model-based single and multi-objective optimization of fatty-acid methyl ester (FAME) production catalyzed by a novel crude lipase from the yeast Cryptococcus diffluens (D44). The coefficient of determination for the two modeling approaches was calculated as 0.97 for the Kriging method, and 0.86 for RSM; showing a more reliable representation of experimental data by Kriging. Both models were used to perform single (maximizing FAME titer and temporal productivity separately) and multi-objective (maximizing FAME titer and temporal productivity simultaneously) optimizations of four important operating conditions (reaction time and temperature; amount of crude enzyme; and volume of methanol used). In all cases, the highest temperature considered (60°C) gave the best results. A reduction of reaction time in half was seen to be necessary to achieve optimum productivity compared to titer, when the two objectives were considered separately. The observed trade-off between the two objectives was quantified via multi-objective optimization using Pareto-front analysis.     

Structured Decision Making to Meet a National Water Quality Mandate

Water quality criteria are necessary to ensure protection of ecological and human health conditions, but compliance can require complex decisions. We use structured decision making to consider multiple stakeholder objectives in a water quality management process, with a case study in the Three Bays watershed on Cape Cod, Massachusetts. We set a goal to meet or exceed a nitrogen load reduction target for the watershed and four key objectives: minimizing economic costs of implementing management actions, minimizing the complexity of permitting management actions, maximizing stakeholder acceptability of the management actions, and maximizing the provision of ecosystem services (recreational opportunity, erosion and flood control, socio‐cultural amenity). We used multi‐objective optimization and sensitivity analysis to generate many possible solutions that implement different combinations of nitrogen‐removing management actions and reflect tradeoffs between the objectives. Results show technological advances in controlling household nitrogen sources could provide lower cost solutions and positive impacts to ecosystem services. Although this approach is demonstrated with Cape Cod data, the decision‐making process is not specific to any watershed and could be easily applied elsewhere.     

不确定条件下的区域能源-大气系统优化模型

以北京市丰台区能源-大气系统为实际案例,结合区间机会约束规划方法,以区间参数和随机参数反映系统的不确定信息,以能源系统总成本最小化为目标函数,以能源供需、热电生产、新能源消费、大气污染物排放等为主要约束条件,建立了区域能源-大气优化模型。通过交互式算法,确定了不同风险水平下的优化方案。研究结果表明:丰台区将建立以天然气为主要能源载体,燃气发电供热为主,新能源发电供热为补充的多元化能源系统。