民窿空区群级联失稳评价

民窿空区群已构成了许多矿山安全生产的极大隐患。针对民窿空区群的特点，运用重整化群方法，从整体的角度对民窿空区群系统的稳定性问题进行了研究，得到了空区群变尺度级联失稳迭代函数。给出了判别空区群系统整体失稳的临界概率，将空区群系统失稳的复杂判别转化为单元失稳概率与临界概率大小的比较问题，同时给出了计算实例，以供参考。所建立的方法可以为大规模民窿空区群范围内的工程施工以及民窿所在矿山空区群整体稳定性评价提供参考，同时也为认识一般空区群系统的失稳机理开辟了一条新的途径。     

European Critical Loads of Cadmium, Lead and Mercury and their Exceedances

Critical loads of cadmium, lead and mercury were computed by 18 countries of the LRTAP Convention. These national data were collated into a single database for the purpose of identifying sensitive areas in Europe. Computing exceedances, i.e. comparing the critical loads to atmospheric deposition, shows that cadmium was not a widespread risk in 2000, that the risk from lead deposition has decreased since 1990 but was still widespread in 2000, and that the risk from mercury remains high without much change from 1990 to 2000 in most of the countries.     

Setting Site Specific Critical Loads: An Approach using Endorsement Theory and Dempster–Shafer

There is an increasing demand from conservation agencies for site-specific critical loads (CL); unfortunately, there is often very little specific information on a site to determine the important parameters needed to calculate the CL or on the spatial location of the “designated feature” in a site. Determining the most appropriate CL therefore involves using expert judegement to make decisions with incomplete and uncertain information. Endorsement Theory (Cohen, 1985) and Dempster–Shafer statistics (Dempster, 1967; Shafer, 1976) are, respectively, a decision-theoretic and a statistical technique for reasoning under those conditions (uncertainty and incompletness). A key reason for applying these techniques is that they make expert opinion explicit and available for scrutiny. Both techniques have been applied to the problem of setting an appropriate site specific CL, using heathland sites as a case study. Inital findings are encouraging; the uncertainty in expert judgement is made explict, the end results are intuitively reasonable and the methodology apparently acceptable to decision makers.     

近50年来中国沙尘暴变化趋势分析

综述了关于我国沙尘暴时空分布规律的研究进展,利用117个沙尘暴代表站近50年来的气象观测数据,以沙尘暴出现日数为定量指标,采用相关分析的方法,对我国沙尘暴的变化趋势进行了分析,并针对中国北方的草原区、荒漠区和农业区,进行了变化趋势分析.结果表明:近50年来,我国北方沙尘暴天气总体呈下降趋势,沙尘暴发生频率与下垫面状况有着很好的对应关系,同时,沙尘暴有着明显的年代级变化规律.     

泥石流预报中的多层降水预报/监测系统

利用数值天气预报、静止气象卫星云图、天气雷达回波和遥测雨量等4种方法,进行了大气降水的预报与监测,构建了不同时间尺度满足不同精度的降水预报和监测体系,通过与下垫面中地形和地质等条件的耦合,为不同时间尺度的泥石流预报系统提供了相应的降水预报支持,以满足不同层次的泥石流减灾要求.     

岸滩侵蚀的环境工程观念

本文从环境工程的角度讨论了岸滩侵蚀问题中建立分析模型的基本框架.讨论了岸滩岩土介质在风浪潮作用下,根据不同的侵蚀准则所建立的岸滩沉积物在近海迁移和传输的模型.得出了岸滩的侵蚀、演变过程由三相组成的结论,第一相是与饱和多孔介质经受动力载荷变形和损伤相联系的固态相;第二相是关于介质侵蚀和剥离的流-固态混合相;第三相是流动和沉积物运输的流体相.从分析讨论还可以看出,岸滩侵蚀演化的模拟分析可在岸滩介质的动力固结、悬浮介质扩散漂移及海浪流体动力学理论相互交叉的基础上,针对海岸环境工程问题中的观念和现象来建模并完成.研究表明,在分析海滩侵蚀和海岸演化过程的机理时,采用海洋环境工程学中的相关方法可以得到更符合实际状况的结果.用损伤力学方法建摸研究岸滩介质的侵蚀和沙化过程,可以将海岸沉积物的迁移速率描述为海床面上的等效摩擦剪应力、损伤状态、侵蚀参数及介质的孔隙冲蚀率的函数.在岸滩侵蚀和演化机理研究中将海岸沉积物的纵向迁移和横向迁移理论相结合的模型有一定的优越性,这为岸滩侵蚀与海岸演变提供了定量的分析方法.     

水泥粉尘对夹江城区降雨pH值的影响

本文通过实验测试和理论计算，说明了夹江县城区降雨pH值偏高是由于水泥粉尘影响造成的，通过测试数据计算了水泥厂周围区域每天承受水泥污染的数量。     

沙尘暴成因及人文思考

沙尘暴是我国西北和华北地区经常发生的灾害性天气.沙尘暴对国民经济造成了巨大损失,制约了我国西部大开发战略的实施.在分析沙尘暴危害和成因的基础上,提出了重点从人口、法律制度和产业结构等方面治理沙尘暴.     

民勤地区大震、古地理和沙尘暴的关系

民勤地区是中国沙尘暴发生年频次最高的地区。本文讨论了干旱、地震、古湖泊和风线对民勤地区沙尘暴形成所产生的综合作用。强地震破坏了土壤颗粒的团聚性,古湖泊环境提供了沙土混杂的地表层,风线决定了沙尘暴的飞扬和运移。     

APPLICATION OF DIFFUSIVE TANK MODEL IN DRAINAGE ANALYSIS OF PADDY FIELDS1

ABSTRACT: A diffusive tank model has been successfully applied to the simulation of runoff from paddy fields in Japan because it can well describe the features of local water flows. The main goal of the study is to evaluate the performance of the diffusive tank model with the calibrated parameters obtained in Jyau‐Shi to simulate discharge from paddy fields in two experimental catchments located in the areas of Shing‐Ying and Ta‐Liao, Southwestern Taiwan. The simulations were verified by comparing the model results with observed runoff data from the two experimental catchments. The model predicted the discharge from the paddy fields well. This indicates that the model with the calibrated parameters may be used in other paddy fields in Taiwan.