GM(1,1)模型群在黄河水质预测中的应用研究

灰色预测对统计数据较少问题可以进行预测,一般3-4个数据就可以建模,由于建模序列长短不同,会得到不同的预测方程,即对实际问题发展趋势某种程度的把握.实际预测时若能将不同的预测结果综合考虑进去,效果更佳.介绍了GM(1,1)模型建立的方法与步骤,并依据黄河潼关断面过去10年(1996-2005年)水质状况,利用GM(1,1)模型群预测了未来7年(2006-2012年)的水质发展状况.     

红吉水库诱发地震分析研究

在国内外水库诱震研究成果的基础上,结合红吉水库地震、天然应力场状态、地震活动性和水库运行条件等实际资料,采用概率统计法和模糊评判法,初步判定红吉水库具有小概率的诱发地震危险性,库区附近的北北东向和北北西向断裂是可能的发震位置,最大可能诱发的地震震级为4级.     

Export inherent safety NOT risk

The author presents a personal view that production of bulk chemicals and the attendant risks are being transferred from developed to developing nations. Some evidence is presented on the transfer of production. The transferred risk is increased because of the larger scale plants that are now built in locales that are less able to cope with the increased hazards. Bhopal was an example of an inherently unsafe plant, with major hazards that could have been avoided or drastically reduced by design. It behoves the industry to adopt the inherently safer philosophy and practice in the new plants that it builds, in order to minimise the opportunity for another accident like Bhopal and the threat to our industry that such an accident would pose.     

开发利用蔗茅野生种质资源的思考

综述了国内外甘蔗种质资源的研究现状,对开发利用蔗茅野生种质提出了一些研究思路.目前,生产上使用的甘蔗品种是由甘蔗属内的3～5个种杂交培育而来,其亲缘关系较近,遗传基础日益狭窄.因此,开发利用具有优异遗传性状的甘蔗种质资源,综合应用新技术、新方法,以扩大甘蔗遗传多样性、提高甘蔗育种效率是解决这一问题的重要途径.     

Human resource management systems and work attitudes: The mediating role of future time perspective

This paper examines the role of employees' future time perspective (FTP) in the association between human resource management (HRM) systems and work‐related attitudes. Drawing on social exchange theory, signaling theory, and affective events theory, we hypothesize HRM systems' indirect effects on individual‐level job satisfaction and affective organizational commitment as mediated by FTP. The results of this multilevel study, comprising 913 employees of 76 business units, provide evidence that HRM systems have (i) direct effects on employees' FTP and (ii) indirect effects on job satisfaction and organizational commitment via FTP. In addition, three HRM bundles' (i.e., knowledge, skills, and abilities enhancing; motivation enhancing; and opportunity enhancing) corresponding indirect effects are explored. We discuss the results, theoretical contributions, and practical implications of the study, as well as future research directions. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

对冷冲模具冲裁间隙的商讨

通过冲裁间隙对冲裁断面、冲裁力的影响 ,提出合理冲裁间隙     

渗滤液的同质与异质回灌技术

根据承受回灌封场单元的稳定化程度、渗滤液与回灌载体的同质或异质关系,提出了渗滤液在其母体垃圾体中回灌的同质回灌概念和渗滤液在非母体垃圾中回灌的异质回灌概念.在异质回灌中,渗滤液可以引到稳定化程度较高的非母体填埋单元回灌,从而明显提高渗滤液中污染物的去除效果.同质回灌中,渗滤液与回灌垃圾载体性质相似,处理效果较差,其回灌意义基本上是自然蒸发减量化.     

超声波明渠流量计实地运行准确性验证方法的探讨

通过对现场安装后的量水堰槽几何尺寸测定和安装技术规范性的核准，研究超声波明渠流量计实地安装后计量准确性的验证方法。     

东濮断陷湖盆陡坡带构造演化史恢复研究

陡坡带构造演化史研究对断陷湖盆具有重要意义,平衡剖面技术在面积(体积)守恒的基础上为恢复构造演化史提供了一种科学合理的技术方法。通过对东濮凹陷兰聊陡坡带进行平衡剖面法构造演化史恢复,再现了兰聊断层的活动规律及其对东濮断陷湖盆发展演化的控制作用,明确了东濮凹陷早第三纪层序地层发育特征、坡折带类型及其对砂砾岩扇体的控制作用,指出了隐蔽油气藏发育的有利层段和分布的有利地区。     

Oviposition height increases parasitism success by the robber fly Mallophora ruficauda (Diptera: Asilidae)

For parasitoids, host finding is a central problem that has been solved through a variety of behavioural mechanisms. Among species in which females do not make direct contact with hosts, as is the case for many dipteran parasitoids, eggs must be laid in an appropriate part of the host habitat. The asilid fly Mallophora ruficauda lays eggs in clusters on tall vegetation. Upon eclosion, pollen-sized larvae fall and parasitize soil-dwelling scarab beetle larvae. We hypothesized that wind dissemination of M. ruficauda larvae is important in the host-finding process and that females lay eggs at heights that maximize parasitism of its concealed host. Through numerical and analytical models resembling those used to describe seed and pollen wind dispersal, we estimated an optimal oviposition height in the 1.25- to 1.50-m range above the ground. Our models take into account host distribution, plant availability and the range over which parasitic larvae search for hosts. Supporting our findings, we found that the results of the models match heights at which egg clusters of M. ruficauda are found in the field. Generally, work on facilitation of host finding using plants focuses on plants as indicators of host presence. We present a case where plants are used in a different way, as a means of offspring dispersal. For parasitoids that carry out host searching at immature stages rather than as adults, plants are part of a dissemination mechanism of larvae that, as with minute seeds, uses wind and a set of simple rules of physics to increase offspring success.