利用Excel软件做统计描述和方差分析的方法

对数据做统计描述和方差分析的方法很多,通过电子表格Excel软件进行统计描述和方差分析,为研究者提供了方便快捷的分析手段．Excel软件对于非统计专业人员的确是一个易学、易用、高效的好帮手．图7,表1,参5．     

辽宁省近50年降水量的突变特征及变化趋势分析

首先采用Pettitt方法对辽宁省21个气象站1958年一2008年51年的降水量序列进行突变分析,结果显示54476和54486两测站的年降水量序列分别在1996年和1998年存在显著的突变且通过了显著性水平检验,其它测站的降水量序列均未检测出显著的突变年份。根据累积距平曲线分析辽宁省51年的年均降水量在时间尺度上大致分为三个阶段：1958年一1975年为降水量增加阶段,1975年一1996年为降水量稳定阶段,1996年一2008为降水量减少阶段。最后应用Morlet小波分析对辽宁省年均降水量进行周期分析,结果表明降水在大尺度时间上存在约24年的周期震荡,在小尺度时间上存在约9年的周期震荡。     

污染场地调查动态追补钻井点位的方法研究

污染场地中的污染区域较小,但污染物的空间变异性大,污染土体较深,因而在场地调查中通常需采集场地钻井数据进行三维模拟.为了准确估计场地土壤污染物的空间分布和需修复的污染土方量,提出了场地污染调查补充采样钻井点位布设的优化方法.在初始采样的基础上,首先利用克里格方法预测场地中土壤污染物的克里格方差,基于克里格方差估算置信度,再结合场地置信度和场地污染物含量的空间分布确定场地的最大不确定性点,并将该点作为下一阶段补充采样点,以实现逼近式动态追补钻井点位的布设.最后,以某硝基苯污染的工业场地为例对该方法进行验证.结果表明:场地中硝基苯的空间变异性大,增加采样点会显著减少基台值,提高研究区总体的置信度,同时减少总体的不确定性.在项目经费约束条件下,不确定性减少65%时,需要至少增加采样点10个.10个样点的增加使得总体估值方差降低了40%,同时总体的估计精度提高了22.4%.案例结果验证了该方法在单一类有机污染场地中的可行性和适用性,能够在保证场地污染调查精度的同时,显著降低样本量,实现场地调查的成本-效益最大化.     

Repetitive Strain in Nonrepetitive Work: A Case Study

In a Québec factory, a woman in a nontraditional job suffered from epicondylitis whereas her male coworkers were unaffected. A study was undertaken in order to enumerate the operations at risk for epicondylitis. Workers were interviewed in order to identify difficult operations and systematic observations were done over 4 work days. Although tasks were extremely varied, certain movements at risk for epicondylitis were repeated many times. Fifty-three valves were turned against resistance as part of this job, and one valve requiring a particularly difficult movement was turned 20 times in one day. There were at least 61 operations at risk for epicondylitis per day over a 4-day period. Strain on the elbow joint was particularly intense for the woman worker because the design of the workplace gave an advantage to taller workers with larger hands. Although this case study does not permit us to conclude that the worker’s epicondylitis was due to her job, it enables us to suggest that it would be wise to adapt the dimensions of relevant equipment and worksites to a wider range of potential worker sizes. We also raise some questions about the definition of repetitive strain in epidemiological studies. We suggest that it may be necessary to consider not only the cycle time but also the total of forces exerted on a joint in order to study workplace injuries to the musculoskeletal system.     

The Relationships Between Biomechanical and Postural Stresses,Musculoskeletal Injury Rates,and Perceived Body Discomfort Experienced by Industrial Workers: A Field Study

A combination of archival, subjective, and observational field data collection methods were used to investigate the relationship between biomechanical and postural stresses, and the resulting physical strain experienced by industrial workers of a packaging plant. Assessment of physical strain was based on the number and incidence rate of Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)-reportable injuries that were recorded over a period of 27 months, and based on the self-reported ratings of perceived body discomfort. Both the biomechanical and postural stresses correlated with the musculoskeletal injury rate. The results illustrate the usefulness of postural and biomechanical analyses for assessing the risk of injury in industry.     

基于生态系统服务重要性和生态敏感性的武汉市生态安全格局评价

生态型现代化城市是国家生态文明建设的重要支撑,构建生态安全格局是实现城市生态优先、绿色发展的重要基础。以武汉市为例,利用生态系统服务重要性和生态敏感性识别生态源地,通过最小累积阻力模型提取生态廊道,判别生态节点,构建武汉市生态安全格局。结果表明：武汉市共有98个生态源地,面积为2 214.7 km²,占全市总面积的25.82%,生态源地类型主要为水体,符合武汉市江河纵横、湖泊星布的水资源生态特点;提取重要生态廊道80条,长度为928 km,廊道相互交错,形成“五横四纵”的稳定生态网络结构;判别了6个生态节点（生态廊道的关键区位,保障生态空间整体连通性）,最终组合构建了武汉市综合生态安全格局网络体系。以“源地—生态廊道—生态节点”模式的生态格局构建,能够识别重要生态功能区,明确区域生态安全风险,可为武汉市的城市生态安全保护和区域可持续发展提供科学依据。

     

美欧中印“国家自主贡献”目标的力度和公平性评估

基于气候公平的不同原则,采用动态的衡量指标,建立了公平分配未来碳排放空间的综合性框架,计算了基数、平等、能力、责任和混合方案下2010~2100年全球累积碳排放配额的地区分布,并评估了美欧中印“国家自主贡献（Intended Nationally Determined Contribution,INDC）”目标的力度,提出了各国减排目标力度应当增加的程度.结果表明：美欧中印总体的INDC力度离实现2℃目标仍有差距,不同方案下的排放差距为8.0~9.6Gt CO₂,超出2030年2℃目标下全球排放的比例为20%~24%.在各自最为有利的方案下,中印能满足实现2℃目标的公平分配方案的低限要求.而在所有方案下美欧距离实现2℃目标的公平分配要求均有差距,需要进一步提高力度.公平指标的动态和静态衡量方法,以及历史责任计量起始年的选取,对公平分配的结果影响很大.     

废弃场地修复的微尺度生态安全评估优化体系

针对我国陆域废弃场地生态修复的技术需求,从生态安全角度提供了可操作性强的评估与优化方法和技术体系,重点包括场地调查,场地污染等级划分,阻力因子体系构建与模型分析,生态安全指标评估以及技术方案比选优化等步骤.研究同时展示了该生态安全评估与优化技术方法在典型陆域废弃场地生态修复中的具体应用,为陆域废弃场地的微尺度生态修复方案确定与优化提供了一种定量化科学方法.     

Single and multiple daily dose toxicokinetics of fluoride after oral administration of sodium fluoride along with aluminum sulfate in goats

Our previous study suggested that toxicokinetic parameters of fluoride were significantly changed on the 30th day as compared with 1st day, after repeated oral administration of sodium fluoride alone for 30 days in goats. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether aluminum sulfate has ameliorative effect on the toxicokinetics of fluoride. For this, sodium fluoride (20 mg kg^?1 b. wt.) along with aluminum sulfate (150 mg kg^?1 b. wt.) was administered in goats for 30 days to investigate its effect on toxicokinetics of fluoride on days 1 and 30. The fluoride levels against time were adequately described by one compartment open model. The peak plasma level of fluoride was observed at 2 h. The toxicokinetics data revealed a nonsignificant decrease in β (elimination rate constant) and C _max (the maximum plasma concentration) and increase in t _1/2 K _a (absorption half-lives), t _1/2 β (elimination half-lives), area under the plasma (AUC) concentration versus time curve and mean residence time (MRT) was observed for the last dose from their respective first dose values. On the basis of changes in the toxicokinetic parameters, it was concluded that repeated oral administration has cumulative effect on plasma fluoride level and concurrent oral administration of aluminum sulfate has ameliorative action on the toxicokinetics of fluoride in goats.     

泥鳅在污染物毒性评价中的应用研究

泥鳅营底栖生活,生存能力强,易于饲养,便于采集和处理,有作为模式生物的潜力。受到污染物胁迫时,泥鳅在分子、细胞、组织、器官和个体水平上会发生明显的变化,其存活、生长和繁殖从而受到影响。泥鳅的这些特性可以被用来进行污染物毒性评价。从急性毒性、蓄积毒性、生殖力毒性、遗传毒性等方面,综述和分析了泥鳅在污染物毒性评价中的应用研究进展,并对未来研究重点进行了展望。