杭州市空气微生物群落碳代谢特征研究

利用Biolog技术,研究了杭州市4个样点,即延安路商业街(Yan’an Road Business Street,YRBS)、天目山路与教工路口(Tianmushan Jiaogong Cross Road,TJCR)、浙江工商大学教工路校区(Zhejiang Gongshang University Jiaogong Campus,ZJGUSJC)、西湖曲院风荷(Breeze-ruffled Lotus at Quyuan Garden,BLQG)空气微生物群落碳代谢特征.结果表明,不同样点空气微生物样品平均颜色变化率(Average Well Color Development,AWCD)在培养240 h后达到稳定,并且4个样点的AWCD值即对单一碳源的利用能力具有显著差异,YRBS>TJCR≈ZJGSUJC>BLQG;YRBS、TJCR、ZJGSUJC和BLQG空气中微生物物种的多样性和丰富度依次减少;不同样点空气微生物对糖类和氨基酸类碳源利用程度较高,对其它碳源利用程度较低,且同一样点对不同单一碳源的利用程度也存在显著差异,YRBS对糖类碳源的利用程度最高,对聚合物类碳源利用程度最低,BLQG对糖类碳源的利用程度最高,对胺类碳源利用程度最低;不同样点空气微生物群落碳代谢基质主成分1(PC1)贡献度为43.8%,主成分2(PC2)贡献度23.4%,YRBS、BLQG和TJCR的空气微生物群落差异较大,碳代谢功能差异显著,而TJCR与ZJGSUJC碳代谢功能无显著差异.     

南京北郊大气VOCs变化特征及来源解析

利用2011-03-01~2012-02-29南京北郊大气VOCs观测资料,对大气VOCs浓度变化特征和特征物比值差异展开研究,并应用PCA/APCS受体模型对不同季节VOCs来源进行了解析.结果表明,南京大气总VOCs体积混合比为43.52×10-9,其中烷烃占45.1%、烯烃占25.3%、炔烃占7.3%和芳香烃占22.3%.总VOCs体积混合比呈现夏季高,冬季低的季节变化.VOCs组分中烷烃在冬季最高,烯烃夏季最高,芳香烃春季最高,炔烃冬季最高.特征物比值(VOCs/乙炔)和T/B比值反映出观测点受周边工业区影响较大.VOCs源解析表明,主要来源来自工厂生产、机动车排放、燃料燃烧、生产活动挥发、溶剂使用和自然源.虽然有季节变化,但与工业生产活动相关的来源占大气VOCs 45%~63%,其次为机动车来源占34%~50%.     

硫氧同位素示踪南京北郊大气PM2.5中硫酸盐来源

采用EA-IRMS联用技术对2014年1月南京北郊大气细粒子(PM2.5)中硫酸盐的硫和氧同位素组成进行了分析,结合大气颗粒物化学组成,追溯南京北郊大气PM2.5中硫酸盐的来源,并评估了各污染源的贡献率.结果表明,2014年1月南京北郊硫酸盐气溶胶的硫同位素组成(δ34S)范围为2.7‰~6.4‰,平均值为5.0‰±0.9‰(n=16);氧同位素组成(δ18O)值范围为10.6‰~16.1‰,平均值为12.5‰±1.37‰(n=16).通过气溶胶与可能污染源的δ34S值对比和后向轨迹分析,得出结论:研究区域大气中硫同位素组成主要受当地燃煤中硫的影响,其次是远距离传输硫.此外,有低δ34S值硫源存在,但贡献比较小,可能来自生物成因硫.绝对主因子分析结果显示:人为成因硫和远距离传输硫贡献率分别为46.74%和31.54%.     

Multiple regression models for the lower heating value of municipal solid waste in Taiwan

A multiple regression analysis was used to develop two predictive models of lower heating value (LHV) for municipal solid waste (MSW), using 180 samples gathered from cities and counties in Taiwan during 2001-2002. These models are referred to as the original proposed model (OPM) and the simplified model (SM). The coefficients of multiple determinations for the OPM and SM were 0.983 and 0.975, respectively. To verify the feasibility of the models, a demonstration program based on sampling of MSW in Kaohsiung City was conducted. As a result, the OPM showed superior precision in terms of relative percentage deviation (RPD) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), when compared to the conventional models based on the proximate analysis, physical composition and ultimate analysis. The SM was derived by neglecting the three minor physical components used in the OPM. The resulting SM was less precise when compared to the OPM, but it was still acceptable, with a precision level better than the conventional models. It was concluded that the predictability of empirical models could be improved significantly through selection of the appropriate physical components and multiple regression analysis.     

利用主成分分析法简化甲烷/空气层流预混火焰的反应机理

利用主成分分析(Principal Component Analysis)的方法对甲烷/空气氧化的详细化学反应机理进行了简化，在低压层流预混火焰条件下进行了计算，计算结果与详细机理的计算结果及实验值进行了比较。结果表明简化机理与详细机理吻合较好，简化机理的规模和计算时间有所减少。     

廊坊市区径流污染时空分布特征及来源解析

降雨径流污染主要是通过雨水的冲刷和淋溶作用携带污染物进入受纳水体,造成水体黑臭化或富营养化.了解和掌握降雨径流污染特征是有效控制径流污染的前提.全面分析廊坊市城区降雨径流污染时空分布特征和各污染物相关关系,通过在市区设置14个采样点采集了7次降雨径流样品,分析了样品中的悬浮固体(SS)、化学需氧量(COD)、N、P、粪...     

Pelvic restraint cushion sled test evaluation of pelvic forward motion

Objective: This study was designed to evaluate the performance of a pelvic restraint cushion (PRC), a submarining countermeasure that deploys under the thighs when a crash is detected in order to block the forward motion of the pelvis.

Methods: Sled tests approximating low- and high-speed frontal impacts were conducted with 4 female postmortem human subjects (PMHS) restrained by a lap and shoulder belt in the right front passenger seat. The subjects were tested with and without a PRC.

Results: The PRC is effective in reducing forward motion of the PMHS pelvis and reduces the risk of injury due to lap belt loading in a high-speed frontal crash.

Conclusions: Although small sample size limits the utility of the study's findings, the results suggest that the PRC can limit pelvic forward motion and that pelvic injury due to PRC deployment is not likely.     

超大城市公共安全风险评估、归因与防范

为了科学评价超大城市公共安全风险,从人口状况、能力指标和脆弱性指标着手,建立超大城市公共安全评估指标体系。基于上海市2007—2016年的部分数据,采用主成分分析法对上海市公共安全风险17个指标进行测度,找出影响公共安全水平的重要因子。同时,基于统计数据分析了公共安全事件风险源和5个潜在风险点,并提出防范建议。研究结果表明:近10 a来,上海公共安全状况存在明显改善,且地区经济与人口因子、公共城建与生态能力因子是影响上海城市公共安全风险最主要的2个因素;汽车交通事故、电气原因造成的火灾事故、盗窃、殴打他人是扰乱城市公共安全最突出的因素。     

中国城市包容度与流动人口的社会融合

当前中国流动人口规模、流向、结构、流动模式和群体利益诉求都在发生深刻变化,滋生出一系列经济社会发展的重大问题,其中社会融合问题受到各界最广泛关注。社会融合问题从城市层面看就是"城市包容度"问题,该命题新、难度大、范围广,国内外研究成果较少。本研究以此为核心,创新性构建了以社会保险参加情况、劳动权益保障程度、公共服务享受范围为主要准则的城市包容度综合指标体系,运用主成分分析法合成"城市包容度综合指数",进而通过非线性离散选择模型探讨流动人口长期居住意愿、落户难度、就业稳定度与城市包容度指标之间的相关关系。基于国家卫生计生委流动人口动态监测数据(2013—2014年)开展研究,主要结论为:中国城市包容度水平越高的城市,流动人口长期居住意愿越强、落户越容易、就业越稳定。进而提出政策建议:建立完善的城市流动人口服务和安置政策体系,直接和间接促进流动人口社会融合;形成有效融合机制,实现居民福利最大化及城市协同发展;制定科学的产业政策和户籍制度,引导匹配城市产业结构的人口流入,实现合理布局;结合顶层设计与基层探索,实现城市包容性增长与制度改进。本文归纳总结出"两个新体系":建立了城市包容度综合指数测算体系,及应用城市包容度指数定量研究的范式体系。     

Uncovering context-induced status quo effects in choice experiments

In this study five design dimensions are varied systematically investigating context-induced status quo effects in choice experiments. Additionally, two structural complexity measures, entropy and the number of attribute level changes, are used to capture status quo effects from the similarity between alternatives and the number of trade-offs. A crucial finding is that the frequency of status quo choices is negatively associated with the number of alternatives indicating preference matching effects. By contrast, the probability of choosing the status quo increases with a higher number of choice tasks, a wider level range, and the similarity between alternatives. Status quo choices are further affected by the current environmental situation perceived by respondents. We also find that marginal and non-marginal welfare estimates are significantly affected by the choice design. One key finding is that the most used choice task format in environmental economics, i.e., two hypothetical and a status quo alternative, is likely to increase the propensity to choose the status quo option.