Estimating percentiles from composite environmental samples when all observations are nondetectable

Many environmental sampling problems involve some specified regulatory or contractual limit (RL). Often the interest is in estimating the percentile of the underlying contaminant concentration distribution corresponding to RL. The focus of this paper is on obtaining a point estimate and a lower confidence limit for that percentile when all observations are nondetectable, with the ith observation known to be less than some detection limit DLI, where DLi RL. Since composite samples are being considered, it is not unreasonable to assume an underlying normal distribution.     

水污染源特性查定程序

本文对水污染湖源特性查定的程序以及查定中遇到的技术问题和解决办法进行了论述，为污染源查定工作科学化，规范化进行了有益探索。     

盾壳霉CCTCC M203020的生长特性及其应用潜力

以油菜菌核病病株菌核为诱饵，从油菜地中分离筛选得到一株盾壳霉(Coniothyrium minitans CCTCC M203020)．以生物防治能力好的CBS148．96为对照菌株，比较了两者在油菜叶上对油菜菌核病菌抑制作用和在土壤中对菌核的致腐能力及条件．结果表明：C．minitans CCTCC M203020对油菜菌核病菌的抑制作用及适用的pH范围(4．0～7．0)均优于CBS148．96，适片于油菜菌核病的生物防治．具体表现在：(1)C．minitans CCTCC M203020能够完全限制病原菌在叶面的进一步扩展(已萌发孢子率为800A时)，而CBS148．96则不能；(2)C．minitaras CCTCC M203020与CBS148．96的生长特性及培养条件相近，但其菌体生长和孢子产量分别高出60％和12％，并发现该菌株在PDA上产生孢子的最短周期是3．5～4d，较优培养条件为：20℃、初始pH5．0～6．2、空气湿度90％～97％；敛腐菌核的较优条件为：10^1～10^4孢子／菌核，土壤湿度80％～100％，pH4．0～7．0，图7参19     

Cluster detection using Bayes factors from overparameterized cluster models

In this paper, we consider the use of a partition model to estimate regional disease rates and to detect spatial clusters. Formal inference regarding the number of partitions (or clusters) can be obtained with a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. As an alternative, we consider the ability of models with a fixed, but overly large, number of partitions to estimate regional disease rates and to provide informal inferences about the number and locations of clusters using local Bayes factors. We illustrate and compare these two approaches using data on leukemia incidence in upstate New York and data on breast cancer incidence in Wisconsin.     

煤矿自燃火灾治理关键技术的研究与应用

介绍了使用同位素测氡法探测煤矿自燃火源位置的原理及应用效果。实践证明,该方法是解决煤矿自燃火灾治理难题的关键技术,由于投资少,精度高,软件处理直观可靠,它有重要推广价值     

雷管空中爆炸压力分布的理论计算

在对８＃ 雷管装药进行简化处理的基础上,其空中爆炸一定范围内的压力场分布可通过理论计算求得。近场参数可用自相似方法求解,而非近场参数又可用ＭａｃＣｏｒｍ ａｃｋ 两步格式对偏微分方程进行数值求解。将获得的压力场与实测结果进行比较,两者基本一致     

易燃、易爆重大危险源评价的计算机系统设计

论述了重大危险源评价模型用计算机实现的方法和技术,给出了评价系统的模块划分及部分算法的编程技巧,列举了用此算法建立的计算机评价系统的部分运行示例     

Window Sensitivity Functions for Line Transect Sampling

L and width 2w, then by a selection of viewing window is meant a choice of w, with the intent being to search for optimal viewing windows, with the goal in mind of improving variances of estimators of population density, reducing sampling effort, while maintaining the property of unbiasedness. The notions of increasing window sensitivity (IWS) and decreasing window sensitivity (DWS) are introduced, and a method of deriving confidence intervals is discussed.     

A PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS OF ANIMAL MANURE DISTRIBUTION IN MICHIGAN FOR NUTRIENT UTILIZATION1

ABSTRACT: Proper management of animal manure is crucial to the viability of the U.S. animal industry and the quality of the environment. This paper analyzes the animal manure distribution in Michigan, identifies counties with high potential for land application of manure nutrients, and proposes a manure distribution prototype model for transporting surplus manure beyond individual farms for nutrient utilization. Tabulations of animal numbers by county and by 5-digit zip code are used to identify areas with greater potential for land application of manure nutrients. Distribution of the manure nutrients from surplus areas to the nutrient utilization areas is explored in a selected watershed by taking into account manure nutrient value, soil nutrient content, crop nutrient needs, topography and hydrography. The results indicate that by appropriate planning and collaboration transport of the excessive animal manure to suitable crop fields is an appealing alternative to utilize the manure nutrients while minimizing the adverse environmental impact. Further studies are needed to determine the necessary economic and institutional programs to implement the export of the manure at the regional level.     

谷氨酸生产废水的治理工程实例

本文对谷氨酸生产废水和味精生产废水的性质作了简要介绍，针对该类废水提出了蒸发浓缩＋接触氧化为核心的治理工艺。结果表明，经该处理工艺，废水中的COD、BOD5、NH3-N等指标均能够达到《味精工业污染物排放标准》（GB19431—2004）中的标准要求。工艺流程简便可行，效果明显。在实际中有较大应用前景，具有显著的环境和经济效益。本文重点介绍了工程的实际运行情况和运行成本，并进行了简要分析。