基于演化博弈的危化品安全监管情景推演研究

针对危化品安全生产监管问题,基于演化博弈理论构建危化品安全监管演化博弈模型,并将危化品事故发生率引入模型,对比分析危化品企业与地方政府监管部门行为策略的演化稳定均衡。在此基础上进行情景推演模拟仿真,研究表明:危化品事故发生率,对危化品企业和地方政府监管部门的策略选择有显著影响,当危化品事故发生概率低于某一临界值时,危化品企业和监管部门都会疏忽安全投入和监管;地方政府承受危化品事故经济损失和信誉损失增大时,危化品安全监管系统演化呈现出周期性波动;引入上级政府惩罚机制情景下,当上级政府惩罚力度高于危化品企业未投入安全生产受到的处罚和地方政府安全监管成本时,其最终都选择安全投入和严格监管策略。研究结论为政府监管危化品安全生产提供新的思路和对策建议。     

火电厂锅炉引风机改造策略研究

随着国家节能减排工作的不断深入,火电厂需进行多项环保改造,烟气系统阻力增加,锅炉引风机需要改造。通过对多种引风机改造策略进行研究,得出"引增合一"改造策略具有较多优势,而引风机型式的选择需根据电厂的场地、改造工期、投资及运行经济性等进行综合考虑。     

畜禽养殖清洁生产:国外经验与启示

畜禽养殖污染治理是很多国家面临的共同难题。本文从畜禽养殖清洁生产管理和政府规制两个层面入手,对发达国家在应用清洁生产技术、控制养殖规模和推行清洁性操作三方面进行了理论借鉴,并结合美国、欧盟和日本的清洁生产实践详细梳理了发达国家畜禽养殖清洁生产的经验。在此基础上,本文进一步阐述了当前我国畜禽养殖清洁生产的障碍性因素和应对策略,旨在加快推进我国畜禽养殖清洁生产的进程。     

欧洲酸雨控制历程及效果综合评述

在分析大量文献资料的基础上,综合评述了欧洲酸雨发展和控制的主要历程. 20世纪70年代以来,欧洲酸雨控制主要经历了EMEP建立与达成共识,CLRTAP公约形成与实施平均减排方针,基于临界负荷与生态敏感性制定减排策略,以及多污染物协同控制与追求多重环境效应等4个发展阶段,并取得了显著的控制效果. 1980—2007年,欧洲硫排放减少了84%,NO_x排放减少了37%;大气中ρ(SO₂)从10.32 μg/m3降至1.26 μg/m3,ρ(NO₂)从10.38 μg/m3降至7.15 μg/m3;欧洲降水酸度呈不断下降的趋势. 最后,基于欧洲酸雨控制先进经验的分析,结合实际情况提出了未来我国酸雨控制建议.      

西双版纳基诺族巴卡小寨农地景观生态问题分析

采用参与性评估方法,根据土地利用现状和植被情况,巴卡小寨（村级）农地景观生态可分为林地、耕地、园地、庭院、荒地５个类型１１个亚类型,其中轮歇地约占小寨总面积的１／２,橡胶园约占１／４。随着人口增加,轮歇地面积减少,轮歇周期缩短,复种指数提高,轮歇地逐渐退化,生态环境恶化。橡胶园的开发,促进了经济发展,但不利于水土保持和生物多样性保护,持续发展前景不乐观。根据存在的主要问题提出了相应对策。     

Pheromones and colonization: reassessment of the milkweed bug migration model (Heteroptera: Lygaeidae: Lygaeinae)

Summary. Research on insect migration has justifiably emphasized females – the so-called “oogenesis-flight syndrome”– since it is the females that place the eggs into new habitats. The large and small milkweed bugs, Oncopeltus fasciatus and Lygaeus kalmii, respectively, have featured prominently in studies of insect migration and sequestration of host plant toxins for chemical defense. Here we report that males of these species, and males of another well-studied lygaeine (Neacoryphus bicrucis), produce pheromones in glands usually considered to serve only a defensive role in Heteroptera (the metathoracic scent glands), and that these pheromones are exploited by a tachinid parasitoid as a host-finding kairomone. The pheromones are mixtures of C₆ and C₈ saturated and unsaturated esters reminiscent of lepidopteran pheromones, and the key compound of the O. fasciatus pheromone has now been correctly identified as (E)-2,7-octadienyl acetate. It is proposed that the concept of the oogenesis-flight syndrome for these kinds of insects should accommodate the role of males in the migration process. The hypothesis is presented that male-produced pheromones play a significant role in guiding colonization of new habitats in many heteropteran species. In addition, data are presented suggesting that there is a trade-off between the amount of pheromone produced by colonizing males and the host breadth of the species. Received 21 December 1998; accepted 15 February 1999.     

Opportunities and challenges for Common Agricultural Policy reform to support the European Green Deal

The Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) is the European Union's main instrument for agricultural planning, with a new reform approved for 2023–2027. The CAP intends to align with the European Green Deal (EGD), a set of policy initiatives underpinning sustainable development and climate neutrality in the European Union (EU), but several flaws cast doubts about the compatibility of the objectives of these 2 policies. We reviewed recent literature on the potential of CAP environmental objectives for integration with the EGD: protection of biodiversity, climate change mitigation and adaptation, and sustainable management of natural resources. The CAP lacks appropriate planning measures, furthering instead risks to biodiversity and ecosystem services driven by landscape and biotic homogenization. Funding allocation mechanisms are not tailored to mitigate agricultural emissions, decreasing the efficiency of climate mitigation actions. The legislation subsidies farmers making extensive use of synthetic inputs without adequately supporting organic production, hindering the transition toward sustainable practices. We recommend proper control mechanisms be introduced in CAP Strategic Plans from each member state to ensure the EU is set on a sustainable production and consumption path. These include proportional assignment of funds to each CAP objective, quantitative targets to set goals and evidence-based interventions, and relevant indicators to facilitate effective monitoring of environmental performance. Both the CAP and the EGD should maintain ambitious environmental commitments in the face of crisis to avoid further degradation of the natural resources on which production systems stand.     

矿区可持续发展的战略

指出了矿区可持续发展的城镇化、多元化产业、农业结构调整及生态农业、生态矿区(或绿色矿区)的四大战略。     

Waging the struggle for healthy eating: food environments,dietary regimes and Brazil's dietary guidelines

The struggle for healthy eating is a nascent social movement that represents active resistance to the hostile food environments created by multinational food and beverage corporations. Using a political economy approach and leveraging Winson's [2013. The industrial diet: the degradation of food and the struggle for healthy eating. Vancouver: UBC Press] concepts of dietary regimes and the industrial diet, this paper will examine the strengths and limitations of Brazil's new dietary guidelines and discuss its role as a precursor to a new dietary regime that incorporates social justice and sustainability.     

基于央地分权视角的环境规制策略演化博弈分析

当前,我国环境的根本问题是由粗放式的经济发展模式所引起的,而这一发展模式的根源在于"中国式央地分权"下的政府行为。这种具有中国特色的分权模式的独特之处在于中央政府对地方经济放权的同时,仍然保持政治上的集权控制,上级政府根据绩效考核提拔地方官员,即"经济分权、政治集权"特性。中国式分权下,我国的环境治理体制依据行政区域的划分来设置管理权限,按照政府层级的构成进行垂直式领导,即中央政府统一制定环境政策,地方政府负责各辖区内环境政策的执行。在全国范围内,央地两级政府的关系表现为动态的重复博弈。针对我国现行环境规制执行策略,借助演化经济学研究工具,基于央地分权的视角,将地方政府与中央政府两大主体同时纳入分析框架。根据复制动态方程探讨参与主体的行为演化特征和行为演化稳定策略,在模型求解的基础上,利用MATLAB仿真工具,分析不同情形下参与主体演化稳定策略的走向及其收敛趋势。研究发现,央地两级政府在环境规制策略执行过程中的动态演化,很大程度上取决于地方政府环境规制执行力度、成本、收益和损失以及中央政府监管力度、成本和处罚力度等因素的大小。因此,针对地方政府环境策略激励设计,应重点改革政绩考核机制,引入市场机制,并通过环保补贴、财政转移支付等手段降低地方政府环境规制执行成本;中央政府应通过调节政绩考核体系中的经济发展指标和环境指标的权重系数来加强对地方政府环境规制执行情况的监管力度,建立第三方监管机制以降低中央政府监管成本,制定合理的奖惩机制以提高监管效率;以期推动我国环境规制策略的高效执行,促进环境绩效向经济绩效的良性转换,实现双重帕累托改进。