生态破坏诱发中国水旱灾害程度及计量——以90年代为例

生态破坏表现为植被破坏、水土流失、水系统淤塞，利用自然致灾因子和生态破坏因子可以构建水旱灾害的致灾函数。本文利用灾函数计算了生态破坏对中国９０ 年代水旱灾害的致灾影响度     

环境规制、要素禀赋与我国贸易模式的实证分析

当今的全球化趋势在导致贸易壁垒不断削减的同时,各国的环境规制却随之不断提升.本文使用世界银行的产业污染排放系统(IPPS)对我国制造业进行细分,运用显示性比较优势指数方法,把环境规制因素和要素禀赋因素同时引入到对贸易模式的分析.结果表明,贸易开放使我国的比较优势得以发挥,这表现为更多地专业化于清洁的劳动密集型产业,因此,即使总的污染排放有所增加,但单位产出的污染排放强度会有所下降.但另一方面,贸易开放使外资的流入增加,而资本累积是影响污染排放强度的主要因素,这必将导致我国的制造业结构更多地转向污染产业.因此,随着我国对外开放程度的加深,污染排放必呈上升态势.针对污染排放增加的原因,有效地利用产业政策和环境政策对实现资源环境的可持续发展是相当重要的.     

电弧防护服性能测试及影响因素研究

针对电力行业电弧引发的事故,电弧防护服相关标准开始制定并逐步完善。现有电弧防护性能的标准测试方法包括开弧测试和盒式测试,针对不同形式的电弧,测试方式仍在不断发展。电弧防护性能的最常用的衡量指标是电弧热性能值ATPV。对于不同工作场所电弧服的选择是基于对工作现场的危害评级。最后文章总结了电弧防护服性能影响因素的研究,包括电弧防护性、热湿舒适性和作业适应性。未来的电弧防护服的开发会朝向更安全、低成本、更舒适的方向进行。     

基于可视化理论的重气泄漏扩散研究

可视化技术是一个新的技术领域,应用可视化技术结合模拟实验平台开展了重质气体泄漏扩散实验。对泄漏源不同间距和泄漏区障碍物工况下多泄漏源同时泄漏时的泄漏扩散过程进行了可视化研究,得到了罐区重气泄漏扩散过程的可视化影像。结果表明:可视化研究较好地展现了罐区重质气体泄漏扩散的全过程;多源泄漏的间距越大,扩散越快,范围越广;泄漏源靠的越近,其中间区域越容易形成重气高浓度区,危害越大;重质气体泄漏扩散至障碍物时,扩散行为会发生变化,在障碍物前后会形成高浓度区,并沿着障碍物壁面慢慢上升直至稀释成中性气体,危险性减小。     

大气臭氧扩散采样方法的初步研究

用扩散采样法,吸收空气中的Ｏ３,该方法测得的Ｏ３浓度对臭氧发生系统产生的Ｏ３浓度的相关系数为０．９８９５。该方法测得的空气中Ｏ３浓度与自动连续监测结果符合很好。     

ROLE OF CARBONATE ROCKS IN MODIFYING FLOOD FLOW BEHAVIOR1

ABSTRACT. The interrelationships between the runoff characteristics of watersheds (expressed as the mean annual flood), standard basin parameters (area, drainage properties, and relief), and the parameters which describe the solutional modification of the basins (carbonate rock fractions, sinkhole development, and measures of internal drainage) were used to group 62 carbonate watersheds. Simple binary correlations were obtained by direct plotting of the data. This was followed by multivariate analyses: factor and cluster analyses. Following the cluster analysis, which separated the basins into three groups, the variance within each group was examined again by binary correlations and by factor analysis. Prediction equations for those basins underlain by dolomite rock [QBAR = 12.4 TOT^1.01] and for those basins underlain by carbonate rock with very little surface expression [QBAR = 43.5 TOT^0.87] were proposed. Basins underlain by karstic limestone had a large amount of variance within the data set; therefore no prediction equation could be obtained. (QBAR = mean annual flood, cfs; TOT = total length of all blue lines shown on topographic maps, miles.)     

MANAGING CRISIS: THE EFFECTIVENESS OF LOCAL DISTRICTS FOR CONTROL OF GROUND WATER MINING1

: This article examines the willingness and capacity of local districts to control ground water mining of the Ogallala Aquifer in the High Plains. The questions of willingness and capacity were approached through extensive field interviews and a survey of all district board members and managers. The analysis focuses on the policy alternatives board members and managers perceive and how they evaluate these alternatives. Methodologically, the study utilized factor analysis of responses rating the desirability of various policy alternatives to ascertain what alternatives were perceived by the sample. Then the sample's preferences for each of the identified factors were calculated. The results demonstrate that the sample of those who must regulate if ground water mining is to be controlled at the substate level are not oriented to regulatory policies and therefore lack the willingness to deal with ground water mining.     

油田联合站沉降罐小呼吸损耗核算

利用美国石油协会(API)小呼吸损耗核算新公式对国内某油田4个联合站的采出液沉降罐进行了小呼吸损耗核算,并与实测数据进行了对比分析。分析结果表明,API的核算值与实测值的差别较大,相对误差可达90%以上,原因是国内油田采出液沉降罐的现场工况与API公式的模拟条件差别较大。在数据分析的基础上引入平均液体表面温度和平均气体流速两个影响因子对上述公式进行了修正,并利用修正后的公式对另外两个联合站的沉降罐进行了小呼吸损耗核算,核算结果的相对误差降至10%以下。     

基于技术扩散的客流量预测

旅游客流预测是旅游开发的基础研究内容.由于旅游客流具有动态的变化性和影响因素的多样性等特征,使定量的描述和预测旅游客流量具有较大的难度.鉴于此,综合技术扩散理论和区位论等理论,根据技术扩散的思想,在区域选择分析的基础上建立了具有较强实用性的客流动态预测模型.     

优质春播小麦99-5产量与气象影响因子回归分析

利用春播优质小麦99-5分期播种产量资料与同期气象资料进行回归分析,结果表明,小麦产量的高低与播种-抽穗期的积温、抽穗-开花期的日照和开花-成熟期的相对湿度呈显著相关.