考虑非线性吸附时溶质在有限厚度粘土中的一维扩散解

在采用非线性分段式吸附等温模式的基础上,建立了溶质在粘土中的一维扩散模型,在考虑有限厚度边界及土中溶质背景浓度的条件下得到了相应的解.模型引入了移动边界以说明当溶质在粘土孔隙水中的浓度达到某一较高值后,阻滞因子将发生显著变化.算例分析表明,该模型和考虑经典非线性吸附等温线得到的结果相差不大,这进一步说明了该模型的合理性.考虑非线性吸附效应对溶质迁移有重要影响.在较高溶质浓度下采用线性吸附等温模式会得到偏不安全的结果.该解相对较简单,并可用于验证各种数值模型、拟合试验数据等.     

基于技术扩散的全社会能源效率空间条件收敛分析

我国各地区能源效率存在明显的差距,如何缩小地区能源效率差距成为了能源经济领域的热点问题.本文依据2000-2010年中国30省面板数据,运用空间误差条件β收敛模型分析了技术扩散对全社会能源效率收敛的影响,研究结果表明:①2000-2010年间,全社会能源效率呈现2000-2002、2002-2005和2005-2010的三阶段特征,经历上升、下降、再上升的变化过程,其中,2005-2010年提升速度最快,其经验值得借鉴;②全社会能源效率的绝对β收敛呈现由收敛至发散的三阶段变化过程;③全社会能源效率存在显著的空间滞后现象,其增长率的空间相依性不显著,但空间因素对全社会能源效率β收敛的正面影响有加强的趋势;④技术扩散从总体上使全社会能源效率的收敛速度提高1.8倍以上,且影响程度逐渐增强;⑤外商直接投资有助于提升全社会能源效率及其收敛速度;⑥不同时段的技术扩散对全社会能源效率的影响不同,且技术引进和国内技术市场技术流入对收敛的作用不显著.因此,引进外资是缩小地区间全社会能源效率差距的重要措施.     

关于危险化学品重大危险源分级的研究

在重大危险源死亡半径分级法的基础上,引入经济密度和人员密度,并给出不同情况下相应的计算方法。然后以＂最大危险原则＂和＂概率求和原则＂为财产损失和人员伤亡计算的原则,以《重大危险源分级标准（征求意见稿）》中的分级标准为标准,对危险化学品重大危险源进行分级,这样进行危险源分级时,可将周边环境中可能波及到的财产损失和人员伤亡考虑进去,使得危险化学品重大危险源分级考虑的因素更加全面,分级的结果和实际情况更加吻合。本文的研究结果对危险化学品重大危险源分级具有一定的参考价值。     

MTBE装置潜在危险性分析及物料泄漏扩散后果模拟研究

MTBE装置处理的物料（混合C4、甲醇）具有易燃易爆性,若发生物料泄漏,将导致装置发生火灾爆炸。为了确保装置安全平稳、长周期运行,基于MTBE装置工艺技术特点,全面系统分析了装置的潜在危险性,总结出导致装置发生火灾爆炸事故的主要因素-物料泄漏;在此基础上,采用挪威DNV公司的SAFETI定量风险评价软件,建立混合C4、甲醇泄漏扩散模型,对物料泄漏导致的主要事故类型（喷射火、池火等）进行模拟,得出泄漏扩散引发火灾爆炸事故的危害范围。结果表明：该模拟研究能够反映出泄漏扩散过程和破坏范围,取得了较真实的事故影响范围曲线图,可以为设计人员更加详细了解MTBE装置发生事故的危害性及企业加强重点部位监控、制定防范措施、编制事故应急预案提供重要参考依据。     

Predicting modes of spatial change from state-and-transition models

State-and-transition models (STMs) can represent many different types of landscape change, from simple gradient-driven transitions to complex, (pseudo-) random patterns. While previous applications of STMs have focused on individual states and transitions, this study addresses broader-scale modes of spatial change based on the entire network of states and transitions. STMs are treated as mathematical graphs, and several metrics from algebraic graph theory are applied—spectral radius, algebraic connectivity, and the S-metric. These indicate, respectively, the amplification of environmental change by state transitions, the relative rate of propagation of state changes through the landscape, and the degree of system structural constraints on the spatial propagation of state transitions. The analysis is illustrated by application to the Gualalupe/San Antonio River delta, Texas, with soil types as representations of system states. Concepts of change in deltaic environments are typically based on successional patterns in response to forcings such as sea level change or river inflows. However, results indicate more complex modes of change associated with amplification of changes in system states, relatively rapid spatial propagation of state transitions, and some structural constraints within the system. The implications are that complex, spatially variable state transitions are likely, constrained by local (within-delta) environmental gradients and initial conditions. As in most applications, the STM used in this study is a representation of observed state transitions. While the usual predictive application of STMs is identification of local state changes associated with, e.g., management strategies, the methods presented here show how STMs can be used at a broader scale to identify landscape scale modes of spatial change.     

基于非恒定流的污染物迁移扩散随机模拟

针对目前大部分河流都受到不同程度污染的现状,研究了基于非恒定流的污染物迁移扩散随机模拟方法。通过一维非恒定流数值计算和流场模拟,得到了水库开闸放水后下游各个断面的水位、流量、流速等数据,并以此为基础,利用蒙特卡洛法对水库开闸放水前后下游典型断面的COD和NH3-N等进行污染物迁移扩散随机模拟,并将模型应用于文峪河下游。结果表明,文峪河水库开闸放水后,COD和NH3-N的污染带长度和宽度均有不同程度的减小,污染带向排污一侧岸边集中。研究成果可为解决河流污染现状与水库调度提供参考。     

填埋场内温度场下渗滤液饱和带内硫酸盐还原行为表征

填埋场内渗滤液饱和带是物质交换和生化反应的活跃区域,也是含硫恶臭的主要发生源.本研究探究了填埋场内温度场下渗滤液饱和带内硫酸盐还原行为特征,结果表明,在25～55℃逐步升温的温度场下,渗滤液饱和带内的硫酸盐还原行为逐步增强且差异显著.渗滤液饱和带纵向SO42-和DOC迁移转化规律各异但趋势相同.硫酸盐还原行为主要发生在固液交界区和固相区,且固液交界区的电子供、受体呈特定化学计量关系.电子供体是引起硫酸盐还原行为差异的主要原因.本研究揭示的温度场下渗滤液饱和带内硫酸盐还原行为可为填埋场精准除臭提供重要依据.     

丹江口水库氮磷内源释放对比

利用柱状沉积物采样器在丹江口水库采集不同点位原位柱状沉积物,通过静态培养释放实验及间隙水分子扩散模型两种方法获取沉积物-水界面N和P释放速率,分析水体N和P释放特征.结果表明,不同采样点N和P界面交换速率差异显著.静态培养条件下,5个点位NH_4~+-N和PO_4~(3-)-P释放速率分别为13. 07～24. 88 mg·(m~2·d)~(-1)和3. 06～6. 02 mg·(m~2·d)~(-1);分子扩散模型条件下,5个点位NH_4~+-N和PO_4~(3-)-P释放速率分别为2. 67～7. 25 mg·(m~2·d)~(-1)和0. 04～0. 18 mg·(m~2·d)~(-1). N和P释放速率总体呈北高南低的趋势,支流N和P最低释放速率分别是主库区最高释放速率的1. 48和1. 57倍.两种方法均表明郭家山支流N和P的释放速率最高,具有较大内源N和P释放风险.比较两种方法发现,利用Fick定律计算出的界面N和P释放速率明显小于柱样模拟方法得出的结果,N和P的R/F值分别为3. 43～4. 98和29. 67～72. 88,这表明用分子扩散模型法进行内源释放速率估算时,偏离真实情况较大,而原柱样静态模拟实验则较贴近真实情况.     

基于Adam优化深度神经网络快速确定瓦斯抽采半径*

为解决煤矿瓦斯有效抽采半径难以快速准确确定的问题,采用基于Adam算法优化DNN（深度神经网络）方法来预测瓦斯抽采半径。查阅文献共收集已得到验证的970组数据集,每组数据选取煤层瓦斯初始渗透率、钻孔直径、抽采时间、地应力、煤层初始瓦斯压力作为预测模型的5个特征量,有效抽采半径作为目标输出值。接着预测模型进行不断学习和训练,最终训练得到1个最优的瓦斯有效抽采半径预测模型。利用训练好的最优预测模型结合Python语言开发出计算有效抽采半径的软件,并使用该软件在四季春煤矿和鹤煤六矿进行有效抽采半径预测的工程实例研究,验证该软件预测抽采半径的实用性和准确性。研究结果表明:通过使用开发的软件,可快速且较准确地计算出矿井瓦斯有效抽采半径,可为暂不具备现场测试条件的矿井抽采设计提供一定的参考依据。     

Migration of colloids in discretely fractured porous media: effect of colloidal matrix diffusion

Numerical simulations of colloid transport in discretely fractured porous media were performed to investigate the importance of matrix diffusion of colloids as well as the filtration and remobilization of colloidal particles in both the fractures and porous matrix. To achieve this objective a finite element numerical code entitled COLDIFF was developed. The processes that COLDIFF takes into account include advective-dispersive transport of colloids, filtration and remobilization of colloidal particles in both fractures and porous matrix, and diffusive interactions of colloids between the fractures and porous matrix. Three sets of simulations were conducted to examine the importance of parameters and processes controlling colloid migration. First, a sensitivity analysis was performed using a porous block containing a single fracture to determine the relative importance of various phenomenological coefficients on colloid transport. The primary result of the analysis showed that the porosity of the matrix and the process of colloid filtration in fractures play important roles in controlling colloid migration. Second, simulations were performed to replicate and examine the results of a laboratory column study using a fractured shale saprolite. Results of this analysis showed that the filtration of colloidal particles in the porous matrix can greatly affect the tailing of colloid concentrations after the colloid source was removed. Finally, field-scale simulations were performed to examine the effect of matrix porosity, fracture filtration and fracture remobilization on long-term colloid concentration and migration distance. The field scale simulations indicated that matrix diffusion and fracture filtration can significantly reduce colloid migration distance. Results of all three analyses indicated that in environments where porosity is relatively high and colloidal particles are small enough to diffuse out of fractures, the characteristics of the porous matrix that affect colloid transport become more important than those of the fracture network. Because the properties of the fracture network tend to have greater uncertainty due to difficulties in their measurement relative to those of the porous matrix, prediction uncertainties associated with colloid transport in discretely fractured porous media may be reduced.