道路交通环境中驾驶疲劳的生成模型研究

为预防由驾驶疲劳引起的交通事故,有必要研究在道路、交通和环境的综合影响下驾驶疲劳的生成机理。基于生理、心理学中的经典理论,借鉴国内外相关的研究成果,采用理论推理的方法对驾驶疲劳生成过程中驾驶员唤醒水平的变化规律及其影响因素进行分析。在此基础上建立了驾驶疲劳的生成模型,并将模型应用于工程实际。通过驾驶员唤醒水平的变化,指出驾驶疲劳的生成时刻,及其对驾驶时间的规定和道路、景观设计的影响。该模型以唤醒水平为核心,描述驾驶疲劳生成过程中驾驶员唤醒水平的变化规律,强调道路交通环境对驾驶员唤醒水平的影响。     

石油化工装置火灾灭火救援力量需求计算模型

消防用水流量的确定是灭火救援力量需求分析的关键,也是准确调集力量到达火灾现场实施灭火救援的前提和基础。针对《石油化工企业设计防火规范》(GB50160-2008)对石油化工装置消防用水流量的规定存在比较宽泛和模糊的问题,借鉴国外的一般做法,通过分析化工工艺装置的火灾危险性,确定石油化工装置的火灾爆炸危险性等级;再根据火灾爆炸危险性等级和装置的规模,分级确定石油化工装置一次灭火的消防用水流量;进而建立了一种基于火灾爆炸危险性分析的石油化工装置灭火救援力量需求计算模型。该模型的建立为科学准确地调集石油化工装置火灾灭火救援力量提供了重要决策依据。     

Effect prediction of time-gaps for adaptive cruise control (ACC) and in-vehicle tasks on bus driver performance

Researchers have devoted a great deal of attention to the effects of driver assist systems on driver performance. This article describes a modeling approach to simulate the effects of time-gaps for adaptive cruise control (ACC) and manual in-vehicle tasks on bus-driver performance. A concept model was built with the knowledge of modularization, parameterization, and parallel processing. By running the model, the predictions for the effects of five levels of time-gaps and two types of in-vehicle tasks were collected in three measures: (1) mean gap, (2) minimum gap, and (3) collision rate. The model performed well in prediction, especially when driving with in-vehicle tasks. Predictions from the model were validated by the experiment with a verified fixed-base bus-driving simulator, used in the authors’ previous studies. Throughout the modeling approach, this research provides a theoretical and accurate way to assess effects of time-gaps and vehicle-equipped interfaces. In follow-up research, the authors will apply this approach to evaluate other driving assist systems (e.g. collision warning systems and navigation systems) to create a customized software kit.     

Identifying an appropriate driving behaviour scale for the occupational driving context: The DBQ vs. the ODBQ

Self reported driving behaviour in the occupational driving context has typically been measured through scales adapted from the general driving population (i.e., the Manchester Driver Behaviour Questionnaire, (DBQ), Reason et al., 1990). However, research suggests that occupational driving is influenced by unique factors operating within the workplace environment, and thus, a behavioural scale should reflect those behaviours prevalent and unique within the driving context. To overcome this limitation, Newnam et al. (2011) developed the Occupational Driver Behaviour Questionnaire ((ODBQ), Newnam et al., 2011) which utilises a relevant theoretical model to assess the impact of the broader workplace context on driving behaviour. Although the theoretical argument has been established, research is yet to examine whether the ODBQ or the DBQ is a more sensitive measure of the workplace context. As such, this paper identifies selected organisational factors (i.e., safety climate and role overload) as predictors of the DBQ and the ODBQ and compares the relative predictive value in both models. In undertaking this task, 248 occupational drivers were recruited from a community-oriented nursing population. As predicted, hierarchical regression analyses revealed that the organisational factors accounted for a significantly greater proportion of variance in the ODBQ than the DBQ. These findings offer a number of practical and theoretical applications for occupational driving practice and future research.     

埋地管道泄漏自适应封堵机器人设计及研究

为解决管道在长期使用中出现的破损、杂质增多及因介质腐蚀和冲蚀产生不规则障碍物等一系列问题,采用模块化设计方法,提出1种驱动性能好、可靠性强的多体分布式自适应管道封堵修复机器人.通过建立机器人越障模型,研究驱动轮和支撑轮运行时的越障方程;在ADAMS软件中建立驱动单元模型,对其运行速度、驱动力、越障高度进行仿真分析;建立...     

2000—2014年四川省气溶胶时空格局及其驱动因子定量研究

论文研究四川省2000—2014年气溶胶光学厚度的时空演变趋势,并综合自然和人为两方面因素,从区域尺度上对四川省气溶胶光学厚度演变的驱动力进行定量研究,更进一步从像元尺度上分析驱动力的空间分异。结果表明：1）四川省以中部盆地为气溶胶光学厚度高值中心区且增长趋势最为明显,川东平行岭谷值较小且有轻度减少趋势,川西高原、川西南山地值最小,但有轻度增长趋势;2）区域尺度上,对气溶胶光学厚度驱动力主导因子进行定量研究,建立了气溶胶光学厚度（AOD）与GNP、降水量和归一化植被指数的多元回归模型,即AOD=0.849+0.567×GNP-0.909×降水量-0.077×归一化植被指数,该模型较好地体现了在更为宏观的区域层面上四川省气溶胶光学厚度演变驱动力的定量作用;3）像元尺度上,驱动力的空间分异表现为中部盆地气溶胶光学厚度主要受人为和地表因素影响,川东平行岭谷、川西高原和川西南山地气溶胶光学厚度受气象和地表因素影响较多。由于川渝地区秋冬季多云雾,有效的气溶胶卫星观测数据偏少,因此如何在秋冬季获取气溶胶光学厚度有效数据是未来应加强的工作;在驱动力因子方面人为因子的选取划分可以进一步具体化;由点到面的插值会影响驱动力因子数据的精度,故如何通过高精度的插值方法来提高数据的精度亦是未来提高驱动力定量研究准确性的发展方向。     

重点企业清洁生产推进的驱动因素分析

构建了清洁生产驱动力模型,提出重点企业清洁生产推进的定量化分析指标,采用回归方法分析了经济发展水平、污染压力和外部条件对重点企业清洁生产推进的影响.结果表明:以重点企业审核率为指标反映重点企业清洁生产的推进情况更合适和准确.我国重点企业清洁生产在经济发展水平、污染压力和外部条件等方面共同作用下逐步推进,现阶段则更多地依靠经济发展和污染压力外部驱动力推进,这种驱动模式的速度较慢.要快速推进重点企业清洁生产,需加强和激发企业内部条件的推动作用.      

The Illinois .08 law. An evaluation

Lowering state blood alcohol concentration (BAC) limits to 0.08, though controversial, has been supported by most evaluation studies to date. The Illinois .08 BAC law implemented in 1997 provided a unique opportunity to evaluate the effect of the law without the simultaneous passage of an administrative license revocation (ALR) law, which has clouded some previous evaluations of the .08 laws. The proportion of all drinking drivers in fatal crashes was compared before versus after implementing the .08 law using time-series analysis to evaluate 12 years of fatal crash data for Illinois and five bordering states. The results showed that the proportion of drinking drivers in fatal crashes decreased by 14% in Illinois and increased by 3% in bordering states. The proportion of drinking drivers in fatal crashes in Illinois, though increasing since 1995, was sharply reduced after passage of the .08 law in 1997, saving more than 100 lives in 1998 and 1999 than it would have without the .08 law.     

Forfeiture programs in California: why so few?

PROBLEM: It is estimated that at least 75% of suspended or revoked drivers continue to drive illegally. In states like California, there are also a substantial and growing number of people who drive without ever having been licensed. Some states, such as Ohio and California, have enacted vehicle impoundment and forfeiture programs as sanctions to reduce these offenses. Published evaluations indicate that vehicle impoundment laws reduce recidivism and crash rates. However, vehicle forfeiture programs have been less successful, mostly because of low levels of enforcement. METHOD: Police officers and district attorneys from 17 jurisdictions were interviewed by phone or in person to determine current enforcement levels and impediments to more aggressive application of statutory authority. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: The survey found that most California jurisdictions are enforcing vehicle impoundments for first-time offenders. However, very few jurisdictions were enforcing the vehicle forfeiture law for repeat offenders. Among the reasons for not enforcing the vehicle forfeiture law was a perception that it was too time-consuming and/or not a priority among prosecutors. However, a number of authorities indicated that the simple vehicle impoundment procedure is often functionally equivalent to forfeiture because many drivers fail to retrieve the vehicle at the end of the impoundment period. IMPACT ON INDUSTRY: Vehicle impoundment programs are effective mechanisms in deterring illicit driving, and states should be encouraged to initiate vehicle impoundment laws. States could achieve even greater safety benefits if vehicle forfeiture sanctions were extensively used for repeat offenders. However, based on California's experience, the incremental benefits of vehicle forfeiture (over vehicle impoundment) may not be very great.     

Using a driving simulator to identify older drivers at inflated risk of motor vehicle crashes

PROBLEM: To develop appropriate assessment criteria to measure the performance of older drivers using an interactive PC-based driving simulator, and to determine which measures were associated with the occurrence of motor-vehicle crash. METHOD: One hundred and twenty-nine older drivers residing in a metropolitan city volunteered to participate in this retrospective cohort study. Using the driving simulator, appropriate driving tasks were devised to test the older drivers, whose performances were assessed by 10 reliable assessment criteria. Logistic regression analysis was then undertaken to determine those criteria that influence the self-reported crash outcome. RESULTS: As expected, driving skill of older drivers was found to decline with age. Over 60% of the sample participants reported having at least one motor-vehicle crash during the past year. Adjusting for age in a logistic regression analysis, the cognitive abilities associated with the crash occurrence were working memory, decision making under pressure of time, and confidence in driving at high speed. SUMMARY: The findings of this retrospective study indicated those individuals at inflated risk of vehicle crashes could be identified using the PC-based interactive driving simulator. Prospective studies need to be undertaken to determine whether the driving simulator can predict future crash events. IMPACT ON INDUSTRY: This study demonstrated an economical driving simulator approach to screen out problematic or unsafe older drivers before a more detailed but expensive road test is considered.