干旱胁迫和复水对梨幼树生理特性的影响

为了解植物干旱生理适应机制和恢复机制,以梨品种‘翠冠’和‘黄冠’幼树为试材,研究土壤干旱胁迫及复水条件下叶片光合参数、叶片相对含水量、叶片质膜透性、超氧化物歧化酶活性及脯氨酸含量的变化特性.结果显示:1)随着干旱胁迫的加剧,两品种的叶片净光合速率、气孔导度和蒸腾速率均呈下降趋势;‘翠冠’叶片胞间CO2浓度呈先降后升的趋势,而‘黄冠’呈持续下降趋势,但‘黄冠’光合作用的4项指标明显高于‘翠冠’;复水后,两品种的光合指标恢复显著,但均未超过对照水平.2)干旱胁迫引起两品种的叶片相对含水量急剧下降,叶片质膜透性和脯氨酸含量显著升高,超氧化物歧化酶活性呈先升后降趋势;复水后,两品种的4项指标不同程度地得以恢复,但大部分指标没有恢复到对照水平,其中‘黄冠’各项指标在复水前后的变化幅度比‘翠冠’更小.综合分析表明,‘翠冠’和‘黄冠’对干旱胁迫的响应存在差异,‘黄冠’对干旱逆境具有更强的适应能力.     

地表臭氧污染与其他环境因子复合胁迫对中国城市森林的影响研究进展

地表臭氧污染（O₃）和气候变化加剧成为当今威胁城市森林可持续发展的关键环境要素.目前对于O₃单一因子对城市树木的影响研究已很难用于准确评估自然城市环境条件下由多种环境因子交互作用而产生的复杂生态效应.本文综述了O₃与二氧化碳（CO₂）、干旱、氮（N）沉降和升温的两两交互以及三因子交互作用对中国城市树木生理生化和生长的影响,探讨了O₃与其他环境因子对树木的交互作用机制过程.CO₂升高在光合代谢、抗氧化系统以及生长发育等方面能一定程度缓解O₃升高对树木的负效应.O₃和干旱的交互影响存在复杂的作用过程,可能协同加重植物损伤,也可能拮抗减轻植物伤害,或者无交互效应.O₃和N沉降对树木无交互效应.增温和O₃对树木存在显著的交互作用,增温减缓了O₃对树木生长和光合作用的不利影响.最后,还提出了未来研究的发展方向,为我国应对未来气候变化和空气污染下的城市森林管理及可持续发展提供科学指导.     

Five Hundred Years of Hydrological Drought in the Upper Colorado River Basin1

Abstract: This article evaluates drought scenarios of the Upper Colorado River basin (UCRB) considering multiple drought variables for the past 500 years and positions the current drought in terms of the magnitude and frequency. Drought characteristics were developed considering water‐year data of UCRB’s streamflow, and basin‐wide averages of the Palmer Hydrological Drought Index (PHDI) and the Palmer Z Index. Streamflow and drought indices were reconstructed for the last 500 years using a principal component regression model based on tree‐ring data. The reconstructed streamflow showed higher variability as compared with reconstructed PHDI and reconstructed Palmer Z Index. The magnitude and severity of all droughts were obtained for the last 500 years for historical and reconstructed drought variables and ranked accordingly. The frequency of the current drought was obtained by considering two different drought frequency statistical approaches and three different methods of determining the beginning and end of the drought period (annual, 5‐year moving, and ten year moving average). It was concluded that the current drought is the worst in the observed record period (1923‐2004), but 6th to 14th largest in terms of magnitude and 1st to 12th considering severity in the past 500 years. Similarly, the current drought has a return period ranging from 37 to 103 years based on how the drought period was determined. It was concluded that if the 10‐year moving average is used for defining the drought period, the current drought appears less severe in terms of magnitude and severity in the last 500 years compared with the results using 1‐ and 5‐year averages.     

石斛气生的兰科菌根组织结构及其对御旱研究

基于过去对铁皮石斛（Dendrobium candidum Wall．Ex Lindl．）气生的兰科菌根适应干旱环境胁迫机理的研究鲜为涉及,现开展了培养基质的不同水分质量分数（W（水）1=43．6％、16．8％、5．5％）对兰科菌根的外部形态以及内部组织结构影响的研究。研究结果表明：基质水分质量分数降低使石斛菌根外部形态发生多样变化;随着基质水分质量分数的不断降低,石斛的生长受到显著的抑制。当基质水分质量分数为5．5％时,石斛的多数生长指标均小于其它处理,但是根冠比（R／S）增加显著,高达2．22;通过不同切片多重镜检测定和图像分析,发现菌根的形态结构产生了天然的适应突变,独特的根被组织细胞层数多达5层以上,细胞壁相对加厚,细胞腔内网、羽状结构比其它两处理明显增多,石斛菌根通过形态结构的改变来适应水分胁迫并维持其生长发育,石斛菌根组织结构的这些改变大大提高了石斛御旱的能力;水分质量分数高低与菌根感染率呈负相关,越是干旱条件菌根真菌繁衍越活跃,菌丝团结构相持时间越长,菌根的这些适应性响应都提高了石斛的抗旱能力。     

基于交叉谱分析的气象干旱与农业干旱滞后响应研究

为解决干旱问题、实现区域的早期干旱预测,该文对山东省区域应用交叉谱方法分析气象干旱与农业干旱之间的联系.首先,选取1982-2014年的NDVI和降水量日数据进行5 d平均,采用Savitzky-Golay滤波对NDVI时间序列重建;其次,根据山东省降水量的时空特征,将1 a划分湿润期和干旱期两个阶段;最后,采用NDV...     

The effect of summer drought on the predictability of local extinctions in a butterfly metapopulation

The ecological impacts of extreme climatic events on population dynamics and community composition are profound and predominantly negative. Using extensive data of an ecological model system, we tested whether predictions from ecological models remain robust when environmental conditions are outside the bounds of observation. We observed a 10-fold demographic decline of the Glanville fritillary butterfly (Melitaea cinxia) metapopulation on the Åland islands, Finland in the summer of 2018 and used climatic and satellite data to demonstrate that this year was an anomaly with low climatic water balance values and low vegetation productivity indices across Åland. Population growth rates were strongly associated with spatiotemporal variation in climatic water balance. Covariates shown previously to affect the extinction probability of local populations in this metapopulation were less informative when populations were exposed to severe drought during the summer months. Our results highlight the unpredictable responses of natural populations to extreme climatic events.     

A Simple Framework for Incorporating Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts into Existing Water Resource Management Practices1

Gong, Gavin, Lucien Wang, Laura Condon, Alastair Shearman, and Upmanu Lall, 2010. A Simple Framework for Incorporating Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts Into Existing Water Resource Management Practices. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 46(3):574-585. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2010.00435.x Abstract: Climate-based streamflow forecasting, coupled with an adaptive reservoir operation policy, can potentially improve decisions by water suppliers and watershed stakeholders. However, water suppliers are often wary of straying too far from their current management practices, and prefer forecasts that can be incorporated into existing system modeling tools. This paper presents a simple framework for utilizing streamflow forecasts that works within an existing management structure. Climate predictors are used to develop seasonal inflow forecasts. These are used to specify operating rules that connect to the probability of future (end of season) reservoir states, rather than to the current storage, as is done now. By considering both current storage and anticipated inflow, the likelihood of meeting management goals can be improved. The upper Delaware River Basin in the northeastern United States is used to demonstrate the basic idea. Physically plausible climate-based forecasts of March-April reservoir inflow are developed. Existing simulation tools and rule curves for the system are used to convert the inflow forecasts to reservoir level forecasts. Operating policies are revised during the forecast period to release less water during forecasts of low reservoir level. Hindcast simulations demonstrate reductions of 1.6% in the number of drought emergency days, which is a key performance measure. Forecasts with different levels of skill are examined to explore their utility.     

近55年来华东地区旱涝时空变化特征

基于华东地区89个气象站点近55年逐月降水资料,运用趋势分析法、IDW空间插值法、标准化降水指数(SPI)等方法,分析了1960~2014年期间我国华东地区旱涝灾害时空变化特征,并探讨了淮河南北旱涝的时空差异。结果表明:(1)近55年华东地区降水量整体呈波动上升趋势,其中淮河以北地区降水量呈波动下降趋势,而淮河以南呈上升趋势。(2)从年尺度旱涝变化看,华东地区雨涝频率大于干旱频率,但干旱强度大于雨涝强度,且淮河以南地区的干旱强度大于淮河以北,而雨涝强度小于淮河以北。(3)华东地区南北旱涝站次比呈反向发展趋势,即淮河以北旱灾影响范围不断扩大,雨涝影响范围不断减小,淮河以南与之相反。(4)华东地区严重旱涝频率在空间分布上呈南北反向格局,即淮河以北旱灾频率高,涝灾频率低;淮河以南涝灾频率高,旱灾频率低。     

基于标准化降水蒸散指数的华南干旱趋势研究

最近几年华南地区干旱频发,为探讨该地区的干旱趋势,用标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI)和1961-2010年华南地区具有代表性的50个站点的月降水及月平均气温资料,分析了该地区近50年来的干旱趋势、干旱空间分布、极端干旱事件发生频次和干旱持续时间。结果表明,华南地区普遍存在干旱事实,最近10年是干旱最严重的10年,Mann-Kendall检验表明该地区平均SPEI指数从1998年开始突变;干旱化最严重的区域是海南岛、广西南部和西部地区,广东的干旱化趋势最轻。20世纪70年代干旱和极端干旱事件较少,其后明显增多,干旱持续时间也有所延长。由于该地区降水呈现弱增加趋势而温度升高显著,因此推测温度升高导致蒸散增加可能是华南地区干旱化的主要原因。另外,降水频次的减少和集中也是导致近来极端干旱事件增多的原因之一。SPEI指数较好地体现了气候变暖导致的干旱化趋势。     

2008-2009年中国北方干旱遥感动态监测

干旱是威胁我国及世界农业发展的自然灾害之一,利用遥感技术进行干旱监测与评估已成为一种重要而有效的手段。2008年10月至2009年2月,我国北方地区出现了大面积的持续干旱,给冬小麦的生长造成了严重的影响。基于2000年至2009年Terra卫星MODIS传感器8天合成的地表反射率数据,结合地面实测土壤水分和实地调研数据,利用距平植被指数(AVI)和距平水分指数(AWI)对我国北方冬小麦主产区的干旱程度进行了分级,对干旱的发生、发展和时空变化情况进行了连续监测,得到了该时期的旱情分布结果:2008年10月份以后旱情逐渐加重,2009年1月下旬各地旱情达到了最严重的程度。研究表明,AWI对干旱的反应比AVI敏感而且准确。